Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
open
Total volume
$605
$1,677 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$23,313
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 22:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $192 | $192 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $294 | $294 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $13 | $25 | $13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $54 | $54 |
| Median | 3 | — | $129 | $129 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $65 | $65 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $177 | $177 |
| unranked | 5 | $13 | $25 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooked-Convertible 0xf0d9…b3c8 | Yes | +620 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 10:32 |
| New-Hundred 0x3ac1…8b5b | Yes | +192 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 07:14 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +129 | $129 | $129 | 3 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Distant-Okra 0xb7d3…b82e | Yes | +111 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:32 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +63 | $62 | $62 | 9 | 05-14 22:30 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-11 23:38 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 07:31 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +39 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Tolerant 0xf8ee…e47f | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-13 09:38 |
| Kindhearted-Personality 0xf3d0…0530 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 10:22 |
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:30:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe4d1e4… |
| 05-14 22:22:56 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe921fb… |
| 05-14 22:22:44 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5ba4a3… |
| 05-14 19:32:14 | Distant-Okra 0xb7d3…b82e | Yes | BUY | 111 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcfe716… |
| 05-14 11:20:27 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x9631a1… |
| 05-14 11:20:27 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x57e6df… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5b130d… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf41010… |
| 05-14 11:20:08 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x665a90… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3458e5… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xac49f3… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xcf01ff… |
| 05-14 10:09:17 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x673b78… |
| 05-14 10:04:05 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x003f2a… |
| 05-14 07:14:08 | New-Hundred 0x3ac1…8b5b | Yes | BUY | 192 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb78f3c… |
| 05-14 06:00:12 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xfb52df… |
| 05-14 04:29:17 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x90f4d5… |
| 05-13 21:03:56 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8c88b5… |
| 05-13 17:42:33 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x27f48b… |
| 05-13 09:38:10 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Tolerant 0xf8ee…e47f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xba8c70… |
| 05-13 09:16:37 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Tolerant 0xf8ee…e47f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x51d268… |
| 05-13 07:31:30 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x15aa86… |
| 05-13 03:06:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xa5d13c… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x08c0e9… |
| 05-11 23:38:22 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b331f… |
| 05-11 21:21:45 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xcbabbf… |
| 05-11 18:09:19 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xf01116… |
| 05-11 10:22:53 | Kindhearted-Personality 0xf3d0…0530 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x73d8fa… |
| 05-10 10:41:11 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x03b5aa… |
| 05-10 06:51:28 | Superficial-Endothelium 0xb8f6…4f7f | No | SELL | 72 | 98¢ | $71 | 0x7bea76… |
| 05-10 04:57:27 | Dense-Ninja 0x70d9…a684 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xda9f83… |
| 05-10 02:57:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6a67f2… |
| 05-10 02:57:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9cd9ee… |
| 05-10 02:56:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xaa834e… |
| 05-06 10:32:04 | Cooked-Convertible 0xf0d9…b3c8 | Yes | BUY | 620 | 2¢ | $10 | 0xcc8f35… |