Remarkable-Underpass — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$93.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$36.0K

Hit rate

21.4%

Resolved (30d)

11,642

Trades (30d)

101,275

126,806 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.25M

$7.51M lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$524.8K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-08 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

61% 57% -$77,336

Politics

23% 25% -$17,649

Sports

12% 12% -$19,506

Tech

2% 12% -$873

Crypto

1% 42% -$480

Pop-Culture

0% 27% -$569

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 5624 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+61,383	$45,850	76¢	$47.0K	+$1,108	11-05 17:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+56,083	$26,362	62¢	$34.8K	+$8,465	11-08 18:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+38,613	$23,194	65¢	$25.2K	+$1,963	11-08 17:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+25,403	$24,324	98¢	$24.9K	+$533	10-19 16:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+25,831	$21,825	88¢	$22.6K	+$778	11-08 19:13
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	+28,624	$21,757	76¢	$21.6K	-$147	11-05 21:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+56,083	$30,092	38¢	$21.3K	-$8,837	11-08 18:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+20,353	$15,613	99¢	$20.1K	+$4,485	11-04 16:02
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	+21,921	$17,004	90¢	$19.7K	+$2,724	10-25 09:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+19,681	$19,086	98¢	$19.3K	+$260	10-19 11:45
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+18,412	$17,335	98¢	$18.1K	+$782	10-16 17:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+21,494	$14,849	82¢	$17.5K	+$2,669	11-05 19:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+18,128	$13,572	94¢	$17.0K	+$3,468	11-08 21:18
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+16,407	$5,936	98¢	$16.1K	+$10,127	10-24 22:45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+15,637	$14,755	97¢	$15.2K	+$484	11-02 20:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+16,188	$12,274	94¢	$15.2K	+$2,926	11-06 14:22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+27,099	$15,663	54¢	$14.8K	-$908	11-05 03:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+61,383	$16,103	24¢	$14.4K	-$1,678	11-05 17:15
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+15,604	$11,497	88¢	$13.8K	+$2,313	10-23 16:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+38,613	$15,881	35¢	$13.5K	-$2,424	11-08 17:24
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+14,180	$12,827	92¢	$13.1K	+$290	11-08 23:26
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	+20,084	$8,575	62¢	$12.4K	+$3,777	11-04 02:10
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+27,099	$11,578	46¢	$12.3K	+$766	11-05 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+12,739	$11,899	96¢	$12.2K	+$311	11-03 21:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+16,282	$12,166	74¢	$12.0K	-$142	11-05 21:03
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+12,565	$11,239	92¢	$11.6K	+$383	11-04 17:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+10,583	$9,837	96¢	$10.1K	+$270	11-05 15:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+11,131	$10,045	90¢	$10.0K	-$83	11-05 21:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	+10,030	$9,376	98¢	$9.8K	+$458	10-12 12:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+11,778	$8,208	78¢	$9.1K	+$920	11-06 09:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	28	$62.9K	124,486	1,719	+122,767	open	—	11-05 17:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	204	$59.9K	115,554	3,388	+112,165	open	—	11-08 18:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	111	$52.7K	90,457	13,230	+77,227	open	—	11-08 17:24
Texans vs. Jaguars	2	$50.5K	100,000	0	+100,000	Texans	-$500	10-18 15:55
Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	2	$45.5K	90,000	0	+90,000	Over	-$450	10-18 13:15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$45.4K	90,000	0	+90,000	Yes	-$428	10-18 11:20
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5	13	$40.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	Over	-$800	10-25 16:11
Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5	6	$38.0K	40,000	40,000	+0	Under	-$1,200	10-25 00:54
Commanders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5	63	$37.5K	40,000	40,000	+0	Under	-$119	10-20 00:05
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	18	$37.2K	72,968	369	+72,599	Browns	-$537	10-18 19:49
Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)	15	$36.8K	40,000	40,000	+0	Jacksonville State	+$0	10-28 14:35
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	55	$35.3K	59,543	12,633	+46,910	No	-$917	10-25 08:24
Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	94	$32.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	Under	-$588	10-31 18:06
Iran leadership change by December 31?	39	$32.3K	39,129	10,768	+28,361	open	—	11-08 23:26
Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5	8	$32.3K	63,749	0	+63,749	Over	-$420	10-17 15:23
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	56	$30.8K	63,138	11,361	+51,776	No	-$457	11-03 03:41
Panthers vs. Eagles	13	$30.7K	34,198	15,461	+18,736	Panthers	-$591	10-18 20:12
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	43	$30.2K	58,225	978	+57,247	open	—	11-05 21:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	28	$29.9K	65,334	44,564	+20,770	Yes	-$619	11-01 12:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	49	$27.7K	44,004	7,748	+36,256	open	—	11-08 21:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	30	$27.4K	52,786	1,123	+51,662	open	—	11-08 19:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	25	$27.3K	54,298	100	+54,198	open	—	11-05 03:59
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	15	$26.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	Under	-$1,785	11-01 16:20
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	22	$26.1K	52,637	818	+51,819	No	-$138	10-20 08:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	15	$25.6K	52,103	1,297	+50,807	open	—	10-20 02:17
Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5	30	$25.4K	44,041	7,606	+36,435	Under	-$787	10-18 20:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	9	$25.4K	28,192	7,942	+20,251	No	-$52	10-20 23:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	63	$23.9K	45,723	1,158	+44,565	Yes	-$284	10-30 12:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$23.9K	47,488	361	+47,128	No	-$7	11-03 04:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	37	$23.9K	48,719	4,901	+43,819	No	-$418	11-02 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 00:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 9?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x2cdd03…
11-09 00:09:30	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?	No	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0x332deb…
11-09 00:08:43	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xbe84d9…
11-09 00:08:43	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x7fb80c…
11-09 00:08:09	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0xb01c49…
11-09 00:08:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	No	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xb88fd7…
11-09 00:07:30	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x40e052…
11-09 00:07:09	Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xc09c54…
11-09 00:06:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	139	31¢	$43	0x6314fe…
11-09 00:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 12°C on November 9?	No	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x4c598e…
11-09 00:02:51	Will the Dallas Cowboys have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xc013c1…
11-09 00:02:42	Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x645cc3…
11-09 00:02:42	Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x56db3a…
11-09 00:01:46	Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x678211…
11-09 00:01:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x356c5c…
11-09 00:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 10?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x744a48…
11-09 00:00:18	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the January meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x2b932f…
11-08 23:58:37	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xcd853f…
11-08 23:58:37	Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x8176fd…
11-08 23:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 9?	No	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xe08c2c…
11-08 23:57:00	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1ff641…
11-08 23:57:00	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x18ab21…
11-08 23:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on November 8?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x06d50c…
11-08 23:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 9?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x2fb789…
11-08 23:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on November 9?	No	BUY	44	14¢	$6	0x0e6cab…
11-08 23:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x8fab36…
11-08 23:53:00	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	64¢	$44	0x095b97…
11-08 23:52:43	Will London have between 75-100mm of precipitation in November?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0xdeb391…
11-08 23:52:09	Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x94f97d…
11-08 23:50:58	Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x26a3ec…
11-08 23:50:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x80052e…
11-08 23:50:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x3c732f…
11-08 23:50:13	jensen huang divorce in 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x1cab51…
11-08 23:50:09	jensen huang divorce in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x88d2bc…
11-08 23:50:04	Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	798	85¢	$679	0xe2e493…
11-08 23:48:07	Will Puka Nacua have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x5da2f4…
11-08 23:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x3e6e14…
11-08 23:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0x03a0cb…
11-08 23:45:52	Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	BUY	64	71¢	$46	0xaa84a9…
11-08 23:45:52	Will Valencia be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	Yes	BUY	64	32¢	$21	0x52c13f…
11-08 23:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa839a4…
11-08 23:44:33	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	No	SELL	91	88¢	$80	0x5968a8…
11-08 23:44:18	Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x4d647b…
11-08 23:39:15	Bucky Irving: Anytime Touchdown	No	SELL	274	53¢	$145	0x0ff63e…
11-08 23:37:19	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	64	28¢	$18	0x2b6075…
11-08 23:37:04	Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	64	35¢	$23	0xc80e84…
11-08 23:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf0a1c9…
11-08 23:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 10?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xd114bd…
11-08 23:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 10?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x91921b…
11-08 23:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x26260b…
11-08 23:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7377f9…
11-08 23:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6887eb…
11-08 23:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3cf2cf…
11-08 23:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 10?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x1234b7…
11-08 23:36:06	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x453a1f…
11-08 23:36:06	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x2d88fc…
11-08 23:35:18	Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x6601e9…
11-08 23:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x2cfea3…
11-08 23:33:25	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	136	27¢	$37	0x18d33a…
11-08 23:32:21	Will Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” sell for between $60m and $75m at auction?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x931af8…
11-08 23:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xa84c55…
11-08 23:32:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2efefd…
11-08 23:31:52	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Yes	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x53f815…
11-08 23:31:19	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	72¢	$20	0x507172…
11-08 23:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 9?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xe0c2dd…
11-08 23:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x17bdd4…
11-08 23:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x2b8c98…
11-08 23:30:31	Next US president 70+ years old at inauguration?	No	BUY	106	88¢	$93	0xe43749…
11-08 23:30:31	Next US president 70+ years old at inauguration?	Yes	BUY	340	13¢	$44	0x3936bf…
11-08 23:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 9?	No	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x71ef15…
11-08 23:28:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on November 9?	No	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x56dc9e…
11-08 23:28:31	Will Venezia be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0x67644e…
11-08 23:28:03	Will Venezia be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	BUY	59	63¢	$37	0x3eb9b0…
11-08 23:27:49	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xf0369b…
11-08 23:27:48	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0bfeb9…
11-08 23:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on November 9?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xf06769…
11-08 23:27:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 8?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x18311c…
11-08 23:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x89cc5f…
11-08 23:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd3de28…
11-08 23:26:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 9?	Yes	BUY	89	26¢	$23	0x132543…
11-08 23:26:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	1,085	92¢	$999	0xd64699…
11-08 23:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on November 9?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x764bf3…
11-08 23:26:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,085	9¢	$98	0x6435e7…
11-08 23:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xc0b2d2…
11-08 23:26:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$5	0x304459…
11-08 23:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 3°C on November 10?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x7e58c3…
11-08 23:24:18	Will Dana W. White be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x7420b5…
11-08 23:22:04	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029?	No	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x428567…
11-08 23:21:52	Will Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” sell for at least $43m at auction?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xecee26…
11-08 23:21:42	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x50408a…
11-08 23:20:01	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0x6875bb…
11-08 23:20:01	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x0bdcc2…
11-08 23:19:54	Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)	Cardinals	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0xd844dc…
11-08 23:18:34	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Yes	BUY	286	14¢	$40	0xbba289…
11-08 23:18:34	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	No	BUY	286	91¢	$260	0x487647…
11-08 23:18:24	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x87b68f…
11-08 23:16:36	Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)	Cardinals	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x50ac95…
11-08 23:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on November 9?	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x9f7695…
11-08 23:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or higher on November 9?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x917ec2…
11-08 23:12:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	73	74¢	$54	0x4a02b1…