Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$131
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$623
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$768
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 09:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
92%
Tech
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480? No +775 $250 45¢ $349 +$99 05-05 06:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes -676 $-171 26¢ $-179 $-8 05-05 07:20
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026? Yes +139 $75 82¢ $114 +$39 05-05 07:10
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +51 $50 99¢ $51 +$1 05-05 02:40
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026? Yes -50 $-48 97¢ $-49 $-0 05-05 09:01
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-05 06:41
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 05-05 07:30
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026? Yes +29 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 07:00