Handmade-Retrospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

16,659

lifetime

Volume

$190.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 04-19 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

69% 47% $-0

Politics

25% 50% +$4

Sports

3% 44% +$6

Crypto

2% 0% $-118

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 1370 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	847	$9.6K	9,672	10,333	-662	open	—	03-17 15:19
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	299	$8.5K	8,611	9,770	-1,159	open	—	03-28 17:05
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	718	$7.9K	7,824	8,229	-405	open	—	03-17 15:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	788	$6.3K	5,718	6,273	-555	open	—	03-13 15:57
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	431	$6.2K	5,509	6,357	-847	open	—	03-30 00:38
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	727	$6.1K	5,827	6,656	-830	open	—	03-13 15:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	379	$5.5K	5,712	5,831	-119	open	—	03-30 03:30
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	380	$4.8K	5,026	5,680	-654	open	—	03-30 05:41
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	584	$4.1K	4,295	4,654	-359	open	—	03-13 12:49
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	322	$3.7K	3,935	4,557	-622	open	—	03-17 11:51
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	110	$3.3K	3,454	3,930	-476	open	—	03-27 07:57
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	113	$3.0K	3,116	3,771	-655	open	—	03-29 03:48
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	143	$3.0K	3,938	3,987	-49	open	—	04-14 06:42
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	205	$2.9K	3,163	3,661	-498	open	—	03-17 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	255	$2.4K	1,787	1,987	-200	open	—	03-13 15:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	97	$2.3K	2,288	2,388	-100	open	—	03-26 09:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	65	$2.2K	1,796	1,914	-117	open	—	03-28 01:20
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	377	$2.0K	2,098	2,142	-45	open	—	03-20 09:37
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	114	$2.0K	2,166	2,280	-114	open	—	03-16 02:20
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	381	$1.9K	1,783	1,783	+1	open	—	03-20 10:07
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	146	$1.9K	2,012	2,036	-24	open	—	03-26 10:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	66	$1.8K	1,555	1,535	+20	open	—	03-31 01:58
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	163	$1.8K	1,677	1,770	-94	open	—	03-18 23:29
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	155	$1.7K	1,570	1,984	-414	open	—	03-29 11:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	43	$1.7K	1,548	1,607	-59	open	—	03-30 00:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	337	$1.7K	1,689	1,688	+1	open	—	03-20 15:33
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	67	$1.6K	2,069	2,068	+1	open	—	04-12 22:30
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	227	$1.6K	1,898	1,942	-44	open	—	03-19 07:46
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	96	$1.6K	2,582	2,561	+22	open	—	03-26 20:04
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	73	$1.5K	1,550	1,454	+96	open	—	03-27 23:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 16:37:56	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$1	0x451d47…
04-17 10:14:18	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x141642…
04-16 23:02:14	Will Kai Havertz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9001ae…
04-16 22:00:18	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xb96685…
04-16 18:16:42	Will Matheus Cunha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x5f5096…
04-16 16:53:46	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x4ad099…
04-16 14:43:44	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x66f36d…
04-16 10:26:10	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x347b33…
04-16 09:07:56	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x2cbe5b…
04-16 07:47:22	Will France strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xf3eb16…
04-16 07:30:36	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x85a2d4…
04-16 05:25:28	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xc6aea5…
04-16 03:16:42	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xad2080…
04-16 00:22:46	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x1a5fb2…
04-15 23:11:56	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xec3f2b…
04-15 17:53:22	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb64647…
04-15 16:02:24	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0x6d4079…
04-15 14:41:38	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xdb8fa5…
04-15 11:51:08	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x8ddfe2…
04-15 09:10:56	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6bf802…
04-15 08:39:38	Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xc329bb…
04-15 07:02:42	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xba00a2…
04-15 07:02:22	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x54aa32…
04-15 02:56:48	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xbfa7e2…
04-15 02:55:32	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$0	0xe46bfb…
04-15 02:15:52	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x346d86…
04-15 00:48:22	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x26285f…
04-15 00:45:16	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xf00ad2…
04-15 00:31:58	Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x030797…
04-14 23:47:12	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	499	2¢	$7	0x76b144…
04-14 23:20:02	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x6258c3…
04-14 23:15:52	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	499	1¢	$3	0x1cf1ad…
04-14 21:43:28	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0xa56a60…
04-14 20:48:14	Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xf079b6…
04-14 19:07:28	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6177ff…
04-14 17:53:20	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xe7ceea…
04-14 17:50:46	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x0daac0…
04-14 16:18:05	Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x80f47d…
04-14 15:21:17	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xe91863…
04-14 15:07:11	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	56	30¢	$17	0xff6eba…
04-14 15:07:11	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x4a4272…
04-14 14:32:23	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xb462d4…
04-14 14:26:23	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xb7d6d3…
04-14 13:22:55	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x6a872b…
04-14 12:51:03	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x097fd8…
04-14 12:41:27	Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb47069…
04-14 12:39:07	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x36ed00…
04-14 12:04:51	Will Sunderland finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x3ad5f1…
04-14 12:02:09	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xdebfb9…
04-14 11:17:49	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	97	5¢	$5	0x68230a…
04-14 11:12:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x0d9e2e…
04-14 11:10:57	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x4f6cfc…
04-14 11:09:33	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x2b5c44…
04-14 11:06:23	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$4	0xf6d714…
04-14 11:02:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd974cc…
04-14 11:01:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9da9d1…
04-14 10:46:01	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	383	1¢	$3	0xbd7150…
04-14 10:43:01	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x438289…
04-14 10:39:55	Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x6df5a0…
04-14 10:20:47	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x4554e4…
04-14 10:08:59	Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xd9d1d5…
04-14 10:08:59	Will Fulham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xd79fa2…
04-14 10:08:57	Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x5a2676…
04-14 10:08:55	Will Arsenal finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6b9851…
04-14 10:07:05	Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x3371fe…
04-14 10:00:11	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x41ce01…
04-14 09:59:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xeb8ab7…
04-14 09:58:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x34c9b4…
04-14 09:56:09	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x99c03f…
04-14 09:52:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x42615b…
04-14 09:50:27	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x4857b6…
04-14 09:31:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x3152e6…
04-14 09:29:33	Will Benjamin Sesko be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x89cae0…
04-14 09:21:03	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$1	0x27fc4e…
04-14 09:19:17	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xf08660…
04-14 09:16:35	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x9827c6…
04-14 09:10:25	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	329	7¢	$23	0x61b028…
04-14 09:05:59	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0x3c91bd…
04-14 09:03:59	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xdb0fe4…
04-14 09:03:09	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xaf000e…
04-14 09:01:31	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x3a4086…
04-14 08:58:23	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf4c91a…
04-14 08:51:19	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x40768d…
04-14 08:50:43	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x22fa6e…
04-14 08:50:15	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	106	13¢	$13	0x01f068…
04-14 08:49:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x84e099…
04-14 08:47:19	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x936f73…
04-14 08:46:57	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x8c803a…
04-14 08:46:03	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xa0a4a4…
04-14 08:43:51	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x220009…
04-14 08:43:25	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd1b68b…
04-14 08:42:53	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	348	0¢	$1	0x6dc664…
04-14 08:42:15	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xda5395…
04-14 08:41:51	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$3	0xc916ad…
04-14 08:41:41	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0xd03145…
04-14 08:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd91647…
04-14 08:38:53	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0x40d016…
04-14 08:37:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x06fb69…
04-14 08:35:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0fe593…
04-14 08:27:57	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	5¢	$13	0x5a4417…