Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102b1…ff71df Create alert
whale cold 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$126.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$67.6K
Hit rate
24.8%
Resolved
16,625
Trades
137,953
lifetime
Volume
$8.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$556.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-13 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Other
61% 56% -$85,348
Politics
23% 25% -$18,361
Sports
12% 13% -$20,383
Tech
2% 11% -$966
Crypto
1% 43% -$564
Pop-Culture
0% 23% -$599
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 5624 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +61,383 $45,850 88¢ $53.7K +$7,860 11-05 17:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +58,814 $28,034 63¢ $37.1K +$9,019 11-11 12:32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +46,075 $27,779 76¢ $35.2K +$7,399 11-10 11:08
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +28,624 $21,757 97¢ $27.7K +$5,950 11-05 21:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +25,403 $24,324 98¢ $25.0K +$660 10-19 16:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +26,080 $22,051 92¢ $24.1K +$2,073 11-12 18:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +58,814 $31,179 37¢ $21.8K -$9,417 11-11 19:03
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +21,921 $17,004 98¢ $21.5K +$4,456 10-25 09:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +19,681 $19,086 98¢ $19.3K +$260 10-19 11:45
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +18,412 $17,335 98¢ $18.1K +$773 10-16 17:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +18,414 $13,837 90¢ $16.6K +$2,763 11-13 10:29
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +16,407 $5,936 98¢ $16.1K +$10,151 10-24 22:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +16,188 $12,274 97¢ $15.7K +$3,420 11-11 03:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +15,637 $14,755 98¢ $15.4K +$609 11-02 20:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +15,937 $12,966 92¢ $14.7K +$1,775 11-11 08:16
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +20,084 $8,575 72¢ $14.6K +$5,986 11-04 02:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +15,998 $14,243 90¢ $14.5K +$211 11-09 13:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +27,099 $15,663 52¢ $14.2K -$1,450 11-05 03:59
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +16,551 $15,085 86¢ $14.2K -$934 11-13 11:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +15,604 $11,497 90¢ $14.0K +$2,469 10-23 16:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +24,588 $7,801 56¢ $13.9K +$6,091 11-13 07:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14,180 $12,827 94¢ $13.3K +$432 11-08 23:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +27,099 $11,578 48¢ $12.9K +$1,308 11-05 03:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +12,863 $12,017 97¢ $12.5K +$498 11-09 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +12,980 $11,143 94¢ $12.3K +$1,123 11-11 21:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +16,282 $12,166 74¢ $12.0K -$142 11-05 21:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +12,352 $11,530 97¢ $11.9K +$414 11-09 23:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +12,491 $11,296 93¢ $11.6K +$327 11-11 12:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +11,778 $8,208 98¢ $11.5K +$3,317 11-06 09:37
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +12,050 $11,035 93¢ $11.3K +$225 11-11 23:15