Sore-Pitching 0x564f22…057026
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
-$144
Hit rate
38.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
5,776
lifetime
Volume
$247.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$7.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
63% 50% +$28
Tech
28% 50% +$7
Politics
7% 67% +$43
Crypto
1% 0% $-5
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,337 $1,195 92¢ $1.2K +$28 07-07 10:32
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +1,048 $892 88¢ $927 +$36 07-11 00:39
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +906 $598 79¢ $715 +$117 07-11 00:35
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +886 $613 70¢ $625 +$12 07-06 11:40
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,564 $629 37¢ $579 $-50 07-20 15:28
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -515 $-422 84¢ $-430 $-8 06-23 05:58
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -486 $-414 88¢ $-425 $-11 07-21 08:09
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +443 $286 74¢ $328 +$41 07-09 07:18
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -333 $-310 92¢ $-306 +$3 07-21 08:11
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -308 $-270 84¢ $-257 +$13 07-21 06:53
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -275 $-253 92¢ $-253 $-0 07-15 10:15
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -200 $-184 94¢ $-189 $-5 06-18 15:13
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +208 $105 76¢ $157 +$51 07-09 03:26
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1,196 $574 13¢ $155 $-418 07-20 04:45
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -170 $-138 88¢ $-149 $-11 06-16 10:34
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -158 $-132 88¢ $-139 $-7 06-22 06:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -111 $-105 97¢ $-107 $-2 06-11 16:30
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No -118 $-106 90¢ $-106 $-1 07-15 10:15
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No -200 $-160 48¢ $-96 +$64 06-27 14:21
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +1,179 $99 8¢ $88 $-10 07-13 02:39
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +103 $60 85¢ $88 +$28 07-21 08:43
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -119 $-79 66¢ $-78 +$1 06-22 06:26
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -65 $-60 94¢ $-61 $-0 07-21 08:42
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $100 24¢ $49 $-51 05-30 00:09
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -115 $-65 38¢ $-43 +$22 06-19 05:48
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -41 $-51 70¢ $-29 +$22 06-24 06:27
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -35 $-28 82¢ $-28 $-0 06-09 14:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +30 $16 34¢ $10 $-6 06-18 09:53
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +24 $8 24¢ $6 $-2 07-13 03:18
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -14 $-2 15¢ $-2 +$0 06-11 14:35