Realized P&L (7d)
-$23.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$34.0K
Hit rate
21.9%
Resolved (7d)
3,319
Trades (7d)
33,439
99,587 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.46M
$6.22M lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$495.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-01 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
62% 58% -$62,595
Politics
22% 26% -$10,448
Sports
13% 6% -$14,614
Tech
2% 11% -$787
Crypto
1% 37% -$451
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$447
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 5624 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50,538 $27,649 63¢ $31.6K +$3,962 10-30 02:30
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +25,909 $24,645 100¢ $25.9K +$1,212 10-19 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +25,403 $24,324 97¢ $24.7K +$355 10-19 16:02
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat? No +23,059 $22,368 98¢ $22.5K +$138 10-19 19:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +22,283 $18,304 99¢ $22.1K +$3,756 10-30 12:29
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +21,921 $17,004 89¢ $19.5K +$2,505 10-25 09:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +19,681 $19,086 98¢ $19.3K +$260 10-19 11:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50,538 $23,222 37¢ $18.9K -$4,295 10-30 02:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +22,281 $18,630 82¢ $18.4K -$248 10-25 21:04
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +18,412 $17,335 97¢ $17.8K +$488 10-16 17:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +30,262 $18,053 58¢ $17.7K -$395 11-01 00:38
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +23,154 $16,204 72¢ $16.6K +$351 10-30 02:54
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +18,956 $14,953 86¢ $16.2K +$1,255 10-30 09:00
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +16,407 $5,936 99¢ $16.2K +$10,233 10-24 22:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +18,689 $14,138 86¢ $16.1K +$1,935 10-30 13:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +21,709 $16,354 74¢ $16.0K -$398 10-31 00:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +26,599 $15,378 60¢ $15.8K +$462 10-16 01:42
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +18,013 $13,465 84¢ $15.1K +$1,684 10-28 21:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +17,607 $13,007 82¢ $14.3K +$1,342 10-30 08:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +14,384 $13,564 94¢ $13.4K -$115 10-29 17:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +15,604 $11,497 86¢ $13.3K +$1,844 10-23 16:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +17,460 $11,660 76¢ $13.2K +$1,523 10-27 12:38
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 No +19,654 $8,268 65¢ $12.8K +$4,507 10-19 10:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +30,262 $12,509 42¢ $12.6K +$96 10-30 01:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +15,987 $12,086 79¢ $12.6K +$504 10-28 13:06
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +17,099 $10,792 70¢ $12.1K +$1,263 10-25 23:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26,599 $11,364 40¢ $10.8K -$604 10-30 06:25
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? Yes +10,543 $10,228 99¢ $10.4K +$210 10-18 04:40
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes +10,484 $10,084 96¢ $10.1K +$33 10-17 01:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +10,030 $9,376 95¢ $9.6K +$177 10-12 12:13