Sore-Pitching 0x564f22…057026
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
+$808
Hit rate
38.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
5,467
lifetime
Volume
$220.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$4.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
63% 50% +$28
Tech
29% 50% +$7
Politics
6% 67% +$43
Crypto
2% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +500 $430 86¢ $432 +$2 06-18 08:31
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -515 $-422 78¢ $-404 +$18 06-23 05:58
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +326 $300 100¢ $326 +$26 05-29 05:56
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -364 $-308 82¢ $-301 +$8 06-29 10:39
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +421 $249 62¢ $263 +$14 06-29 05:18
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +265 $235 99¢ $263 +$28 06-14 02:38
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +256 $-479 99¢ $255 +$734 06-23 07:11
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes -246 $-235 95¢ $-233 +$2 06-08 02:48
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes -247 $-138 90¢ $-221 $-83 06-28 01:16
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +205 $117 97¢ $199 +$82 06-11 05:13
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -200 $-184 92¢ $-185 $-1 06-18 15:13
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No -200 $-160 80¢ $-161 $-1 06-27 14:21
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -158 $-132 86¢ $-135 $-4 06-22 06:25
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -170 $-138 64¢ $-110 +$28 06-16 10:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -111 $-105 96¢ $-106 $-1 06-11 16:30
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No -98 $-59 98¢ $-96 $-37 06-23 05:11
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No -85 $-78 100¢ $-85 $-7 06-11 17:10
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -119 $-79 65¢ $-77 +$2 06-22 06:26
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $100 30¢ $61 $-39 05-30 00:09
Will "The Odyssey" make it into the IMDb Top 250? Yes -100 $-70 58¢ $-58 +$12 06-05 18:03
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30? No +54 $44 99¢ $54 +$10 06-26 21:02
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30? No +51 $50 100¢ $51 +$1 06-07 08:06
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +47 $40 100¢ $46 +$6 06-02 10:33
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -43 $-22 99¢ $-42 $-20 06-22 06:30
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -115 $-65 35¢ $-40 +$25 06-19 05:48
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +59 $73 56¢ $34 $-39 06-30 17:39
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026? No -33 $-33 99¢ $-33 +$1 06-11 05:02
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -35 $-28 80¢ $-28 +$0 06-09 14:01
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -41 $-51 66¢ $-27 +$24 06-24 06:27
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -18 $-31 70¢ $-13 +$18 06-30 07:04