Grown-Error 0xf94980…d980e0
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
383
lifetime
Volume
$5.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$218
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-29 20:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
46% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +494 $69 18¢ $86 +$17 06-18 18:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +605 $77 14¢ $82 +$5 06-27 20:33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +236 $29 8¢ $20 $-9 06-14 21:40
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +240 $19 6¢ $16 $-3 06-25 01:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +60 $11 16¢ $9 $-1 06-04 10:36
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-6 8¢ $-3 +$3 06-04 08:06
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $3 4¢ $2 $-1 06-02 16:46