Realized P&L
+$3.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
502
lifetime
Volume
$48.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$3.07K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 13:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$3,062
Other
31%
Crypto
6% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -1,000 $-840 84¢ $-845 $-5 06-03 19:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -490 $-402 82¢ $-404 $-2 06-08 13:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -495 $-391 80¢ $-398 $-7 06-08 13:10
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -400 $-358 90¢ $-362 $-4 06-05 18:31
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -250 $-225 84¢ $-211 +$14 05-31 05:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-200 20¢ $-200 $-0 06-05 17:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -190 $-178 93¢ $-177 +$1 06-08 13:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -190 $-169 92¢ $-174 $-5 06-08 13:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -150 $-135 92¢ $-137 $-2 05-29 16:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -100 $-80 80¢ $-80 +$0 06-01 00:48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-27 27¢ $-27 +$0 06-05 17:59
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No -16 $-13 81¢ $-13 $-0 06-08 13:12
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -9 $-9 96¢ $-9 $-0 06-03 16:17
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-08 13:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-03 16:10
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 88¢ $-8 +$0 06-03 16:13
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -9 $-8 87¢ $-8 $-0 06-03 16:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -9 $-3 26¢ $-2 +$0 06-03 16:09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -9 $-2 14¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 16:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-1 14¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 17:57