Realized P&L
+$3.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$95.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$508
Open exposure
$7.43K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-07 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$38
Politics
38% 50% +$3,565
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2,288 $-2,207 95¢ $-2179 +$29 06-07 14:30
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -1,052 $-1,048 100¢ $-1047 +$1 06-07 18:25
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +1,000 $990 99¢ $989 $-1 06-07 14:42
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +1,000 $980 98¢ $983 +$3 06-01 20:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +1,248 $1,000 76¢ $949 $-51 06-07 18:36
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +476 $400 86¢ $409 +$9 06-04 00:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +904 $300 32¢ $294 $-6 06-07 18:36
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +330 $300 87¢ $287 $-13 05-29 05:52
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +255 $200 75¢ $191 $-9 05-31 06:24
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +119 $100 84¢ $99 $-1 06-07 18:34