Stable-Fog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,154

lifetime

Volume

$1.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.00K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 08-10 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$6

Politics

35% 100% +$2,813

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$1,548

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	2	$41.1K	21,139	21,139	+0	open	—	02-05 12:22
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	2	$41.1K	20,944	20,944	+0	open	—	02-05 07:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	35	$37.9K	38,720	0	+38,720	open	—	04-17 04:26
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	78	$37.4K	18,772	18,772	+0	open	—	02-28 09:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	10	$34.1K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	05-16 06:38
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	12	$29.9K	14,982	14,982	+0	open	—	03-05 21:26
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	19	$29.8K	22,903	11,586	+11,318	open	—	08-11 09:04
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	9	$28.2K	30,108	0	+30,108	open	—	07-29 17:50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	10	$26.2K	0	27,000	-27,000	open	—	07-30 08:14
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$26.2K	3,053	25,047	-21,995	open	—	04-10 16:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	26	$25.8K	26,028	0	+26,028	open	—	03-24 13:35
atp alcaraz fils 2026 02 21	3	$23.6K	11,878	11,883	-5	open	—	02-21 19:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	14	$23.0K	25,478	0	+25,478	open	—	08-11 09:04
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	20	$21.9K	22,211	0	+22,211	open	—	04-03 14:05
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$20.1K	0	20,325	-20,325	open	—	02-17 07:30
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$20.1K	10,614	10,614	+0	open	—	03-08 20:16
will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$20.1K	10,072	10,072	+0	open	—	03-10 07:06
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$20.0K	20,390	0	+20,390	open	—	02-07 10:53
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	1	$20.0K	20,293	0	+20,293	open	—	07-12 18:46
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$20.0K	20,332	0	+20,332	open	—	02-28 09:29
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	2	$20.0K	20,443	0	+20,443	open	—	07-05 11:05
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$20.0K	20,080	0	+20,080	open	—	03-03 06:26
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	1	$20.0K	20,254	0	+20,254	open	—	02-17 07:31
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 7pt5	1	$20.0K	20,101	0	+20,101	open	—	07-09 12:28
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 8pt5	1	$20.0K	20,042	0	+20,042	open	—	07-10 09:54
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 8pt5	1	$20.0K	20,040	0	+20,040	open	—	07-06 17:57
atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	1	$20.0K	20,050	0	+20,050	open	—	07-08 16:20
atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	1	$20.0K	20,080	0	+20,080	open	—	07-10 14:35
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 8pt5	1	$20.0K	20,044	0	+20,044	open	—	07-10 22:11
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-22 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:10:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,688	93¢	$2,500	0x38c294…
08-11 09:04:55	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	83¢	$2,490	0xecf9cd…
08-11 09:04:25	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	2,085	93¢	$1,939	0x334a74…
08-11 09:02:40	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,939	0xbfd937…
08-10 07:14:33	atp pankin palan 2026 08 10	Semen Pankin	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x616f4b…
08-09 16:55:36	wnba las nyl 2026 08 09	New York Liberty	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0995a9…
08-06 10:58:06	wta barthel yaneva 2026 08 06	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x0e1d8a…
08-05 13:50:32	atp ribecai berkiet 2026 08 05	Michele Ribecai	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1adde0…
08-04 17:29:17	atp mccabe lajovic 2026 08 03	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39bf56…
08-03 08:59:42	wta falei radwans 2026 08 03	Aliona Falei	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd084f1…
08-02 11:17:30	atp choinsk mackenz 2026 08 02	Jan Choinski	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x061662…
08-01 10:21:59	itf hohmann tarvet 2026 08 01	Oliver Tarvet	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x1304f8…
07-31 16:51:03	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd606ce…
07-31 09:39:21	atp miyoshi ursu 2026 07 31	Kenta Miyoshi	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x67c6e0…
07-30 08:15:42	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	3,114	93¢	$2,900	0x71135f…
07-30 08:14:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	97¢	$2,898	0xb53809…
07-29 17:50:50	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	645	93¢	$600	0x3099a0…
07-29 09:31:44	atp choinsk barrena 2026 07 29	Jan Choinski	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd7426d…
07-28 18:10:56	mlb cle cin 2026 07 27	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x2c45c2…
07-27 10:24:42	wta quevedo fetecau 2026 07 27	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x840ead…
07-27 07:47:37	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2,151	93¢	$2,000	0xf9c3f2…
07-27 07:45:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,935	0x693c6c…
07-26 08:46:45	atp dedurap virtane 2026 07 26	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf2899b…
07-25 08:06:52	itf balan amariei 2026 07 25	Ilinca Dalina Amariei	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5a634b…
07-24 15:37:51	wta korpats kalinin 2026 07 24	Tamara Korpatsch	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc11fd4…
07-24 15:34:00	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	10,753	93¢	$10,000	0x27641a…
07-24 08:42:57	itf lagutin angelin 2026 07 24	Pavel Lagutin	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x95b47b…
07-23 10:23:57	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2,045	94¢	$1,922	0x5ff242…
07-23 10:23:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,926	0xf4baed…
07-22 14:15:40	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2,066	93¢	$1,925	0x58b113…
07-22 14:14:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,929	0x4ec61f…
07-22 08:58:37	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2,075	93¢	$1,930	0xb19bfc…
07-22 08:57:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,933	0x6ac1d5…
07-20 12:41:13	btc updown 5m 1784551200	Down	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x4080de…
07-20 12:41:12	btc updown 5m 1784551200	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf8e388…
07-20 12:31:49	btc updown 5m 1784551200	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe61b9a…
07-20 11:10:07	btc updown 5m 1784545800	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x13fe32…
07-20 11:10:06	btc updown 5m 1784545800	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x805021…
07-20 11:10:06	btc updown 5m 1784545800	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x69075b…
07-20 11:10:06	btc updown 5m 1784545800	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x409fa9…
07-20 11:07:09	btc updown 5m 1784545800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2f59e9…
07-19 20:19:39	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	882	93¢	$820	0x3b20a5…
07-19 20:02:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$828	0xd96eb0…
07-18 10:14:16	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	2,554	98¢	$2,500	0x633c6c…
07-18 10:13:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	2,900	84¢	$2,440	0xe12b58…
07-17 14:19:27	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	3,238	93¢	$3,000	0x9a9f92…
07-17 14:17:33	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	85¢	$2,561	0x9b1bae…
07-16 22:01:32	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	6,111	98¢	$6,000	0x036f5f…
07-16 09:03:53	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0x47dbe1…
07-15 14:32:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x121e7e…
07-15 14:19:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0xbecbe0…
07-15 14:19:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xee8a64…
07-15 14:15:59	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xf3eb0d…
07-15 14:15:31	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$21	0xd0fcbf…
07-15 14:15:28	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	180	88¢	$158	0xaf1d0d…
07-15 14:15:13	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x49ca9d…
07-15 14:15:11	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0xfe0d93…
07-15 14:15:10	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	1,430	88¢	$1,258	0x2a7342…
07-15 09:29:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	7,908	100¢	$7,900	0x807518…
07-14 21:00:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,290	93¢	$3,060	0xfddbcc…
07-14 20:58:35	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	3,226	95¢	$3,060	0x5b9385…
07-14 14:57:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,141	93¢	$2,921	0x53976e…
07-14 14:56:11	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,925	0x5e385d…
07-14 14:50:50	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0x834104…
07-14 09:23:10	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3,158	95¢	$3,000	0x7e1865…
07-13 14:30:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0xab86cd…
07-13 07:15:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,935	93¢	$2,730	0x2a8532…
07-13 07:14:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	91¢	$2,730	0xb51efa…
07-13 07:10:05	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4,112	95¢	$3,900	0x76aeb7…
07-13 07:09:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	98¢	$3,901	0x7cdcdb…
07-12 19:56:40	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0x6793a4…
07-12 19:55:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	91¢	$2,730	0xc45548…
07-12 18:46:34	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	20,293	99¢	$20,000	0x9d29e1…
07-12 12:26:40	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3,103	94¢	$2,924	0x2ffca6…
07-12 12:25:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,928	0x25a1d9…
07-12 11:39:47	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	3,261	92¢	$3,000	0xa1bbda…
07-12 11:38:47	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,929	0xb6679b…
07-12 08:43:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	98¢	$2,931	0x638aad…
07-12 08:42:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,226	93¢	$3,000	0x54c255…
07-11 20:31:05	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x430444…
07-10 22:11:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20,044	100¢	$20,000	0x4bf689…
07-10 14:35:17	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10	Alexander Zverev	BUY	20,080	100¢	$20,000	0x45da1b…
07-10 09:54:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20,042	100¢	$20,000	0xca2fb0…
07-09 12:28:11	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	20,101	99¢	$20,000	0x218747…
07-08 16:20:58	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Alexander Zverev	BUY	20,050	100¢	$20,000	0xb597ec…
07-08 13:19:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,495	91¢	$5,000	0xadfc4a…
07-07 10:38:35	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	2,204	91¢	$2,000	0x88f374…
07-06 17:57:04	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20,040	100¢	$20,000	0x67a9cf…
07-06 13:24:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	4,435	90¢	$4,000	0x25abb9…
07-06 08:50:13	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	2,175	92¢	$2,000	0x88e82f…
07-06 08:47:47	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x7d9e65…
07-06 08:46:26	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x67bcad…
07-05 11:05:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	3,785	98¢	$3,713	0xde4e85…
07-05 11:05:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	16,658	98¢	$16,287	0x21da72…
07-04 09:22:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,333	90¢	$3,000	0x231f40…
07-03 20:30:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1d7403…
07-02 20:29:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1,848	99¢	$1,830	0xd34aa2…
07-02 20:29:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	860	99¢	$851	0x99bdb2…
07-02 20:29:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x6cb521…
07-02 20:29:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x003c20…