Sore-Pitching 0x564f22…057026
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$48.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$707
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
3,787
Trades
17,085
lifetime
Volume
$709.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$7.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Other
67% 64% +$27,718
Tech
26% 63% +$17,250
Politics
5% 50% +$799
Crypto
3% 64% +$3,042
Sports
0% 30% -$573
Pop-Culture
0% 55% +$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,385 $1,045 54¢ $1.3K +$231 11-01 07:54
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -1,141 -$895 94¢ $-1067 -$172 07-27 07:07
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +741 $248 99¢ $734 +$486 09-30 21:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +700 $500 70¢ $494 -$6 11-01 20:10
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +384 $160 84¢ $321 +$161 10-25 23:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +359 $171 70¢ $250 +$78 10-27 11:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +651 $477 36¢ $238 -$239 09-30 20:48
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +452 $340 52¢ $237 -$103 09-17 14:23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +375 $262 62¢ $234 -$28 10-21 10:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $225 74¢ $224 -$2 11-01 19:10
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,573 $810 14¢ $220 -$590 09-17 14:14
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No -242 -$193 90¢ $-219 -$26 06-27 14:21
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +245 $140 77¢ $189 +$49 09-17 14:43
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +276 $152 68¢ $186 +$34 10-10 08:53
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -158 -$132 98¢ $-156 -$24 06-22 06:25
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +156 $82 98¢ $153 +$71 10-02 11:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $140 70¢ $141 +$1 11-01 19:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $142 70¢ $141 -$1 11-01 19:21
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +650 $284 20¢ $133 -$151 09-17 14:21
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +2,501 $373 5¢ $115 -$258 09-24 16:31
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -108 -$140 95¢ $-103 +$37 07-21 06:53
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -100 -$109 97¢ $-97 +$12 06-18 15:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +2,082 $71 4¢ $73 +$2 11-01 17:31
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +1,205 $416 6¢ $72 -$344 08-25 07:35
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +246 $69 26¢ $65 -$3 09-10 19:18
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +135 -$74 46¢ $63 +$137 11-01 18:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +145 $115 41¢ $60 -$55 08-14 10:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +110 $61 52¢ $57 -$4 10-27 08:39
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4,934 $66 1¢ $47 -$19 10-01 11:19
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +229 $29 20¢ $46 +$17 08-13 14:26