Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
open
Total volume
$62,484
$36 in 24h
Trades
384
Unique wallets
142
Liquidity
$23,609
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-21 20:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $190
vs crowd: 10% YES on $32.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $98 | $51 | +$47 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $72 | $220 | $148 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $26 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 106 | $3.0K | $27.1K | $24.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $190 | $190 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $220 | $847 | $627 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $208 | $2.7K | $2.5K |
| Median | 14 | $415 | $5.7K | $5.3K |
| Below median | 20 | $101 | $3.8K | $3.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $44 | $379 | $335 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $3 | $30 | $27 |
| unranked | 71 | $2.2K | $15.1K | $13.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | +940 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-02 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | +940 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-02 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe03d…189a | No | +546 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-12 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +506 | $37 | $90 | 21 | 06-21 04:11 |
| Serene-Radiosonde 0x1e4e…559b | No | +500 | $455 | $455 | 1 | 06-02 05:53 |
| Solid-Transport 0xdf2d…acac | No | +480 | $437 | $437 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Severe-Hail 0x80d9…1895 | No | +460 | $419 | $419 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Careful-Sleeping 0xeb96…49a9 | No | +440 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-02 05:53 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +300 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-04 15:45 |
| Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | +299 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 06-12 09:35 |
| Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | +275 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 06-19 18:58 |
| Front-Legislator-Birth 0x1da8…aa05 | No | +218 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-02 05:34 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +215 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-09 12:38 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 20:36 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-21 20:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | +176 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-12 09:22 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +112 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 06-19 18:58 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +111 | $5 | $21 | 3 | 06-19 18:58 |
| Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 05:41 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +82 | $1 | $37 | 5 | 06-19 18:58 |
| Sneaky-Grandparent 0x5c53…8c30 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-31 05:41 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +51 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 15:45 |
| Energetic-Revitalization 0x16dd…27cc | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +48 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 05-30 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +48 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 06-12 07:05 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | +44 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-21 04:11 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 07:05 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-20 14:31 |
| Orderly-Encirclement 0x929b…2205 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-12 20:31 |
| Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | +24 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 15:46 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| Wordy-Ash 0xe283…265b | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-27 21:26 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 00:29 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 12:16 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-12 07:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a6c…7a9c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:13 |
| Cavernous-Threat 0x1f27…bf7f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1375…18ca | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 21:45 |
| Insignificant-Criminal 0xc460…cae6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 05:32 |
| Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 05:34 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 21:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 20:36:08 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x618ebd… |
| 06-21 20:36:08 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x618ebd… |
| 06-21 14:50:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc939d5… |
| 06-21 14:50:34 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc939d5… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x9147…6bd6 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 04:11:01 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xce02ef… |
| 06-21 04:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xce02ef… |
| 06-20 20:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x9147…6bd6 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x27ce28… |
| 06-20 20:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x27ce28… |
| 06-20 14:31:43 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x7f4551… |
| 06-20 14:31:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7f4551… |
| 06-20 14:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 37 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x7f4551… |
| 06-20 08:46:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x590f6a… |
| 06-20 08:46:34 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x590f6a… |
| 06-19 19:53:44 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x59b04d… |
| 06-19 19:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x59b04d… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Unwelcome-Licensing 0x1a58…f18a | Yes | SELL | 571 | 6¢ | $36 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 68 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Hard-Guestbook 0x6d7e…ae5c | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-16 12:16:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9b068d… |
| 06-16 12:16:06 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9b068d… |
| 06-14 18:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x49e786… |
| 06-14 18:07:07 | Muffled-Mesenchyme 0xd3a7…c2dc | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x49e786… |
| 06-13 09:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | Yes | SELL | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x137e7e… |
| 06-13 09:11:51 | Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | BUY | 48 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x137e7e… |
| 06-13 08:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6b738c… |
| 06-13 08:16:04 | Selfish-Tangerine 0xb3d4…e68a | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x6b738c… |
| 06-13 08:14:42 | Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x2493a0… |
| 06-13 08:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x2493a0… |
| 06-13 04:06:06 | Hard-Guestbook 0x6d7e…ae5c | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x1558aa… |
| 06-13 04:06:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x1558aa… |
| 06-12 20:31:03 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf606e7… |
| 06-12 20:31:03 | Orderly-Encirclement 0x929b…2205 | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0xf606e7… |
| 06-12 20:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf606e7… |
| 06-12 20:31:03 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xf606e7… |
| 06-12 13:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3d9029… |
| 06-12 13:33:07 | Mature-Charge 0x9ee0…1006 | No | SELL | 27 | 91¢ | $25 | 0x3d9029… |
| 06-12 13:33:07 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3d9029… |
| 06-12 09:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x65f7b0… |
| 06-12 09:50:28 | Cavernous-Threat 0x1f27…bf7f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x65f7b0… |
| 06-12 09:50:28 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x65f7b0… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…4ddf | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:35:55 | (anonymous) 0xe03d…189a | No | BUY | 546 | 92¢ | $500 | 0x6f6d78… |
| 06-12 09:22:24 | Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 9¢ | $16 | 0xea859b… |
| 06-12 09:22:24 | (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | BUY | 176 | 91¢ | $160 | 0xea859b… |
| 06-12 07:06:16 | Sociable-Spill 0x1a00…553d | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xb957f8… |
| 06-12 07:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb957f8… |
| 06-12 07:06:10 | Sociable-Spill 0x1a00…553d | No | SELL | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xf68697… |
| 06-12 07:06:10 | Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xf68697… |
| 06-12 07:05:55 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xebf2cf… |
| 06-12 07:05:55 | Sociable-Spill 0x1a00…553d | No | SELL | 508 | 91¢ | $462 | 0xebf2cf… |
| 06-12 07:05:55 | Stiff-Extreme 0x0e93…198c | Yes | SELL | 500 | 9¢ | $45 | 0xebf2cf… |
| 06-12 07:05:37 | Stiff-Extreme 0x0e93…198c | Yes | SELL | 490 | 9¢ | $44 | 0x4c378a… |
| 06-12 07:05:37 | Canine-Kettledrum 0x4996…3c6f | No | SELL | 490 | 91¢ | $446 | 0x4c378a… |
| 06-12 07:05:22 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcabab0… |
| 06-12 07:05:22 | Stiff-Extreme 0x0e93…198c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcabab0… |
| 06-12 07:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7ebde8… |
| 06-12 07:05:00 | Vast-Brotherinlaw 0x279d…77f8 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x7ebde8… |
| 06-12 07:04:24 | Vast-Brotherinlaw 0x279d…77f8 | No | SELL | 510 | 91¢ | $464 | 0x53db5a… |
| 06-12 07:04:24 | Writhing-Placement 0xa9f3…3fce | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x53db5a… |
| 06-12 07:04:24 | Uncommon-Plume 0x3927…9f14 | Yes | SELL | 530 | 9¢ | $48 | 0x53db5a… |
| 06-12 07:04:10 | Writhing-Placement 0xa9f3…3fce | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x0f9e11… |
| 06-12 07:04:10 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x0f9e11… |
| 06-12 07:04:10 | Uncommon-Plume 0x3927…9f14 | Yes | SELL | 490 | 9¢ | $44 | 0x0f9e11… |
| 06-12 06:41:03 | Starry-Discrimination 0x3e85…aa6b | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc101be… |
| 06-12 06:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xc101be… |
| 06-12 06:40:21 | Starry-Discrimination 0x3e85…aa6b | No | SELL | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0x041a95… |
| 06-12 06:40:21 | Barren-Waterwheel 0x0a37…b2e9 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x041a95… |
| 06-12 06:40:10 | Ready-Divan 0x7c42…cc5c | Yes | SELL | 460 | 9¢ | $41 | 0x710411… |
| 06-12 06:40:10 | Starry-Discrimination 0x3e85…aa6b | No | SELL | 460 | 91¢ | $419 | 0x710411… |
| 06-12 06:39:51 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x49f2d7… |
| 06-12 06:39:51 | Ready-Divan 0x7c42…cc5c | Yes | SELL | 490 | 9¢ | $44 | 0x49f2d7… |
| 06-12 06:39:51 | Rash-Progression 0x5f60…f5d7 | No | SELL | 470 | 91¢ | $428 | 0x49f2d7… |
| 06-12 05:28:22 | Barren-Waterwheel 0x0a37…b2e9 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 9¢ | $45 | 0xaffda4… |
| 06-12 05:28:22 | Weak-Satin 0xf6da…871d | No | SELL | 500 | 91¢ | $455 | 0xaffda4… |
| 06-12 05:27:51 | Barren-Waterwheel 0x0a37…b2e9 | Yes | SELL | 450 | 9¢ | $40 | 0x2c190d… |
| 06-12 05:27:51 | Sleepy-Hog 0x50b3…c9f6 | No | SELL | 450 | 91¢ | $410 | 0x2c190d… |
| 06-12 05:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x02ca…eb6a | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xea81db… |
| 06-12 05:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xea81db… |
| 06-12 05:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x02ca…eb6a | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7bc8b5… |
| 06-12 05:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x140a…8e8a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7bc8b5… |
| 06-12 05:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xd0fb…12cf | Yes | SELL | 495 | 9¢ | $45 | 0x8531c9… |
| 06-12 05:23:42 | (anonymous) 0x02ca…eb6a | No | SELL | 495 | 91¢ | $450 | 0x8531c9… |