Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404bf…a48353 Create alert
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$229
Unrealized P&L
+$2.16K
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
182
Trades
3,066
lifetime
Volume
$265.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$25.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 19:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
55% 61% -$164
Politics
24% 62% +$1,359
Sports
19% 68% -$966
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +8,233 $7,213 96¢ $7.9K +$649 10-26 05:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,500 -$1,248 96¢ $-1433 -$185 10-05 12:32
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +1,430 $1,367 97¢ $1.4K +$23 10-03 12:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1,400 -$1,281 98¢ $-1366 -$85 07-04 06:11
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1,385 $1,321 97¢ $1.3K +$27 09-20 22:26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +13,904 $71 10¢ $1.3K +$1,250 10-16 06:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,293 $1,252 98¢ $1.3K +$15 10-12 17:38
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,293 $1,191 90¢ $1.2K -$21 08-19 21:19
New pandemic in 2026? No +1,163 $1,078 98¢ $1.1K +$61 11-01 19:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,138 $913 94¢ $1.1K +$163 08-06 21:15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$876 37¢ $-932 -$56 09-15 21:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,999 -$1,060 19¢ $-746 +$314 10-23 20:53
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -650 -$607 99¢ $-642 -$35 05-14 21:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +558 $527 97¢ $539 +$12 10-08 15:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +500 $465 96¢ $482 +$17 10-23 20:58
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +504 $466 94¢ $472 +$6 10-27 00:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,640 -$455 15¢ $-403 +$53 08-15 21:29
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,200 $408 32¢ $390 -$18 09-15 21:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $336 82¢ $330 -$6 09-12 21:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,832 -$167 16¢ $-290 -$123 05-18 06:59
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,062 $350 9¢ $276 -$74 10-02 14:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +300 $261 90¢ $268 +$8 09-04 19:58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,000 -$117 12¢ $-118 -$1 07-16 08:30
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +248 $143 38¢ $96 -$47 10-03 03:00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,158 -$112 4¢ $-81 +$31 05-08 17:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -2,000 -$134 2¢ $-37 +$97 06-16 19:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -1,052 -$135 3¢ $-27 +$107 05-31 20:18
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -413 -$9 6¢ $-25 -$16 08-26 08:08
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 08-21 13:29
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +427 $9 1¢ $4 -$5 10-23 20:59