Realized P&L
+$3.60K
Unrealized P&L
-$827
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
791
lifetime
Volume
$222.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$281
Open exposure
$33.4K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-22 20:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
54% 50% +$3,565
Other
45% 100% +$38
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10,000 $9,200 92¢ $9.2K +$50 07-10 23:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5,000 $3,782 78¢ $3.9K +$118 07-16 23:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +4,021 $3,628 90¢ $3.6K +$11 07-07 19:19
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +3,496 $3,118 88¢ $3.1K $-25 07-22 19:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +3,582 $2,251 64¢ $2.3K +$59 07-17 13:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2,288 $-2,207 97¢ $-2218 $-10 06-07 14:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,266 $2,033 92¢ $2.1K +$40 07-05 07:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,282 $1,058 82¢ $1.0K $-13 06-28 14:14
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +1,000 $929 92¢ $920 $-9 07-17 12:35
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +897 $814 92¢ $825 +$12 07-03 20:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $880 70¢ $705 $-175 07-05 06:54
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +689 $644 97¢ $666 +$22 06-29 12:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -633 $-612 89¢ $-563 +$49 07-12 08:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +500 $460 90¢ $450 $-10 07-07 10:09
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +481 $431 89¢ $428 $-3 07-04 22:33
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +367 $348 95¢ $348 +$0 07-05 00:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +904 $300 26¢ $240 $-60 06-07 18:36
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +300 $240 78¢ $232 $-8 07-03 20:21
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +245 $177 71¢ $174 $-3 07-07 16:19
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +135 $117 90¢ $122 +$4 06-21 20:59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +120 $47 76¢ $92 +$45 07-06 20:50
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +53 $45 90¢ $48 +$3 07-22 20:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -69 $-101 50¢ $-35 +$66 06-15 22:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,069 $1,012 $22 $-990 06-28 11:38