Grown-Error 0xf94980…d980e0
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$42
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
215
lifetime
Volume
$2.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$292
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-09 19:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79% — —
Other
21% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +254 $39 26¢ $67 +$29 06-06 07:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +60 $44 90¢ $54 +$10 06-06 07:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +395 $51 12¢ $49 $-2 06-08 06:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +700 $23 5¢ $33 +$10 06-07 07:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +40 $21 70¢ $28 +$7 06-04 19:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-7 64¢ $-12 $-6 05-31 21:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -100 $-4 12¢ $-12 $-8 06-04 07:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +60 $11 18¢ $10 $-0 06-04 10:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +12 $8 84¢ $10 +$3 06-05 07:02
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-6 16¢ $-7 $-1 06-04 08:06
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +45 $4 8¢ $4 $-0 06-08 20:08
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $3 5¢ $2 $-1 06-02 16:46
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes -23 $-1 3¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 10:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -23 $-0 3¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:12