Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
13
13 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$853
$853 lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$882
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 05:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77%
Tech
23%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480? No +775 $250 40¢ $310 +$60 05-05 06:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes -676 $-171 27¢ $-183 $-11 05-05 07:20
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes +248 $150 60¢ $147 $-3 05-06 05:14
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026? Yes +139 $75 84¢ $116 +$41 05-05 07:10
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +51 $50 99¢ $51 +$1 05-05 02:40
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026? Yes -50 $-48 97¢ $-49 $-0 05-05 09:01
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 05-05 06:41
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? No +1 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 05-05 07:30
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026? Yes +29 $1 $0 $-1 05-05 07:00