Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
open
Total volume
$63,632
$36 in 24h
Trades
463
Unique wallets
166
Liquidity
$23,609
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-11 00:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $348
vs crowd: 10% YES on $32.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $103 | $90 | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $148 | $378 | $230 |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $37 | $4.3K | $4.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 116 | $3.0K | $24.7K | $21.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $348 | $348 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $300 | $847 | $547 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $208 | $2.8K | $2.6K |
| Median | 16 | $417 | $5.7K | $5.3K |
| Below median | 22 | $95 | $3.9K | $3.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $44 | $379 | $335 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $7 | $30 | $24 |
| unranked | 86 | $2.2K | $15.5K | $13.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | +992 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | +940 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-02 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | +940 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +672 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-02 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe03d…189a | No | +546 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-12 09:35 |
| Serene-Radiosonde 0x1e4e…559b | No | +500 | $455 | $455 | 1 | 06-02 05:53 |
| Solid-Transport 0xdf2d…acac | No | +480 | $437 | $437 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Severe-Hail 0x80d9…1895 | No | +460 | $419 | $419 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Careful-Sleeping 0xeb96…49a9 | No | +440 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-02 05:53 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +367 | $348 | $348 | 3 | 07-05 00:08 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +300 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-04 15:45 |
| Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | +299 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 06-12 09:35 |
| Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | +275 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 06-19 18:58 |
| Front-Legislator-Birth 0x1da8…aa05 | No | +218 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-02 05:34 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +215 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-09 12:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | +176 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-12 09:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +145 | $17 | $116 | 27 | 07-05 00:00 |
| Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c63…2706 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | +78 | $5 | $5 | 11 | 07-11 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 05:57 |
| Optimistic-Threat-Quota 0xe5c7…31cc | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 13:07 |
| Sneaky-Grandparent 0x5c53…8c30 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-31 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | +59 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39b…d466 | No | +57 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xade2…2e0c | No | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | +55 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 07-11 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +55 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +51 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 15:45 |
| Energetic-Revitalization 0x16dd…27cc | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b07…8e5e | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 06-24 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1ad…e00d | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-26 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +48 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 05-30 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +48 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 06-12 07:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 07:05 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-20 14:31 |
| Orderly-Encirclement 0x929b…2205 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-12 20:31 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-05 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 12:16 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-12 07:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa2…5e76 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a6c…7a9c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:13 |
| Cavernous-Threat 0x1f27…bf7f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1375…18ca | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 21:45 |
| Insignificant-Criminal 0xc460…cae6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 05:32 |
| Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | +9 | $8 | $18 | 3 | 07-07 18:23 |
| Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 05:34 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 21:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 00:38:46 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3748d6… |
| 07-11 00:38:46 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x3748d6… |
| 07-10 21:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x51a29c… |
| 07-10 21:11:44 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x51a29c… |
| 07-07 18:43:32 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xcb1735… |
| 07-07 18:43:32 | Wordy-Ash 0xe283…265b | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xcb1735… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | Runny-Reservoir 0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 12:33:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xc56821… |
| 07-07 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xc56821… |
| 07-06 16:33:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xeb0905… |
| 07-06 16:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xeb0905… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Athletic-Dash 0x0f9d…24b3 | No | SELL | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:38:49 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbf385e… |
| 07-06 05:38:49 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbf385e… |
| 07-05 00:08:31 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 61 | 95¢ | $58 | 0x7e8799… |
| 07-05 00:08:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7e8799… |
| 07-05 00:08:31 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7e8799… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 64 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 106 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-04 21:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x934877… |
| 07-04 21:21:17 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x934877… |
| 07-04 21:21:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x934877… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 248 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 82 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xade2…2e0c | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | BUY | 972 | 6¢ | $56 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | BUY | 59 | 94¢ | $55 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 31 | 95¢ | $30 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xa39b…d466 | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x8c63…2706 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 112 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-02 19:42:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 105 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x81357f… |
| 07-02 19:42:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x81357f… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x137222… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x137222… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x137222… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 472 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x137222… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | Forked-Revenge 0xe4ac…ad7f | Yes | SELL | 529 | 4¢ | $22 | 0x137222… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x137222… |
| 07-02 19:27:41 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x137222… |
| 06-26 13:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x16593a… |
| 06-26 13:07:33 | Optimistic-Threat-Quota 0xe5c7…31cc | Yes | BUY | 60 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x16593a… |
| 06-26 08:00:05 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x70c5ba… |
| 06-26 08:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x7aa2…5e76 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x70c5ba… |
| 06-26 08:00:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x70c5ba… |
| 06-26 05:57:58 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9513ad… |
| 06-26 05:57:58 | (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x9513ad… |
| 06-26 05:57:58 | (anonymous) 0xa1ad…e00d | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x9513ad… |
| 06-25 14:52:58 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x101ca1… |
| 06-25 14:52:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x101ca1… |
| 06-25 14:52:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x101ca1… |
| 06-24 06:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x1b07…8e5e | No | BUY | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x18c24d… |
| 06-24 06:58:02 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x18c24d… |
| 06-24 00:45:13 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa59f34… |
| 06-24 00:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa59f34… |
| 06-24 00:21:11 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x20d3e3… |
| 06-24 00:21:11 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x20d3e3… |
| 06-24 00:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1ea718… |
| 06-24 00:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x1b07…8e5e | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x1ea718… |
| 06-23 23:31:22 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc369ca… |
| 06-23 23:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc369ca… |
| 06-23 23:29:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b07…8e5e | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x98dcea… |
| 06-23 23:29:56 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x98dcea… |
| 06-23 22:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x63f394… |
| 06-23 22:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b07…8e5e | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x63f394… |
| 06-23 22:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x63f394… |
| 06-21 20:36:08 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x618ebd… |
| 06-21 20:36:08 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x618ebd… |
| 06-21 14:50:34 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc939d5… |
| 06-21 14:50:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xc939d5… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | (anonymous) 0x9147…6bd6 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 14:35:31 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x32718d… |
| 06-21 04:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xce02ef… |
| 06-21 04:11:01 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xce02ef… |
| 06-20 20:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x9147…6bd6 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x27ce28… |
| 06-20 20:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x27ce28… |
| 06-20 14:31:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7f4551… |
| 06-20 14:31:43 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x7f4551… |
| 06-20 14:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 37 | 92¢ | $34 | 0x7f4551… |
| 06-20 08:46:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x590f6a… |
| 06-20 08:46:34 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x590f6a… |
| 06-19 19:53:44 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x59b04d… |
| 06-19 19:53:44 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x59b04d… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xedc346… |
| 06-19 18:58:28 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 68 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xedc346… |