Realized P&L
+$4.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$219
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,125
lifetime
Volume
$1.12M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$999
Open exposure
$99.1K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 07-20 12:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$6
Politics
34% 100% +$2,813
Crypto
12%
Sports
12% 100% +$1,548
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +23,393 $21,040 90¢ $21.2K +$131 07-12 11:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +21,242 $19,711 94¢ $20.1K +$363 07-15 14:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -16,000 $-15,614 97¢ $-15480 +$134 07-14 14:56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +14,318 $12,687 86¢ $12.4K $-302 07-19 20:02
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +13,378 $12,220 92¢ $12.4K +$155 07-19 20:19
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -11,239 $-10,452 96¢ $-10806 $-354 05-31 17:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,002 $4,540 92¢ $4.6K +$37 07-13 07:14
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +2,151 $2,000 96¢ $2.1K +$59 05-28 11:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -116 $-101 90¢ $-104 $-3 06-02 12:08
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No -105 $-100 96¢ $-100 $-0 07-06 08:46