Realized P&L
-$782
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
852
Trades
3,230
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$40
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-23 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Crypto
81% 45% -$639
Other
11% 21% -$172
Politics
9% 8% +$40
Sports
0% 50% -$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes +1,027 $4 1¢ $13 +$10 10-23 16:02
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +60 $9 8¢ $5 -$4 06-08 09:19
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -545 -$8 1¢ $-4 +$4 07-04 06:42
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -50 -$12 6¢ $-3 +$9 05-25 10:55
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -150 -$2 2¢ $-3 $0 05-31 20:51
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +60 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 05-31 05:41
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +500 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 07-01 19:28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -40 -$10 5¢ $-2 +$8 05-12 16:54
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-16 09:17
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-23 16:01
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 08-28 13:22
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes +335 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 08-22 17:44
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -400 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-08 11:29
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -334 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 11:18
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes — -250 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-04 06:42
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -170 -$4 0¢ $-0 +$4 05-12 00:13
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -115 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 07-04 06:43