Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,621
$23 in 24h
Trades
213
Unique wallets
62
Liquidity
$14,559
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-17 16:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 13% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $24 | $283 | $259 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $5 | $2.9K | $2.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $471 | $205 | +$266 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $31 | $120 | $89 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $4 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $167 | $28 | +$139 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $63 | $61 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| Below median | 9 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $310 | $1.1K | $773 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $20 | $255 | $235 |
| unranked | 19 | $24 | $125 | $100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | +4,998 | $269 | $344 | 59 | 06-17 16:48 |
| Well-Worn-Infancy 0xd980…5be0 | Yes | +2,352 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | +2,151 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +368 | $348 | $1,447 | 9 | 06-16 12:12 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +197 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 06-02 07:09 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +188 | $179 | $331 | 4 | 06-09 09:35 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +169 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 16:48 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 01:15 |
| Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | Yes | +84 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 05:37 |
| Gripping-Easel 0xd599…6a46 | Yes | +69 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-29 00:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +55 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xa93d…36ca | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-15 09:31 |
| Grown-Error 0xf949…80e0 | Yes | +48 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 16:46 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +46 | $-2 | $6 | 3 | 06-09 01:15 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +38 | $-37 | $78 | 22 | 06-15 09:31 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-09 01:15 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-01 03:11 |
| Actual-Waiver 0xc973…bdab | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 09:11 |
| Gracious-Remark 0x32eb…a86e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 21:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa50a…4269 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe460…e3c4 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 16:48:01 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 157 | 5¢ | $7 | 0xba9b9d… |
| 06-17 16:48:01 | Hoarse-Volatility 0x7b7f…3f4f | Yes | SELL | 325 | 3¢ | $11 | 0xba9b9d… |
| 06-17 16:48:01 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 169 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xba9b9d… |
| 06-17 14:30:47 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 52 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x59ed54… |
| 06-17 14:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x59ed54… |
| 06-16 21:08:29 | Gracious-Remark 0x32eb…a86e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe84702… |
| 06-16 21:08:29 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xe84702… |
| 06-16 21:08:29 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe84702… |
| 06-16 21:08:29 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xe84702… |
| 06-16 21:08:04 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xd9f0ba… |
| 06-16 21:08:04 | Frosty-Attainment 0x9247…02fb | Yes | SELL | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xd9f0ba… |
| 06-16 14:35:44 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 417 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x55da61… |
| 06-16 14:35:44 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x55da61… |
| 06-16 14:20:40 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 307 | 5¢ | $15 | 0xc902c3… |
| 06-16 14:20:40 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xc902c3… |
| 06-16 14:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x696d…ebf8 | No | SELL | 47 | 95¢ | $45 | 0xc902c3… |
| 06-16 14:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xc902c3… |
| 06-16 13:13:28 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 177 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xd90853… |
| 06-16 13:13:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 177 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xd90853… |
| 06-16 13:06:22 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xffd9f2… |
| 06-16 13:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xffd9f2… |
| 06-16 12:42:13 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x4e2248… |
| 06-16 12:42:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 208 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x4e2248… |
| 06-16 12:27:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 240 | 5¢ | $13 | 0xecfe3e… |
| 06-16 12:27:13 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xecfe3e… |
| 06-16 12:27:13 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $11 | 0xecfe3e… |
| 06-16 12:12:10 | Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x634470… |
| 06-16 12:12:10 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x634470… |
| 06-15 19:38:01 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfdd30a… |
| 06-15 19:38:01 | Showy-Footnote 0xcd52…bb59 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xfdd30a… |
| 06-15 15:20:16 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1a61f4… |
| 06-15 15:20:16 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 208 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x1a61f4… |
| 06-15 15:20:16 | Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | SELL | 228 | 95¢ | $216 | 0x1a61f4… |
| 06-15 09:45:34 | Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | SELL | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0x56e91c… |
| 06-15 09:45:34 | Feminine-Tic 0x7faa…994e | Yes | SELL | 56 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x56e91c… |
| 06-15 09:31:43 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x013bad… |
| 06-15 09:31:43 | (anonymous) 0xa93d…36ca | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x013bad… |
| 06-15 09:31:43 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 113 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x013bad… |
| 06-15 09:31:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x013bad… |
| 06-15 09:31:43 | Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | SELL | 283 | 95¢ | $269 | 0x013bad… |
| 06-15 06:23:30 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 95 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xe56f4f… |
| 06-15 06:23:30 | Criminal-Causal 0xa18d…b16a | No | SELL | 95 | 95¢ | $90 | 0xe56f4f… |
| 06-14 16:54:03 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 208 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xcc159e… |
| 06-14 16:54:03 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xcc159e… |
| 06-14 16:48:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xf1e6f0… |
| 06-14 16:48:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf1e6f0… |
| 06-14 16:38:58 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 120 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x5ebfbf… |
| 06-14 16:38:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 120 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x5ebfbf… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xcfce46… |
| 06-14 16:33:58 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xcfce46… |
| 06-14 10:18:42 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x744b25… |
| 06-14 10:18:42 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x744b25… |
| 06-14 06:20:30 | (anonymous) 0xa50a…4269 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc73481… |
| 06-14 06:20:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc73481… |
| 06-13 14:03:30 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x21672e… |
| 06-13 14:03:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x21672e… |
| 06-13 11:05:58 | All-Pirate 0x3a4b…9395 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x506a05… |
| 06-13 11:05:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x506a05… |
| 06-12 20:10:00 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 73 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x8801ae… |
| 06-12 20:10:00 | (anonymous) 0x31fb…b9ae | Yes | SELL | 73 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x8801ae… |
| 06-12 15:25:15 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xd68677… |
| 06-12 15:25:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd68677… |
| 06-11 14:46:25 | Alarming-Vane-Group 0x9541…33b5 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xecea6c… |
| 06-11 14:46:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xecea6c… |
| 06-10 17:43:22 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xae0c09… |
| 06-10 17:43:22 | All-Pirate 0x3a4b…9395 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xae0c09… |
| 06-10 17:07:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd166e8… |
| 06-10 17:07:45 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xd166e8… |
| 06-10 02:45:57 | Robust-Fox 0xdc17…c4ab | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3ecf12… |
| 06-10 02:45:57 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3ecf12… |
| 06-09 12:23:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 178 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xc58a34… |
| 06-09 12:23:09 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $11 | 0xc58a34… |
| 06-09 12:23:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xc58a34… |
| 06-09 12:20:55 | Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | Yes | SELL | 181 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x3f26be… |
| 06-09 12:20:55 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 181 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x3f26be… |
| 06-09 09:42:34 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x242f28… |
| 06-09 09:42:34 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x242f28… |
| 06-09 09:38:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x71ee44… |
| 06-09 09:38:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x71ee44… |
| 06-09 09:38:06 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc30c52… |
| 06-09 09:38:06 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xc30c52… |
| 06-09 09:35:48 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xee3400… |
| 06-09 09:35:48 | Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xee3400… |
| 06-09 09:35:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 188 | 95¢ | $179 | 0xee3400… |
| 06-09 09:34:19 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 64 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x3c1cfb… |
| 06-09 09:34:19 | Fabulous-Clothing 0xddf6…6b37 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3c1cfb… |
| 06-09 09:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3c1cfb… |
| 06-09 09:34:19 | Crooked-Balaclava 0x4a0e…bac9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x3c1cfb… |
| 06-09 01:23:40 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xac5fcd… |
| 06-09 01:23:40 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xac5fcd… |
| 06-09 01:21:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x5d2431… |
| 06-09 01:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5d2431… |
| 06-09 01:21:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5d2431… |
| 06-09 01:21:31 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 136 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x5d2431… |
| 06-09 01:19:22 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x5650c4… |
| 06-09 01:19:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x5650c4… |
| 06-09 01:19:22 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5650c4… |
| 06-09 01:19:22 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x5650c4… |
| 06-09 01:17:12 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | BUY | 208 | 5¢ | $11 | 0x215849… |
| 06-09 01:17:12 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x215849… |