Sore-Pitching 0x564f22…057026 Create alert
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$49.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.28K
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
3,826
Trades
17,165
lifetime
Volume
$715.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$7.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 13:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Other
67% 64% +$28,404
Tech
26% 63% +$17,251
Politics
5% 50% +$738
Crypto
3% 64% +$3,042
Sports
0% 30% -$573
Pop-Culture
0% 55% +$178
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,506 $1,110 56¢ $1.4K +$306 11-02 08:24
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -1,141 -$895 94¢ $-1067 -$172 07-27 07:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $722 72¢ $725 +$3 11-02 05:54
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +384 $160 84¢ $321 +$161 10-25 23:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +359 $171 68¢ $246 +$75 10-27 11:53
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +452 $340 52¢ $237 -$103 09-17 14:23
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,573 $810 14¢ $224 -$586 09-17 14:14
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No -242 -$193 90¢ $-217 -$23 06-27 14:21
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $225 70¢ $212 -$14 11-01 19:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +651 $477 32¢ $208 -$268 09-30 20:48
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +276 $152 66¢ $181 +$29 10-10 08:53
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +245 $140 74¢ $180 +$41 09-17 14:43
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +300 $172 58¢ $176 +$3 11-02 17:38
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +375 $262 42¢ $157 -$105 10-21 10:02
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -158 -$132 99¢ $-156 -$24 06-22 06:25
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +156 $82 98¢ $153 +$71 10-02 11:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $142 76¢ $153 +$11 11-01 19:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $140 72¢ $145 +$5 11-01 19:13
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $144 70¢ $141 -$3 11-02 17:40
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +200 $128 66¢ $133 +$5 11-02 17:24
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +200 $134 66¢ $131 -$3 11-02 17:40
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -108 -$140 95¢ $-103 +$37 07-21 06:53
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes +650 $284 16¢ $101 -$184 09-17 14:21
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -100 -$109 97¢ $-97 +$12 06-18 15:13
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +246 $69 30¢ $75 +$6 09-10 19:18
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +2,501 $373 3¢ $74 -$300 09-24 16:31
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by december 31 2026 Yes +1,205 $416 6¢ $72 -$344 08-25 07:35
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +135 -$74 46¢ $61 +$135 11-01 18:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +145 $115 41¢ $60 -$55 08-14 10:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +150 $53 36¢ $55 +$2 11-02 13:35