Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
open
Total volume
$65,861
$36 in 24h
Trades
521
Unique wallets
187
Liquidity
$23,609
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-05 12:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $348
vs crowd: 10% YES on $34.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $110 | $137 | $27 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $162 | $470 | $309 |
| 🐟 Fish | 43 | $142 | $9.0K | $8.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 118 | $2.9K | $21.2K | $18.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $348 | $348 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $299 | $847 | $548 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $229 | $2.8K | $2.6K |
| Median | 18 | $417 | $5.7K | $5.3K |
| Below median | 24 | $91 | $3.9K | $3.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $40 | $379 | $339 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $11 | $141 | $130 |
| unranked | 98 | $2.2K | $16.7K | $14.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +1,040 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 07-17 21:13 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | +992 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Capital-Dime 0xe860…1817 | Yes | +940 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-02 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4305…df2e | Yes | +940 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +672 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-02 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xe03d…189a | No | +546 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-12 09:35 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +500 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-17 21:13 |
| Serene-Radiosonde 0x1e4e…559b | No | +500 | $455 | $455 | 1 | 06-02 05:53 |
| Solid-Transport 0xdf2d…acac | No | +480 | $437 | $437 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Severe-Hail 0x80d9…1895 | No | +460 | $419 | $419 | 1 | 06-02 05:51 |
| Careful-Sleeping 0xeb96…49a9 | No | +440 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 06-02 05:53 |
| Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | +367 | $348 | $348 | 3 | 07-05 00:08 |
| Evergreen-Grill 0x08ce…f301 | Yes | +299 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 06-12 09:35 |
| Disguised-Radar 0x8a08…0eec | Yes | +276 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 06-19 18:58 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +215 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-09 12:38 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +189 | $11 | $31 | 2 | 07-27 05:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9b0…ca66 | No | +176 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-12 09:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | +154 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd595…2b51 | Yes | +143 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-01 14:15 |
| Grubby-Dolman 0x77c7…7a05 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 05:41 |
| Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | +100 | $91 | $154 | 4 | 07-27 05:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c63…2706 | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | +92 | $5 | $6 | 15 | 08-05 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +81 | $13 | $131 | 30 | 07-21 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-26 05:57 |
| Optimistic-Threat-Quota 0xe5c7…31cc | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 13:07 |
| Sneaky-Grandparent 0x5c53…8c30 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-31 05:41 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +51 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-04 15:45 |
| Energetic-Revitalization 0x16dd…27cc | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1b07…8e5e | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 4 | 06-24 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1ad…e00d | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-26 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +48 | $5 | $5 | 6 | 05-30 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +48 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 06-12 07:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-12 07:05 |
| Orderly-Encirclement 0x929b…2205 | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-12 20:31 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $106 | 6 | 07-21 07:33 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-05 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 21:21 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-27 05:46 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-26 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf01c…a47d | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-03 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa2…5e76 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a6c…7a9c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:13 |
| Cavernous-Threat 0x1f27…bf7f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1375…18ca | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-05 12:30 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-27 05:46 |
| Insignificant-Criminal 0xc460…cae6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 05:32 |
| Opulent-Jackfruit 0x6f8d…6e2a | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | +6 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 08-05 12:30 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 21:09 |
| Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | +4 | $3 | $22 | 4 | 07-17 21:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4c9289… |
| 08-05 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4c9289… |
| 08-05 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x4c9289… |
| 08-05 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4c9289… |
| 08-05 12:30:11 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4c9289… |
| 08-05 12:30:11 | (anonymous) 0x8987…ba06 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4c9289… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x6ee1…699c | No | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0xab1eb6… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 146 | 5¢ | $7 | 0xab1eb6… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | SELL | 53 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xab1eb6… |
| 08-04 14:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xab1eb6… |
| 08-03 11:01:11 | (anonymous) 0xf01c…a47d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5eea47… |
| 08-03 11:01:11 | Shiny-Mark 0x25db…28de | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5eea47… |
| 08-02 16:17:54 | (anonymous) 0x8987…ba06 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ed231… |
| 08-02 16:17:54 | Shiny-Mark 0x25db…28de | Yes | SELL | 29 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x4ed231… |
| 08-01 14:15:39 | Shiny-Mark 0x25db…28de | Yes | SELL | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x548ca2… |
| 08-01 14:15:39 | (anonymous) 0xd595…2b51 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x548ca2… |
| 07-31 10:41:03 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8deff6… |
| 07-31 10:41:03 | (anonymous) 0x6ee1…699c | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x8deff6… |
| 07-29 18:58:11 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc87743… |
| 07-29 18:58:11 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc87743… |
| 07-27 05:46:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x5019f5… |
| 07-27 05:46:42 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x5019f5… |
| 07-27 05:46:42 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | BUY | 72 | 92¢ | $66 | 0x5019f5… |
| 07-27 05:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x5019f5… |
| 07-27 05:46:42 | Front-Legislator-Birth 0x1da8…aa05 | No | SELL | 218 | 92¢ | $200 | 0x5019f5… |
| 07-27 05:46:42 | Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x5019f5… |
| 07-26 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x631f…8a3b | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x6c56d0… |
| 07-26 23:17:12 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x6c56d0… |
| 07-26 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6c56d0… |
| 07-26 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | BUY | 154 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x6c56d0… |
| 07-26 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x6ee1…699c | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x6c56d0… |
| 07-26 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x6c56d0… |
| 07-21 07:33:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x9f7fce… |
| 07-21 07:33:12 | (anonymous) 0xd480…4377 | No | SELL | 247 | 95¢ | $235 | 0x9f7fce… |
| 07-21 07:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 199 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x9f7fce… |
| 07-21 07:33:12 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9f7fce… |
| 07-21 07:33:12 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9f7fce… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 500 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x14fa…1012 | No | SELL | 59 | 95¢ | $56 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | SELL | 54 | 95¢ | $51 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | Heartfelt-Image 0x166a…d7ed | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | BUY | 1,040 | 96¢ | $1,000 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xa39b…d466 | No | SELL | 57 | 95¢ | $54 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 127 | 5¢ | $6 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 21:13:49 | (anonymous) 0xade2…2e0c | No | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xf0c60e… |
| 07-17 08:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4ccd6e… |
| 07-17 08:17:36 | (anonymous) 0x613e…466c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x4ccd6e… |
| 07-15 18:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2ced52… |
| 07-15 18:18:53 | Annual-Chard 0xcdae…b512 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x2ced52… |
| 07-15 16:33:07 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x989e19… |
| 07-15 16:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x989e19… |
| 07-14 21:22:44 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf9a2ee… |
| 07-14 21:22:44 | (anonymous) 0x0c70…14a8 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf9a2ee… |
| 07-13 11:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1d681d… |
| 07-13 11:55:52 | Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x1d681d… |
| 07-11 00:38:46 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x3748d6… |
| 07-11 00:38:46 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3748d6… |
| 07-10 21:11:44 | Ragged-Proctor 0xba8f…ad42 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x51a29c… |
| 07-10 21:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 55 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x51a29c… |
| 07-07 18:43:32 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xcb1735… |
| 07-07 18:43:32 | Wordy-Ash 0xe283…265b | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xcb1735… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 18:23:35 | Runny-Reservoir 0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfa2d83… |
| 07-07 12:33:26 | (anonymous) 0xb9a6…a9a1 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xc56821… |
| 07-07 12:33:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xc56821… |
| 07-06 16:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xeb0905… |
| 07-06 16:33:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xeb0905… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Athletic-Dash 0x0f9d…24b3 | No | SELL | 49 | 94¢ | $46 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:40:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x439363… |
| 07-06 05:38:49 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbf385e… |
| 07-06 05:38:49 | Constant-Snowplow 0x3e56…35d5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbf385e… |
| 07-05 00:08:31 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7e8799… |
| 07-05 00:08:31 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 61 | 95¢ | $58 | 0x7e8799… |
| 07-05 00:08:31 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7e8799… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | Joint-Washbasin 0x1b60…a55b | No | BUY | 106 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 64 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-05 00:00:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe6f2df… |
| 07-04 21:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x934877… |
| 07-04 21:21:17 | Authentic-Divide 0xeb74…0610 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x934877… |
| 07-04 21:21:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $11 | 0x934877… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | SELL | 112 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xa39b…d466 | No | BUY | 57 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0xade2…2e0c | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 31 | 95¢ | $30 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 248 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | BUY | 972 | 6¢ | $56 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 111 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x2ccbdb… |
| 07-04 21:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x8c63…2706 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x2ccbdb… |