Realized P&L
+$3.08K
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
507
lifetime
Volume
$49.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$3.81K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-18 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$3,062
Other
31%
Crypto
6% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -1,000 $-840 86¢ $-865 $-25 06-03 19:20
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No -490 $-434 88¢ $-431 +$3 06-18 23:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -490 $-402 86¢ $-424 $-22 06-08 13:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -495 $-391 84¢ $-413 $-22 06-08 13:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -490 $-426 80¢ $-390 +$37 06-16 20:24
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -400 $-358 81¢ $-324 +$34 06-05 18:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 $-200 23¢ $-230 $-30 06-05 17:59
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -190 $-169 100¢ $-189 $-20 06-08 13:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -190 $-178 95¢ $-180 $-2 06-08 13:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -190 $-171 86¢ $-162 +$9 06-12 10:05
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -100 $-80 86¢ $-86 $-6 06-01 00:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -200 $-30 16¢ $-33 $-3 06-16 14:12
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-27 20¢ $-20 +$8 06-05 17:59
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No -16 $-13 89¢ $-15 $-2 06-08 13:12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No -9 $-8 99¢ $-9 $-1 06-03 16:10
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -9 $-9 98¢ $-9 $-0 06-03 16:17
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -9 $-8 96¢ $-9 $-1 06-03 16:14
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-8 $-0 06-08 13:11
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 90¢ $-8 $-0 06-03 16:13
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -9 $-3 26¢ $-2 +$0 06-03 16:09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -9 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 16:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-05 17:57