(anonymous) 0xd29d50…30765c
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Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
223
Trades
644
lifetime
Volume
$968
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$18
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-22 00:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
56% 39% +$38
Crypto
33% 62% $0
Other
10% 57% -$10
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $5 57¢ $4 -$1 09-12 16:16
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +45 $5 8¢ $4 -$1 07-27 22:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +14 $5 24¢ $3 -$2 09-12 16:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-21 21:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 09-12 16:07
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 09-09 15:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +4 $1 13¢ $1 $0 06-22 22:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +8 $1 6¢ $0 $0 06-28 18:31
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-24 07:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-22 22:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-22 22:58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +79 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-27 22:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +2 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-13 05:42
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 Yes +6 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-22 22:22