Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$212,696
$23 in 24h
Trades
1,404
Unique wallets
418
Liquidity
$14,559
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 06:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.0K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $110.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $28 | $3.7K | $3.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $337 | $1.8K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $533 | $5.5K | $4.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 347 | $4.4K | $94.6K | $90.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $5 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $167 | $734 | $567 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $22 | $63 | $41 |
| Median | 49 | $801 | $6.4K | $5.6K |
| Below median | 25 | $174 | $2.3K | $2.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $41 | $202 | $161 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $336 | $1.2K | $853 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $22 | $612 | $590 |
| unranked | 292 | $3.7K | $91.9K | $88.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scholarly-Dock 0x3e6a…e86d | Yes | +2,841 | $173 | $491 | 94 | 07-27 01:01 |
| Well-Worn-Infancy 0xd980…5be0 | Yes | +2,352 | $165 | $165 | 2 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Stable-Fog 0x1de9…831d | No | +2,151 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 05-28 11:23 |
| Wan-Bottle 0xa4c8…b0ec | Yes | +2,119 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 07-01 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | +1,878 | $93 | $227 | 9 | 07-28 11:38 |
| Helpful-Backbone 0x9133…3ec5 | Yes | +1,224 | $50 | $50 | 6 | 07-13 06:46 |
| Medium-Anyone 0x0909…80b5 | Yes | +1,185 | $49 | $49 | 6 | 07-14 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x990a…60d9 | Yes | +1,172 | $48 | $48 | 6 | 07-13 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3798…8dc6 | Yes | +1,135 | $47 | $47 | 6 | 07-13 07:58 |
| Rundown-Sidestream 0x28fe…6d1d | No | +642 | $614 | $1,757 | 3 | 07-10 08:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fef…f6eb | No | +639 | $612 | $612 | 1 | 07-10 08:27 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +600 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-23 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x859c…04df | No | +597 | $571 | $1,786 | 3 | 07-10 08:25 |
| Bony-Dependency 0x4cbe…100a | No | +368 | $348 | $1,447 | 9 | 06-16 12:12 |
| Enchanted-Rhythm 0xb6dc…2f06 | Yes | +333 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-05 19:46 |
| Insignificant-Sombrero 0xedbd…5210 | No | +222 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 07-14 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…b346 | No | +221 | $212 | $212 | 1 | 07-13 06:45 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +219 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-26 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x03c2…6302 | No | +219 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 07-13 06:46 |
| Euphoric-Spectacles 0xaa4c…f25d | No | +212 | $203 | $203 | 1 | 07-13 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6fa…b962 | No | +208 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 07-14 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4a7…d77d | No | +207 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 07-14 06:55 |
| Difficult-Fatigues 0x0002…e33f | No | +206 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 07-13 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18d…4ded | No | +206 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 07-13 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f74…3772 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-13 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cd9…3bd0 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-13 06:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ec2…9075 | No | +200 | $192 | $192 | 1 | 07-13 07:56 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +197 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 06-02 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a9c…7a39 | No | +196 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 07-13 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a0c…6b95 | No | +193 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 07-14 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9441…e5e3 | No | +192 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-13 07:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x70aa…0871 | No | +191 | $183 | $183 | 1 | 07-13 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x15ed…42c3 | No | +190 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 07-13 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3adf…49ef | No | +189 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 07-13 07:56 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +188 | $179 | $494 | 7 | 07-19 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5976…c598 | No | +188 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 07-13 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c05…fc2a | No | +186 | $178 | $178 | 1 | 07-13 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8260…c9d4 | No | +183 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 07-14 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd33…c88e | No | +182 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 07-13 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d72…66f2 | No | +177 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 07-13 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe057…8bc5 | No | +176 | $169 | $169 | 1 | 07-13 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x31b8…f929 | Yes | +88 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 07-23 08:00 |
| Eager-Football 0x3c5a…022d | Yes | +84 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 05:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b2…c0fd | Yes | +67 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-11 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xad0f…29a6 | Yes | +67 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-11 02:08 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +55 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 01:15 |
| Grown-Error 0xf949…80e0 | Yes | +48 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 16:46 |
| Exemplary-Drive 0x3c69…2cfb | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 05:09 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-09 01:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x79aa…5808 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-31 19:31 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 07:01 |
| Actual-Waiver 0xc973…bdab | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 09:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd29d…765c | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x21d9…c423 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 14:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8dc…7416 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x127d…58b6 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa50a…4269 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xe460…e3c4 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:13:51 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf2cacd… |
| 08-01 06:13:51 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf2cacd… |
| 07-31 21:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x813b…7624 | No | SELL | 133 | 97¢ | $129 | 0xad5f5e… |
| 07-31 21:02:48 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xad5f5e… |
| 07-31 21:02:48 | (anonymous) 0xd6ab…e432 | No | BUY | 33 | 97¢ | $32 | 0xad5f5e… |
| 07-31 21:02:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xad5f5e… |
| 07-31 20:45:18 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0xb98c91… |
| 07-31 20:45:18 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 133 | 98¢ | $130 | 0xb98c91… |
| 07-31 20:45:18 | (anonymous) 0x813b…7624 | No | BUY | 133 | 98¢ | $130 | 0xb98c91… |
| 07-31 19:31:29 | (anonymous) 0x79aa…5808 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x30f2d8… |
| 07-31 19:31:29 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x30f2d8… |
| 07-31 19:31:29 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x30f2d8… |
| 07-31 11:48:33 | Acceptable-Sleuth 0xf60f…8f61 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x3c673f… |
| 07-31 11:48:33 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x3c673f… |
| 07-31 08:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x9e8095… |
| 07-31 08:25:54 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x9e8095… |
| 07-31 08:25:54 | (anonymous) 0xd506…5052 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9e8095… |
| 07-31 07:18:06 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | BUY | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0xa19951… |
| 07-31 07:18:06 | (anonymous) 0x6cd3…c987 | No | SELL | 32 | 97¢ | $31 | 0xa19951… |
| 07-31 06:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 320 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x52c49a… |
| 07-31 06:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x6cd3…c987 | No | SELL | 320 | 97¢ | $311 | 0x52c49a… |
| 07-31 06:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x6cd3…c987 | No | SELL | 258 | 97¢ | $251 | 0x82dc4b… |
| 07-31 06:44:26 | Self-Reliant-Factory 0xe599…5d34 | No | SELL | 341 | 97¢ | $331 | 0x82dc4b… |
| 07-31 06:44:26 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 599 | 3¢ | $17 | 0x82dc4b… |
| 07-31 06:43:51 | Self-Reliant-Factory 0xe599…5d34 | No | SELL | 261 | 97¢ | $254 | 0xb52c52… |
| 07-31 06:43:51 | (anonymous) 0x3051…2418 | No | SELL | 208 | 97¢ | $202 | 0xb52c52… |
| 07-31 06:43:51 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 469 | 3¢ | $13 | 0xb52c52… |
| 07-31 06:42:18 | (anonymous) 0x3051…2418 | No | SELL | 336 | 97¢ | $327 | 0x5a0150… |
| 07-31 06:42:18 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 336 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x5a0150… |
| 07-31 06:41:36 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 398 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x8effd9… |
| 07-31 06:41:36 | (anonymous) 0x09f6…e19d | No | SELL | 342 | 97¢ | $332 | 0x8effd9… |
| 07-31 06:41:36 | (anonymous) 0x3051…2418 | No | SELL | 56 | 97¢ | $54 | 0x8effd9… |
| 07-31 06:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 389 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x4026a1… |
| 07-31 06:41:00 | Villainous-Giggle 0xf61b…d8ec | No | SELL | 105 | 97¢ | $102 | 0x4026a1… |
| 07-31 06:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x09f6…e19d | No | SELL | 284 | 97¢ | $276 | 0x4026a1… |
| 07-31 06:40:41 | Villainous-Giggle 0xf61b…d8ec | No | SELL | 268 | 97¢ | $260 | 0xfadd9d… |
| 07-31 06:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 268 | 3¢ | $8 | 0xfadd9d… |
| 07-31 06:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 521 | 3¢ | $15 | 0xa0b4b1… |
| 07-31 06:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x3fa1…dd05 | No | SELL | 272 | 97¢ | $264 | 0xa0b4b1… |
| 07-31 06:40:11 | Villainous-Giggle 0xf61b…d8ec | No | SELL | 249 | 97¢ | $242 | 0xa0b4b1… |
| 07-31 06:39:38 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x211b9b… |
| 07-31 06:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x3fa1…dd05 | No | SELL | 335 | 97¢ | $326 | 0x211b9b… |
| 07-31 06:39:38 | (anonymous) 0xd506…5052 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x211b9b… |
| 07-31 06:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x67df…9434 | Yes | SELL | 366 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x211b9b… |
| 07-31 03:13:47 | (anonymous) 0xd506…5052 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x318faa… |
| 07-31 03:13:47 | (anonymous) 0x6af4…34aa | No | BUY | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x318faa… |
| 07-31 03:13:47 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x318faa… |
| 07-31 01:43:51 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9b2265… |
| 07-31 01:43:51 | (anonymous) 0xd506…5052 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9b2265… |
| 07-30 14:15:36 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf2d2f1… |
| 07-30 14:15:36 | (anonymous) 0xd506…5052 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf2d2f1… |
| 07-30 12:52:06 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa421a2… |
| 07-30 12:52:06 | (anonymous) 0xd506…5052 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa421a2… |
| 07-30 06:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x1157…51fd | No | SELL | 405 | 97¢ | $393 | 0xab8cc2… |
| 07-30 06:59:33 | Equal-Waffle 0xaf31…8586 | No | SELL | 588 | 97¢ | $571 | 0xab8cc2… |
| 07-30 06:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x943e…32d6 | Yes | SELL | 993 | 3¢ | $29 | 0xab8cc2… |
| 07-30 06:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x1157…51fd | No | SELL | 222 | 97¢ | $216 | 0xfedec2… |
| 07-30 06:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xeabb…9936 | No | SELL | 341 | 97¢ | $331 | 0xfedec2… |
| 07-30 06:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x943e…32d6 | Yes | SELL | 563 | 3¢ | $16 | 0xfedec2… |
| 07-30 06:59:00 | (anonymous) 0x943e…32d6 | Yes | SELL | 493 | 3¢ | $14 | 0x1ee581… |
| 07-30 06:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xeabb…9936 | No | SELL | 255 | 97¢ | $248 | 0x1ee581… |
| 07-30 06:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xbfaa…166f | No | SELL | 238 | 97¢ | $231 | 0x1ee581… |
| 07-30 06:58:44 | (anonymous) 0x943e…32d6 | Yes | SELL | 362 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x30b14a… |
| 07-30 06:58:44 | (anonymous) 0xbfaa…166f | No | SELL | 362 | 97¢ | $352 | 0x30b14a… |
| 07-30 06:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x2355…b121 | No | SELL | 656 | 97¢ | $637 | 0x5e4f57… |
| 07-30 06:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x943e…32d6 | Yes | SELL | 656 | 3¢ | $19 | 0x5e4f57… |
| 07-30 06:38:45 | Deafening-Antennae-Cytoplasm 0x15a9…fd4b | No | SELL | 622 | 97¢ | $604 | 0x8b456b… |
| 07-30 06:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x943e…32d6 | Yes | SELL | 622 | 3¢ | $18 | 0x8b456b… |
| 07-30 01:57:56 | Third-Pimple 0xbfe8…8360 | No | SELL | 540 | 97¢ | $524 | 0x8f3b26… |
| 07-30 01:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 540 | 3¢ | $16 | 0x8f3b26… |
| 07-30 01:57:36 | Third-Pimple 0xbfe8…8360 | No | SELL | 114 | 97¢ | $111 | 0xffa2d3… |
| 07-30 01:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x02a6…d391 | No | SELL | 605 | 97¢ | $587 | 0xffa2d3… |
| 07-30 01:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 1,064 | 3¢ | $31 | 0xffa2d3… |
| 07-30 01:57:36 | Meager-Strand 0xa0e7…ee25 | No | SELL | 345 | 97¢ | $335 | 0xffa2d3… |
| 07-30 01:57:08 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 369 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x03d473… |
| 07-30 01:57:08 | Meager-Strand 0xa0e7…ee25 | No | SELL | 307 | 97¢ | $298 | 0x03d473… |
| 07-30 01:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x43f9…5452 | No | SELL | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0x03d473… |
| 07-30 01:56:33 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 562 | 3¢ | $16 | 0x64ca9d… |
| 07-30 01:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x43f9…5452 | No | SELL | 562 | 97¢ | $546 | 0x64ca9d… |
| 07-30 01:55:50 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 311 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x3f3815… |
| 07-30 01:55:50 | (anonymous) 0x43f9…5452 | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0x3f3815… |
| 07-30 01:55:50 | Animated-Cross 0x40ec…8e2b | No | SELL | 285 | 97¢ | $277 | 0x3f3815… |
| 07-30 01:55:26 | Animated-Cross 0x40ec…8e2b | No | SELL | 426 | 97¢ | $414 | 0x752845… |
| 07-30 01:55:26 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 426 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x752845… |
| 07-30 01:48:15 | (anonymous) 0xf246…83a9 | No | SELL | 639 | 97¢ | $620 | 0x45999c… |
| 07-30 01:48:15 | (anonymous) 0xf87c…bc0a | Yes | SELL | 639 | 3¢ | $19 | 0x45999c… |
| 07-29 18:59:00 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd939b2… |
| 07-29 18:59:00 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd939b2… |
| 07-29 09:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa54a83… |
| 07-29 09:26:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa54a83… |
| 07-29 09:26:27 | Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504 | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xa54a83… |
| 07-28 12:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x341605… |
| 07-28 12:36:14 | Proper-Cloak 0x0da2…a67f | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x341605… |
| 07-28 11:38:07 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | SELL | 611 | 4¢ | $23 | 0x095eb6… |
| 07-28 11:38:07 | (anonymous) 0xd231…f649 | No | SELL | 611 | 96¢ | $588 | 0x095eb6… |
| 07-28 11:37:02 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x163e76… |
| 07-28 11:37:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x163e76… |
| 07-28 11:36:23 | Lanky-Message 0xc784…7f31 | No | SELL | 623 | 96¢ | $601 | 0xfd665e… |
| 07-28 11:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x51be…e379 | Yes | SELL | 623 | 4¢ | $22 | 0xfd665e… |
| 07-28 11:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x8132…6f69 | No | SELL | 609 | 96¢ | $587 | 0xdc2088… |