US strike on Mexico by December 31?
open
Total volume
$24,545
$695 in 24h
Trades
642
Unique wallets
184
Liquidity
$19,949
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-07 22:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+31.9¢
(top1%: 75% YES on $532
vs crowd: 43% YES on $8.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$81 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $191 | $962 | $771 |
| 🐟 Fish | 39 | $841 | $1.5K | $689 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 99 | $1.4K | $1.3K | +$137 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $397 | $135 | +$262 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $822 | $1.0K | $186 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $282 | $84 | +$197 |
| Median | 16 | $538 | $1.0K | $500 |
| Below median | 25 | $79 | $440 | $361 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $118 | $340 | $222 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $26 | $65 | $39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $51 | $177 | $126 |
| unranked | 85 | $1.4K | $1.6K | $267 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0a22…69ba | Yes | +3,286 | $814 | $814 | 2 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Minty-Luxury 0x8f15…c363 | Yes | +2,960 | $340 | $340 | 1 | 06-10 19:46 |
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +1,348 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-13 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x18e7…bea1 | Yes | +1,186 | $153 | $153 | 1 | 06-15 07:09 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +1,100 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-02 20:15 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +832 | $547 | $1,359 | 30 | 07-05 16:32 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +532 | $-8 | $219 | 6 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Odd-Deformation 0x7609…6c4e | Yes | +507 | $86 | $86 | 11 | 06-20 15:17 |
| Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | +280 | $49 | $49 | 8 | 07-02 02:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4951…53ac | Yes | +277 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-01 23:25 |
| Unwelcome-Act 0x12c9…d3be | Yes | +263 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Thirsty-Inhibition 0x2e77…6762 | No | +258 | $208 | $208 | 3 | 06-30 18:47 |
| Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | +211 | $57 | $379 | 9 | 06-20 15:17 |
| Male-Advance 0x731c…637d | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 17:59 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +162 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 07-05 16:32 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +150 | $8 | $48 | 3 | 07-05 16:32 |
| Bustling-Thief 0xb9d4…9002 | No | +148 | $126 | $126 | 1 | 07-04 17:55 |
| Hilarious-Liberty 0xb2d2…9377 | Yes | +143 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-17 23:58 |
| Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | No | +140 | $83 | $83 | 14 | 06-26 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6aa…178e | No | +110 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-01 23:43 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +104 | $11 | $15 | 2 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | +100 | $89 | $340 | 8 | 07-04 22:59 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | +100 | $23 | $41 | 4 | 06-23 23:19 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Wiry-Equal 0x9ef5…c90b | Yes | +88 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-28 10:19 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +68 | $9 | $178 | 50 | 06-30 20:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +63 | $55 | $64 | 2 | 07-04 22:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd80e…4bad | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 17:56 |
| Opulent-Citron 0x5eda…92a7 | No | +60 | $26 | $618 | 10 | 06-27 03:00 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +56 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-15 07:57 |
| Prudent-Tackle 0xae8c…1dc0 | No | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 11:50 |
| Young-Visa 0x974b…b29b | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-01 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xffeb…ebcd | No | +49 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-26 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x82dc…625e | Yes | +47 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-27 21:19 |
| Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | +43 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-27 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb0c…2a57 | Yes | +42 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-19 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-03 15:56 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 01:37 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +37 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-02 16:02 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-19 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xcab0…7b1c | Yes | +32 | $4 | $16 | 2 | 07-01 13:49 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x37c2…94d2 | Yes | +27 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 03:48 |
| Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $9 | 5 | 06-24 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +19 | $4 | $6 | 4 | 05-31 22:58 |
| Nice-Text 0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 21:01 |
| Scornful-Formula-Buyer 0x9fe6…b2d4 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $25 | 7 | 06-21 10:14 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3f5…e175 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-15 07:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 22:48:41 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd048af… |
| 07-07 22:48:41 | Self-Reliant-Rhubarb 0x55b6…f489 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd048af… |
| 07-07 20:46:13 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbc4b34… |
| 07-07 20:46:13 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbc4b34… |
| 07-06 18:39:01 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x78b659… |
| 07-06 18:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x78b659… |
| 07-06 09:01:04 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x3bcd43… |
| 07-06 09:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xa142…d7ec | Yes | SELL | 190 | 12¢ | $23 | 0x3bcd43… |
| 07-06 09:01:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 155 | 12¢ | $19 | 0x3bcd43… |
| 07-06 09:01:04 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x3bcd43… |
| 07-06 09:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x0610…d264 | No | SELL | 470 | 87¢ | $409 | 0xe07013… |
| 07-06 09:00:43 | (anonymous) 0xa142…d7ec | Yes | SELL | 470 | 13¢ | $61 | 0xe07013… |
| 07-06 09:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xa142…d7ec | Yes | SELL | 320 | 13¢ | $42 | 0xd11d27… |
| 07-06 09:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x86e7…5797 | No | SELL | 510 | 87¢ | $444 | 0xd11d27… |
| 07-06 09:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | SELL | 133 | 13¢ | $17 | 0xd11d27… |
| 07-06 09:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xd11d27… |
| 07-06 09:00:41 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd11d27… |
| 07-06 07:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xa142…d7ec | Yes | BUY | 470 | 13¢ | $61 | 0x10c2c2… |
| 07-06 07:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x0610…d264 | No | BUY | 470 | 87¢ | $409 | 0x10c2c2… |
| 07-06 07:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xa142…d7ec | Yes | BUY | 510 | 13¢ | $66 | 0x0410f3… |
| 07-06 07:49:07 | (anonymous) 0x86e7…5797 | No | BUY | 510 | 87¢ | $444 | 0x0410f3… |
| 07-06 02:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x2c56…e06f | No | SELL | 68 | 86¢ | $58 | 0x534b72… |
| 07-06 02:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 68 | 14¢ | $9 | 0x534b72… |
| 07-05 16:32:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x271a84… |
| 07-05 16:32:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x271a84… |
| 07-05 16:32:59 | Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x271a84… |
| 07-05 16:32:59 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 151 | 87¢ | $132 | 0x271a84… |
| 07-04 22:59:10 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 69 | 86¢ | $60 | 0x762403… |
| 07-04 22:59:10 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 54 | 86¢ | $47 | 0x762403… |
| 07-04 22:59:10 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x762403… |
| 07-04 17:55:14 | Bustling-Thief 0xb9d4…9002 | No | BUY | 148 | 85¢ | $126 | 0x1d9496… |
| 07-04 17:55:14 | Young-Melon 0x8768…dd9b | No | SELL | 45 | 85¢ | $38 | 0x1d9496… |
| 07-04 17:55:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x1d9496… |
| 07-04 17:55:14 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x1d9496… |
| 07-04 10:02:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x856a3c… |
| 07-04 10:02:34 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x856a3c… |
| 07-04 01:59:11 | Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x5b63e9… |
| 07-04 01:59:11 | Luminous-Submarine 0x60a3…378d | Yes | SELL | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x5b63e9… |
| 07-03 15:56:58 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xca5904… |
| 07-03 15:56:58 | Young-Melon 0x8768…dd9b | No | BUY | 45 | 83¢ | $37 | 0xca5904… |
| 07-03 15:56:58 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xca5904… |
| 07-03 10:04:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xc463df… |
| 07-03 10:04:47 | (anonymous) 0xa7f4…1e31 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xc463df… |
| 07-03 02:12:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf7c1d2… |
| 07-03 02:12:16 | Luminous-Submarine 0x60a3…378d | Yes | BUY | 110 | 18¢ | $20 | 0xf7c1d2… |
| 07-02 19:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x42b3…c57e | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2d48ae… |
| 07-02 19:29:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2d48ae… |
| 07-02 02:24:17 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd989a3… |
| 07-02 02:24:17 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x584464… |
| 07-02 02:24:17 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xd989a3… |
| 07-02 02:24:17 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x584464… |
| 07-02 02:24:16 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x018a30… |
| 07-02 02:24:16 | Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x018a30… |
| 07-02 00:35:53 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x4e263c… |
| 07-02 00:35:53 | Idle-Sick 0x3ecd…26b1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x4e263c… |
| 07-01 23:43:50 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 110 | 82¢ | $90 | 0xad07ee… |
| 07-01 23:43:50 | (anonymous) 0xf6aa…178e | No | BUY | 110 | 82¢ | $90 | 0xad07ee… |
| 07-01 23:43:50 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0xa514dc… |
| 07-01 23:43:50 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xa514dc… |
| 07-01 20:26:46 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 125 | 82¢ | $102 | 0xf0c8d5… |
| 07-01 20:26:46 | Innocent-Kid 0x386c…8323 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 18¢ | $22 | 0xf0c8d5… |
| 07-01 18:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x28ad…6e28 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x620337… |
| 07-01 18:05:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $0 | 0x620337… |
| 07-01 18:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x620337… |
| 07-01 13:49:05 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 31 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4d22ef… |
| 07-01 13:49:05 | (anonymous) 0xcab0…7b1c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 18¢ | $6 | 0x4d22ef… |
| 07-01 13:40:19 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x57fbea… |
| 07-01 13:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x9e34…46e7 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x57fbea… |
| 07-01 05:14:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x3e150f… |
| 07-01 05:14:13 | Parallel-Permit 0xed4d…1a9d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3e150f… |
| 06-30 21:34:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x240cbe… |
| 06-30 21:34:08 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x240cbe… |
| 06-30 21:34:08 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x240cbe… |
| 06-30 20:51:37 | (anonymous) 0xb0f5…eebd | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x4485ac… |
| 06-30 20:51:37 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 112 | 17¢ | $19 | 0x4485ac… |
| 06-30 20:51:37 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 17¢ | $12 | 0x4485ac… |
| 06-30 20:51:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 26 | 83¢ | $22 | 0x4485ac… |
| 06-30 20:51:14 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xc9b80e… |
| 06-30 20:51:14 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xc9b80e… |
| 06-30 20:51:14 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0xc9b80e… |
| 06-30 20:51:14 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 258 | 18¢ | $46 | 0xc9b80e… |
| 06-30 20:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc9b80e… |
| 06-30 18:47:26 | Innocent-Kid 0x386c…8323 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 20¢ | $25 | 0x48c98f… |
| 06-30 18:47:26 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 14 | 80¢ | $12 | 0x48c98f… |
| 06-30 18:47:26 | Thirsty-Inhibition 0x2e77…6762 | No | BUY | 111 | 80¢ | $88 | 0x48c98f… |
| 06-29 17:50:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0xe5cc66… |
| 06-29 17:50:59 | Determined-Councilman 0x0ea2…1a5f | No | SELL | 15 | 80¢ | $12 | 0xe5cc66… |
| 06-29 14:11:08 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x7df710… |
| 06-29 14:11:08 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x7df710… |
| 06-29 07:29:40 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x98376b… |
| 06-29 07:29:40 | (anonymous) 0x717f…567c | No | SELL | 3 | 81¢ | $3 | 0x98376b… |
| 06-28 07:10:20 | Thirsty-Inhibition 0x2e77…6762 | No | BUY | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0x72e542… |
| 06-28 07:10:20 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0x72e542… |
| 06-28 07:10:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xd3cad3… |
| 06-28 07:10:08 | Thirsty-Inhibition 0x2e77…6762 | No | BUY | 100 | 81¢ | $81 | 0xd3cad3… |
| 06-28 02:08:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 38 | 81¢ | $31 | 0x50cf77… |
| 06-28 02:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xa982…bc8d | Yes | SELL | 38 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x50cf77… |
| 06-27 14:08:37 | Solid-Leprosy 0xfd9c…be4d | No | SELL | 46 | 80¢ | $37 | 0x6898b7… |
| 06-27 14:08:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0x6898b7… |
| 06-27 14:08:37 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x6898b7… |