US strike on Mexico by December 31?
open
Total volume
$48,045
$695 in 24h
Trades
1,070
Unique wallets
305
Liquidity
$19,949
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-18 01:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+52.5¢
(top1%: 81% YES on $709
vs crowd: 28% YES on $19.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $1.7K | $3.1K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 41 | $642 | $3.8K | $3.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 59 | $1.3K | $2.1K | $856 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 175 | $2.0K | $5.2K | $3.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $574 | $135 | +$440 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $977 | $1.3K | $286 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $382 | $90 | +$293 |
| Median | 29 | $675 | $1.8K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 43 | $98 | $657 | $558 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 12 | $123 | $340 | $217 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $21 | $602 | $581 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 17 | $290 | $1.8K | $1.6K |
| unranked | 152 | $2.5K | $7.4K | $4.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0a22…69ba | Yes | +3,286 | $814 | $814 | 2 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Minty-Luxury 0x8f15…c363 | Yes | +2,960 | $340 | $340 | 1 | 06-10 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x40a6…133c | No | +2,257 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 1 | 07-10 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x61f0…529e | Yes | +2,000 | $220 | $220 | 7 | 08-02 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x17a5…c36f | Yes | +1,948 | $198 | $198 | 2 | 08-14 17:59 |
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +1,348 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-13 01:04 |
| Usable-Porcelain 0xc984…37ca | Yes | +1,203 | $132 | $132 | 3 | 07-13 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x18e7…bea1 | Yes | +1,186 | $153 | $153 | 1 | 06-15 07:09 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +1,100 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-02 20:15 |
| Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | +954 | $847 | $847 | 8 | 08-16 10:27 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +849 | $561 | $1,618 | 34 | 08-12 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e3d…8554 | Yes | +707 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 07-15 15:03 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +532 | $-8 | $219 | 6 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +520 | $470 | $470 | 6 | 08-18 01:27 |
| Odd-Deformation 0x7609…6c4e | Yes | +507 | $86 | $86 | 11 | 06-20 15:17 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +400 | $351 | $351 | 6 | 08-14 16:44 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | +400 | $50 | $50 | 7 | 08-16 22:53 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +380 | $1 | $495 | 41 | 08-12 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4951…53ac | Yes | +277 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-01 23:25 |
| Unwelcome-Act 0x12c9…d3be | Yes | +263 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Thirsty-Inhibition 0x2e77…6762 | No | +258 | $208 | $208 | 3 | 06-30 18:47 |
| Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | +211 | $57 | $379 | 9 | 06-20 15:17 |
| Male-Advance 0x731c…637d | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 17:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fa7…ad18 | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 08-07 17:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf87b…2ec0 | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 08-04 11:45 |
| Amusing-Good 0x8f0b…8be2 | No | +162 | $141 | $141 | 2 | 07-05 16:32 |
| Sorrowful-Samovar 0x2843…b3d2 | Yes | +150 | $8 | $48 | 3 | 07-05 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b33…6434 | Yes | +150 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-16 17:58 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +146 | $127 | $137 | 4 | 08-02 22:23 |
| Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | No | +140 | $83 | $83 | 14 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +135 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 07-13 03:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5656…c086 | Yes | +130 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 08-14 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e56…3218 | No | +111 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-04 07:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ed…f7d4 | Yes | +110 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 08-14 17:02 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +104 | $11 | $15 | 2 | 06-26 17:10 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | +100 | $89 | $340 | 8 | 07-04 22:59 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | Yes | +100 | $23 | $41 | 4 | 06-23 23:19 |
| Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-10 02:16 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xea4c…9200 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 07-09 12:10 |
| Yummy-Winter 0xb17d…59ae | No | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 07-13 08:24 |
| Wiry-Equal 0x9ef5…c90b | Yes | +88 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-28 10:19 |
| Robust-Clavicle 0x420f…9090 | Yes | +80 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-15 15:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe440…db19 | Yes | +79 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 08-07 05:43 |
| Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | +78 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 08-12 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb8b…4b1c | No | +70 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 08-14 16:44 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +68 | $9 | $178 | 50 | 06-30 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd80e…4bad | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaba8…aead | No | +58 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-16 18:03 |
| Euphoric-Marimba 0xfe98…2566 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-14 13:17 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +56 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-15 07:57 |
| Young-Visa 0x974b…b29b | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-01 23:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 01:27:33 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb3418b… |
| 08-18 01:27:33 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb3418b… |
| 08-17 21:14:48 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x946b40… |
| 08-17 21:14:48 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x946b40… |
| 08-17 21:14:24 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x589b71… |
| 08-17 21:14:24 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x589b71… |
| 08-17 18:35:13 | Remote-Hockey 0x19ca…5ba5 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa419d1… |
| 08-17 18:35:13 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xa419d1… |
| 08-17 09:32:49 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x2953c2… |
| 08-17 09:32:49 | (anonymous) 0xa580…aa28 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x2953c2… |
| 08-17 06:59:37 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x04f2af… |
| 08-17 06:59:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x04f2af… |
| 08-17 06:59:37 | Conventional-Guide 0x6312…f94e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x04f2af… |
| 08-17 00:13:40 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x30fe4e… |
| 08-17 00:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x30fe4e… |
| 08-16 22:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3421f3… |
| 08-16 22:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x3421f3… |
| 08-16 22:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x68a3…ab05 | Yes | SELL | 234 | 12¢ | $28 | 0x3421f3… |
| 08-16 22:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3421f3… |
| 08-16 22:53:00 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3421f3… |
| 08-16 22:53:00 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x3421f3… |
| 08-16 19:21:12 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x21cc0a… |
| 08-16 19:21:12 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x21cc0a… |
| 08-16 18:03:16 | (anonymous) 0xaba8…aead | No | BUY | 58 | 87¢ | $50 | 0xd53f30… |
| 08-16 18:03:16 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xd53f30… |
| 08-16 10:27:12 | Attached-Example-Anesthesiologist 0x3eae…e2ed | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xdade0f… |
| 08-16 10:27:12 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xdade0f… |
| 08-16 02:23:24 | (anonymous) 0x957b…d47d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x089d0c… |
| 08-16 02:23:24 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x089d0c… |
| 08-16 02:01:39 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x5663d0… |
| 08-16 02:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x5913…dab1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5663d0… |
| 08-16 02:01:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc15593… |
| 08-16 02:01:30 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc15593… |
| 08-16 02:01:30 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xc15593… |
| 08-15 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x28e2…4d8b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x6c760b… |
| 08-15 20:04:18 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x6c760b… |
| 08-15 15:38:15 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0x0afda3… |
| 08-15 15:38:15 | Robust-Clavicle 0x420f…9090 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 14¢ | $11 | 0x0afda3… |
| 08-15 14:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x28e2…4d8b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb0ebbb… |
| 08-15 14:09:04 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xb0ebbb… |
| 08-15 13:44:00 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4f52c3… |
| 08-15 13:44:00 | Sane-Pan 0x8092…b8a2 | No | SELL | 96 | 86¢ | $83 | 0x4f52c3… |
| 08-15 13:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x4f52c3… |
| 08-15 13:44:00 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 59 | 86¢ | $51 | 0x4f52c3… |
| 08-15 13:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4f52c3… |
| 08-15 01:57:55 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x8b456e… |
| 08-15 01:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 114 | 13¢ | $15 | 0x8b456e… |
| 08-15 01:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x68a3…ab05 | Yes | BUY | 149 | 13¢ | $19 | 0x8b456e… |
| 08-15 00:44:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 48 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xf0cc33… |
| 08-15 00:44:21 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf0cc33… |
| 08-15 00:44:21 | (anonymous) 0x68a3…ab05 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 13¢ | $11 | 0xf0cc33… |
| 08-15 00:44:21 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf0cc33… |
| 08-14 23:46:28 | Darkpsico- 0x74c3…bbe6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x85777d… |
| 08-14 23:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x85777d… |
| 08-14 23:46:28 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x85777d… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | SELL | 267 | 89¢ | $238 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x17a5…c36f | Yes | BUY | 582 | 10¢ | $58 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | Gargantuan-Barrage 0xb581…b496 | Yes | SELL | 1,200 | 11¢ | $126 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:59:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xc9a8d4… |
| 08-14 17:02:15 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 43 | 86¢ | $37 | 0x76c325… |
| 08-14 17:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x48ed…f7d4 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x76c325… |
| 08-14 16:44:52 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $12 | 0x0227c7… |
| 08-14 16:44:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 83 | 87¢ | $72 | 0x0227c7… |
| 08-14 16:44:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb8b…4b1c | No | BUY | 70 | 87¢ | $61 | 0x0227c7… |
| 08-14 03:34:06 | (anonymous) 0x5656…c086 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 13¢ | $15 | 0x0bcc73… |
| 08-14 03:34:06 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 81 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x0bcc73… |
| 08-14 03:34:06 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x0bcc73… |
| 08-14 03:34:06 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 27 | 87¢ | $24 | 0x0bcc73… |
| 08-13 01:38:22 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | SELL | 133 | 89¢ | $118 | 0x18e7a6… |
| 08-13 01:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x18e7a6… |
| 08-13 01:38:22 | Hilarious-Liberty 0xb2d2…9377 | Yes | SELL | 143 | 11¢ | $16 | 0x18e7a6… |
| 08-13 01:38:22 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x18e7a6… |
| 08-12 20:08:00 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x2c7e67… |
| 08-12 20:08:00 | Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | SELL | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x2c7e67… |
| 08-12 06:31:06 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xd8e8b6… |
| 08-12 06:31:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd8e8b6… |
| 08-12 06:31:06 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xd8e8b6… |
| 08-12 06:31:06 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xd8e8b6… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 200 | 11¢ | $22 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 150 | 91¢ | $136 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Absolute-Timeline 0xaa52…3607 | Yes | SELL | 117 | 10¢ | $12 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 400 | 91¢ | $364 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | (anonymous) 0x17a5…c36f | Yes | BUY | 1,365 | 10¢ | $140 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 97 | 90¢ | $87 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Tiny-Tumbler 0x445e…9be0 | No | BUY | 271 | 87¢ | $236 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 03:28:18 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x8f1362… |
| 08-12 00:14:30 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 67 | 91¢ | $61 | 0x500cf0… |
| 08-12 00:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x48ed…f7d4 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x500cf0… |
| 08-11 16:35:51 | Ideal-Cup 0xce26…bad2 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb42879… |
| 08-11 16:35:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb42879… |
| 08-11 15:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | No | SELL | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x2c4f19… |
| 08-11 15:39:45 | Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35 | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x2c4f19… |