OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,351
Trades
62
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$5,570
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 19:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.4¢
(top1%: 29% YES on $142
vs crowd: 22% YES on $621)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $303 | $303 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $42 | $101 | $59 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $70 | $38 | +$32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $25 | $43 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $42 | $100 | $58 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $13 | $7 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $320 | $320 |
| unranked | 15 | $65 | $51 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +348 | $303 | $303 | 1 | 05-31 15:14 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | +200 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-29 00:16 |
| Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | +199 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-28 19:11 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +148 | $18 | $18 | 6 | 06-03 22:20 |
| Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-04 18:56 |
| Grave-Jaguar 0xcd6c…5379 | Yes | +77 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 02:08 |
| Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | +75 | $10 | $81 | 16 | 06-10 18:13 |
| Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | +46 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-31 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa824…aa06 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-07 19:01 |
| Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-12 19:37 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-29 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x9882…ace9 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 19:36 |
| Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-31 18:12 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 19:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 19:37:22 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0xa0f79d… |
| 06-12 19:37:22 | Purple-Son 0x3a59…6c6f | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xa0f79d… |
| 06-12 19:37:22 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa0f79d… |
| 06-11 19:42:28 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 118 | 88¢ | $104 | 0xa50a77… |
| 06-11 19:42:28 | Whimsical-Chief 0x487c…76c9 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 12¢ | $14 | 0xa50a77… |
| 06-10 18:13:03 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xde83e3… |
| 06-10 18:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x7483…84db | No | SELL | 38 | 87¢ | $33 | 0xde83e3… |
| 06-09 02:08:34 | Grave-Jaguar 0xcd6c…5379 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x9432d3… |
| 06-09 02:08:34 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9432d3… |
| 06-08 09:33:49 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x963c72… |
| 06-08 09:33:49 | (anonymous) 0x1192…a9f5 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x963c72… |
| 06-07 19:01:54 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xde5ad0… |
| 06-07 19:01:54 | (anonymous) 0xa824…aa06 | No | BUY | 23 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xde5ad0… |
| 06-07 08:57:58 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x3ea380… |
| 06-07 08:57:58 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3ea380… |
| 06-07 08:56:21 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x23b6d2… |
| 06-07 08:56:21 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x23b6d2… |
| 06-06 19:36:39 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x1f073f… |
| 06-06 19:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x9882…ace9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x1f073f… |
| 06-06 10:20:30 | (anonymous) 0xa824…aa06 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xdb3555… |
| 06-06 10:20:30 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xdb3555… |
| 06-06 07:35:30 | Sweaty-Ounce 0xa24f…86fe | Yes | SELL | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x937f91… |
| 06-06 07:35:30 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 13 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x937f91… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x08f33e… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x1192…a9f5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x08f33e… |
| 06-04 18:56:40 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x480a33… |
| 06-04 18:56:40 | Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x480a33… |
| 06-04 16:32:46 | Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x030755… |
| 06-04 16:32:46 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x030755… |
| 06-03 22:20:54 | Impressionable-Hub 0x67f3…d3e7 | Yes | SELL | 339 | 12¢ | $41 | 0xe0b859… |
| 06-03 22:20:54 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 63 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xe0b859… |
| 06-03 22:20:54 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | No | SELL | 276 | 88¢ | $243 | 0xe0b859… |
| 06-03 09:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x2cf4be… |
| 06-03 09:10:22 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x2cf4be… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xed475f… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xed475f… |
| 06-01 14:28:04 | Sparse-Apartment 0xaa46…4a23 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xc3a67b… |
| 06-01 14:28:04 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc3a67b… |
| 06-01 11:33:09 | Dizzy-Wear 0x22a2…0609 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x00b933… |
| 06-01 11:33:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x00b933… |
| 06-01 11:26:25 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x3a7749… |
| 06-01 11:26:25 | Dizzy-Wear 0x22a2…0609 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x3a7749… |
| 05-31 18:12:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe4d230… |
| 05-31 18:12:10 | Prime-Browsing 0x7d33…c15f | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0xe4d230… |
| 05-31 16:40:26 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x0b99b0… |
| 05-31 16:40:26 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x0b99b0… |
| 05-31 15:14:41 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | BUY | 348 | 13¢ | $45 | 0xf87835… |
| 05-31 15:14:41 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | BUY | 348 | 87¢ | $303 | 0xf87835… |
| 05-30 10:15:10 | Faraway-Camper 0x608c…fab9 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x905725… |
| 05-30 10:15:10 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x905725… |
| 05-29 05:41:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x2f8de6… |
| 05-29 05:41:48 | Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x2f8de6… |
| 05-29 00:16:09 | Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 12¢ | $11 | 0xb41515… |
| 05-29 00:16:09 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb41515… |
| 05-29 00:16:09 | Sweaty-Serial 0xfbb5…9eab | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0xb41515… |
| 05-28 20:04:14 | Self-Reliant-Dish 0x06d2…fb27 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xe4ad50… |
| 05-28 20:04:14 | Oddball-Waitress 0x0e45…17ca | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xe4ad50… |
| 05-28 19:11:49 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | BUY | 191 | 12¢ | $23 | 0xb3b317… |
| 05-28 19:11:49 | Shocked-Tail 0x8924…c8d2 | Yes | SELL | 302 | 12¢ | $36 | 0xb3b317… |
| 05-28 19:11:49 | Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 12¢ | $13 | 0xb3b317… |
| 05-28 16:04:47 | Great-Barbeque 0x07e0…1db9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5d53eb… |
| 05-28 16:04:47 | Wide-Inspector 0x6a81…41c7 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5d53eb… |