Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$147,148
$23 in 24h
Trades
897
Unique wallets
294
Liquidity
$14,559
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 13:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $94.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $27 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $337 | $3.7K | $3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $503 | $4.5K | $4.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 242 | $3.7K | $80.1K | $76.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $5 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $167 | $686 | $519 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $19 | $63 | $44 |
| Median | 37 | $803 | $6.4K | $5.6K |
| Below median | 19 | $171 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $335 | $1.2K | $853 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $22 | $255 | $233 |
| unranked | 201 | $3.0K | $76.9K | $73.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | +3,911 | $168 | $168 | 6 | 07-10 08:55 |
| Lopsided-Cork 0x28ee…bcd0 | Yes | +3,865 | $166 | $166 | 6 | 07-08 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xa682…bbc0 | Yes | +3,851 | $166 | $166 | 6 | 07-10 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4e2…877c | Yes | +3,816 | $164 | $164 | 6 | 07-08 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b3c…667c | Yes | +3,811 | $164 | $164 | 6 | 07-09 03:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | +3,721 | $160 | $160 | 6 | 07-10 08:27 |
| Slow-Chipmunk 0x9206…0aba | Yes | +3,684 | $147 | $147 | 6 | 07-02 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7fa…a974 | Yes | +3,666 | $147 | $147 | 6 | 07-03 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa5d…8f56 | Yes | +3,655 | $143 | $143 | 6 | 07-03 06:52 |
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | +3,604 | $206 | $458 | 81 | 07-10 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x27ce…db42 | Yes | +3,366 | $145 | $145 | 6 | 07-08 01:28 |
| Well-Worn-Infancy 0xd980…5be0 | Yes | +2,352 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | +2,151 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Wan-Bottle 0xa4c8…b0ec | Yes | +2,119 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-01 10:19 |
| Lawful-Measles 0xd9d0…4505 | No | +729 | $698 | $698 | 1 | 07-08 02:14 |
| Animated-Cross 0x40ec…8e2b | No | +711 | $680 | $680 | 1 | 07-10 08:55 |
| Bewitched-Voter 0xf488…82bd | No | +687 | $657 | $657 | 1 | 07-08 02:13 |
| Troubled-Redhead 0x8419…36b9 | No | +679 | $650 | $650 | 1 | 07-10 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x52e3…cf88 | No | +675 | $646 | $646 | 1 | 07-09 03:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2a5…f03b | No | +667 | $640 | $640 | 1 | 07-02 07:03 |
| Intelligent-Somersault 0x18ff…f634 | No | +666 | $637 | $637 | 1 | 07-10 02:35 |
| Modern-Jet 0x0210…158b | No | +666 | $637 | $637 | 1 | 07-08 07:06 |
| Third-Pimple 0xbfe8…8360 | No | +654 | $626 | $626 | 1 | 07-10 08:54 |
| Overjoyed-Halt 0xe231…9e07 | No | +653 | $627 | $627 | 1 | 07-03 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2bf…fbe7 | No | +653 | $625 | $625 | 1 | 07-08 07:06 |
| Meager-Strand 0xa0e7…ee25 | No | +652 | $624 | $624 | 1 | 07-10 08:54 |
| Meaty-Kettledrum 0xb4df…db33 | No | +651 | $623 | $623 | 1 | 07-10 02:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x43f9…5452 | No | +650 | $622 | $622 | 1 | 07-10 08:55 |
| Trusty-Stencil 0x7a1d…585d | No | +646 | $618 | $618 | 1 | 07-09 03:06 |
| Rundown-Sidestream 0x28fe…6d1d | No | +642 | $614 | $1,757 | 3 | 07-10 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf246…83a9 | No | +639 | $610 | $1,917 | 3 | 07-10 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fef…f6eb | No | +639 | $612 | $612 | 1 | 07-10 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x29c9…e751 | No | +637 | $610 | $610 | 1 | 07-08 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x270c…fd5a | No | +636 | $609 | $609 | 1 | 07-09 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d0…0b3f | No | +636 | $609 | $609 | 1 | 07-08 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aca…1ea0 | No | +636 | $608 | $1,596 | 3 | 07-09 03:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd7b…596d | No | +632 | $605 | $605 | 1 | 07-08 02:12 |
| Oblong-Meaning 0xcac7…1610 | No | +632 | $607 | $607 | 1 | 07-03 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0829…079b | No | +632 | $607 | $607 | 1 | 07-02 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7ef…d801 | No | +629 | $602 | $602 | 1 | 07-10 02:36 |
| Cumbersome-Baseball 0xfbd2…f6bb | No | +623 | $596 | $596 | 1 | 07-08 02:12 |
| Lanky-Message 0xc784…7f31 | No | +623 | $596 | $596 | 1 | 07-10 08:26 |
| Villainous-Giggle 0xf61b…d8ec | No | +622 | $597 | $597 | 1 | 07-03 08:01 |
| Enchanted-Rhythm 0xb6dc…2f06 | Yes | +333 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-05 19:46 |
| Unwelcome-Grin 0x0404…8353 | Yes | +267 | $9 | $29 | 5 | 07-05 09:27 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +219 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-26 13:54 |
| Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | Yes | +84 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 05:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 13:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x0abf…e18b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd6d3d6… |
| 07-10 13:39:04 | Excited-Malnutrition 0x169f…9dc8 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd6d3d6… |
| 07-10 13:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x0abf…e18b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd1d5ba… |
| 07-10 13:35:13 | Bad-Flytrap 0xfbc7…fa1e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd1d5ba… |
| 07-10 08:55:56 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 650 | 4¢ | $28 | 0x4474be… |
| 07-10 08:55:56 | (anonymous) 0x43f9…5452 | No | BUY | 650 | 96¢ | $622 | 0x4474be… |
| 07-10 08:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 605 | 4¢ | $26 | 0xc2c6ca… |
| 07-10 08:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x02a6…d391 | No | BUY | 605 | 96¢ | $579 | 0xc2c6ca… |
| 07-10 08:55:11 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 711 | 4¢ | $31 | 0x98d284… |
| 07-10 08:55:11 | Animated-Cross 0x40ec…8e2b | No | BUY | 711 | 96¢ | $680 | 0x98d284… |
| 07-10 08:54:35 | Meager-Strand 0xa0e7…ee25 | No | BUY | 652 | 96¢ | $624 | 0x42c025… |
| 07-10 08:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 652 | 4¢ | $28 | 0x42c025… |
| 07-10 08:54:32 | Third-Pimple 0xbfe8…8360 | No | BUY | 654 | 96¢ | $626 | 0x883f2f… |
| 07-10 08:54:32 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 654 | 4¢ | $28 | 0x883f2f… |
| 07-10 08:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 639 | 4¢ | $27 | 0x61036c… |
| 07-10 08:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xf246…83a9 | No | BUY | 639 | 96¢ | $612 | 0x61036c… |
| 07-10 08:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xe882…9d90 | No | SELL | 430 | 96¢ | $411 | 0x1c331c… |
| 07-10 08:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xe2d6…6777 | Yes | SELL | 876 | 4¢ | $39 | 0x1c331c… |
| 07-10 08:27:52 | (anonymous) 0xeb9b…6fe8 | No | SELL | 446 | 96¢ | $426 | 0x1c331c… |
| 07-10 08:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x1a83…82a4 | Yes | SELL | 876 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xc6a854… |
| 07-10 08:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x6987…5d49 | No | SELL | 426 | 96¢ | $407 | 0xc6a854… |
| 07-10 08:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x9e8e…4fad | No | SELL | 450 | 96¢ | $430 | 0xc6a854… |
| 07-10 08:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x8fef…f6eb | No | BUY | 639 | 96¢ | $612 | 0xebe359… |
| 07-10 08:27:32 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | BUY | 639 | 4¢ | $27 | 0xebe359… |
| 07-10 08:26:44 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | BUY | 609 | 4¢ | $26 | 0xf44cf3… |
| 07-10 08:26:44 | (anonymous) 0x8132…6f69 | No | BUY | 609 | 96¢ | $583 | 0xf44cf3… |
| 07-10 08:26:41 | (anonymous) 0xd231…f649 | No | BUY | 611 | 96¢ | $585 | 0x518f5e… |
| 07-10 08:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | BUY | 611 | 4¢ | $26 | 0x518f5e… |
| 07-10 08:26:04 | Lanky-Message 0xc784…7f31 | No | BUY | 623 | 96¢ | $596 | 0x66c2a1… |
| 07-10 08:26:04 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | BUY | 623 | 4¢ | $27 | 0x66c2a1… |
| 07-10 08:25:35 | Rundown-Sidestream 0x28fe…6d1d | No | BUY | 642 | 96¢ | $614 | 0x6d83dd… |
| 07-10 08:25:35 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | BUY | 642 | 4¢ | $28 | 0x6d83dd… |
| 07-10 08:25:08 | (anonymous) 0x859c…04df | No | BUY | 597 | 96¢ | $571 | 0x9db7bd… |
| 07-10 08:25:08 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | BUY | 597 | 4¢ | $26 | 0x9db7bd… |
| 07-10 08:24:23 | (anonymous) 0x5817…e1fc | Yes | SELL | 890 | 4¢ | $38 | 0x734401… |
| 07-10 08:24:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3ec…5c2c | No | SELL | 468 | 96¢ | $448 | 0x734401… |
| 07-10 08:24:23 | (anonymous) 0xfb66…1201 | No | SELL | 422 | 96¢ | $404 | 0x734401… |
| 07-10 08:23:11 | (anonymous) 0x150c…eb5d | No | SELL | 440 | 96¢ | $421 | 0xe78a9f… |
| 07-10 08:23:11 | (anonymous) 0x7d46…a65d | No | SELL | 450 | 96¢ | $430 | 0xe78a9f… |
| 07-10 08:23:11 | (anonymous) 0xbe4c…2b60 | Yes | SELL | 890 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xe78a9f… |
| 07-10 07:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x9e8e…4fad | No | BUY | 450 | 96¢ | $430 | 0xf65a36… |
| 07-10 07:49:31 | (anonymous) 0x1a83…82a4 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 4¢ | $20 | 0xf65a36… |
| 07-10 07:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x1a83…82a4 | Yes | BUY | 426 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x002b2d… |
| 07-10 07:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x6987…5d49 | No | BUY | 426 | 96¢ | $407 | 0x002b2d… |
| 07-10 07:48:49 | (anonymous) 0xe2d6…6777 | Yes | BUY | 446 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x0bfdf9… |
| 07-10 07:48:49 | (anonymous) 0xeb9b…6fe8 | No | BUY | 446 | 96¢ | $427 | 0x0bfdf9… |
| 07-10 07:48:47 | (anonymous) 0xe2d6…6777 | Yes | BUY | 430 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xcaee44… |
| 07-10 07:48:47 | (anonymous) 0xe882…9d90 | No | BUY | 430 | 96¢ | $412 | 0xcaee44… |
| 07-10 07:45:29 | (anonymous) 0x5817…e1fc | Yes | BUY | 468 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x7555f0… |
| 07-10 07:45:29 | (anonymous) 0xc3ec…5c2c | No | BUY | 468 | 96¢ | $448 | 0x7555f0… |
| 07-10 07:45:28 | (anonymous) 0x5817…e1fc | Yes | BUY | 422 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x6274fa… |
| 07-10 07:45:28 | (anonymous) 0xfb66…1201 | No | BUY | 422 | 96¢ | $404 | 0x6274fa… |
| 07-10 07:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x150c…eb5d | No | BUY | 440 | 96¢ | $421 | 0xc79c67… |
| 07-10 07:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xbe4c…2b60 | Yes | BUY | 440 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xc79c67… |
| 07-10 07:44:16 | (anonymous) 0xbe4c…2b60 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x409cee… |
| 07-10 07:44:16 | (anonymous) 0x7d46…a65d | No | BUY | 450 | 96¢ | $430 | 0x409cee… |
| 07-10 07:21:55 | Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | SELL | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x32d2b3… |
| 07-10 07:21:55 | (anonymous) 0xf394…1cf7 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x32d2b3… |
| 07-10 07:21:29 | (anonymous) 0xabae…c0e8 | Yes | SELL | 890 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xfc4f68… |
| 07-10 07:21:29 | (anonymous) 0x3225…c041 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xfc4f68… |
| 07-10 07:21:29 | (anonymous) 0x139a…6864 | No | SELL | 446 | 96¢ | $426 | 0xfc4f68… |
| 07-10 07:21:29 | (anonymous) 0xf394…1cf7 | No | SELL | 389 | 96¢ | $372 | 0xfc4f68… |
| 07-10 07:21:17 | (anonymous) 0xc6a1…9443 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x5e482d… |
| 07-10 07:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x0f56…fe2a | Yes | SELL | 890 | 4¢ | $39 | 0x5e482d… |
| 07-10 07:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x6e76…6ce5 | No | SELL | 450 | 96¢ | $430 | 0x5e482d… |
| 07-10 07:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x3225…c041 | No | SELL | 385 | 96¢ | $368 | 0x5e482d… |
| 07-10 07:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x4209…f2b0 | Yes | SELL | 868 | 4¢ | $38 | 0x717de5… |
| 07-10 07:18:28 | (anonymous) 0xc6a1…9443 | No | SELL | 408 | 96¢ | $390 | 0x717de5… |
| 07-10 07:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x24e3…08c3 | No | SELL | 405 | 96¢ | $387 | 0x717de5… |
| 07-10 07:18:28 | (anonymous) 0x5ad4…fc6e | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x717de5… |
| 07-10 07:18:05 | (anonymous) 0xa7db…2c98 | No | SELL | 418 | 96¢ | $400 | 0xc27811… |
| 07-10 07:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x5ad4…fc6e | No | SELL | 395 | 96¢ | $378 | 0xc27811… |
| 07-10 07:18:05 | (anonymous) 0xad72…bb64 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xc27811… |
| 07-10 07:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x4c87…99cd | Yes | SELL | 868 | 4¢ | $38 | 0xc27811… |
| 07-10 07:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xad72…bb64 | No | SELL | 405 | 96¢ | $387 | 0xf96080… |
| 07-10 07:16:31 | (anonymous) 0x5c7c…a431 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xf96080… |
| 07-10 07:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xcbcb…4da3 | Yes | SELL | 895 | 4¢ | $39 | 0xf96080… |
| 07-10 07:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xf4fb…6f69 | No | SELL | 435 | 96¢ | $416 | 0xf96080… |
| 07-10 07:16:13 | (anonymous) 0x820b…9882 | No | SELL | 440 | 96¢ | $421 | 0x0e227a… |
| 07-10 07:16:13 | (anonymous) 0xec9d…9c69 | Yes | SELL | 895 | 4¢ | $39 | 0x0e227a… |
| 07-10 07:16:13 | (anonymous) 0xe4a1…1f67 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x0e227a… |
| 07-10 07:16:13 | (anonymous) 0x5c7c…a431 | No | SELL | 400 | 96¢ | $382 | 0x0e227a… |
| 07-10 06:50:43 | (anonymous) 0xf394…1cf7 | No | BUY | 444 | 96¢ | $424 | 0x314b91… |
| 07-10 06:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x0f56…fe2a | Yes | BUY | 444 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x314b91… |
| 07-10 06:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x139a…6864 | No | BUY | 446 | 96¢ | $426 | 0x309289… |
| 07-10 06:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x0f56…fe2a | Yes | BUY | 446 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x309289… |
| 07-10 06:50:29 | (anonymous) 0x6e76…6ce5 | No | BUY | 450 | 96¢ | $431 | 0x9a9adf… |
| 07-10 06:50:29 | (anonymous) 0xabae…c0e8 | Yes | BUY | 440 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x9355bd… |
| 07-10 06:50:29 | (anonymous) 0x3225…c041 | No | BUY | 440 | 96¢ | $421 | 0x9355bd… |
| 07-10 06:50:29 | (anonymous) 0xabae…c0e8 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x9a9adf… |
| 07-10 06:41:50 | (anonymous) 0x24e3…08c3 | No | BUY | 405 | 96¢ | $387 | 0xe6186b… |
| 07-10 06:41:50 | (anonymous) 0x4c87…99cd | Yes | BUY | 405 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xe6186b… |
| 07-10 06:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xc6a1…9443 | No | BUY | 463 | 96¢ | $443 | 0x2578a8… |
| 07-10 06:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c87…99cd | Yes | BUY | 463 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x2578a8… |
| 07-10 06:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x4209…f2b0 | Yes | BUY | 450 | 4¢ | $19 | 0xab3655… |
| 07-10 06:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x5ad4…fc6e | No | BUY | 450 | 96¢ | $431 | 0xab3655… |
| 07-10 06:41:35 | (anonymous) 0xa7db…2c98 | No | BUY | 418 | 96¢ | $400 | 0x808684… |
| 07-10 06:41:35 | (anonymous) 0x4209…f2b0 | Yes | BUY | 418 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x808684… |
| 07-10 06:35:01 | (anonymous) 0xa09a…8fb1 | No | SELL | 337 | 96¢ | $322 | 0x0d0f89… |
| 07-10 06:35:01 | (anonymous) 0x76f1…5c04 | No | SELL | 341 | 96¢ | $326 | 0x0d0f89… |