US strike on Mexico by December 31?
open
Total volume
$18,005
$695 in 24h
Trades
330
Unique wallets
114
Liquidity
$19,949
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-16 19:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.1¢
(top1%: 74% YES on $528
vs crowd: 54% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $884 | $219 | +$665 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $319 | $239 | +$80 |
| 🐟 Fish | 26 | $634 | $1.3K | $628 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 54 | $401 | $160 | +$241 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $393 | $135 | +$258 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $552 | $1.0K | $456 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $331 | $47 | +$284 |
| Median | 10 | $504 | $139 | +$365 |
| Below median | 19 | $70 | $126 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $18 | $223 | $205 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $53 | $70 | $17 |
| unranked | 39 | $297 | $134 | +$163 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minty-Luxury 0x8f15…c363 | Yes | +2,960 | $340 | $340 | 1 | 06-10 19:46 |
| Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | +1,348 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-13 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x18e7…bea1 | Yes | +1,186 | $153 | $153 | 1 | 06-15 07:09 |
| Tinted-Piglet 0xa2f7…10d3 | No | +1,100 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-02 20:15 |
| Capital-Endoderm 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | +1,026 | $103 | $103 | 2 | 06-05 10:57 |
| Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | +621 | $123 | $313 | 7 | 06-15 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4951…53ac | Yes | +277 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-01 23:25 |
| Unwelcome-Act 0x12c9…d3be | Yes | +263 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Male-Advance 0x731c…637d | Yes | +200 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-06 17:59 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | +133 | $119 | $196 | 4 | 06-14 00:18 |
| Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | +111 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-14 10:44 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +100 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xdae6…7f4d | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 14:43 |
| Wiry-Equal 0x9ef5…c90b | Yes | +88 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-28 10:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | +73 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 06-14 23:26 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +56 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-15 07:57 |
| Prudent-Tackle 0xae8c…1dc0 | No | +55 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-03 11:50 |
| Young-Visa 0x974b…b29b | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-01 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x82dc…625e | Yes | +47 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-27 21:19 |
| Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | +47 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-05 16:37 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-13 01:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa982…bc8d | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 03:03 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +37 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-02 16:02 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 08:07 |
| Questionable-Veal 0x34f3…2364 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-15 16:05 |
| Traumatic-Bakery 0xac76…9359 | No | +23 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-02 02:19 |
| Slow-Instruction 0xf53c…6d9c | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 13:39 |
| Self-Reliant-Rhubarb 0x55b6…f489 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 20:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | +19 | $4 | $6 | 4 | 05-31 22:58 |
| Nice-Text 0x32f0…7f90 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 21:01 |
| Scornful-Formula-Buyer 0x9fe6…b2d4 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $22 | 5 | 06-14 23:24 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-12 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3f5…e175 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-15 07:57 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 17:36 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +13 | $5 | $191 | 3 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $7 | 4 | 05-28 10:14 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-27 21:19 |
| Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $17 | 3 | 06-01 14:12 |
| Remote-Hockey 0x19ca…5ba5 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 17:37 |
| Concerned-Wing 0x5874…05f7 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 04:56 |
| Idle-Sick 0x3ecd…26b1 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 20:44 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-09 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6cd2…2e66 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-02 18:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +8 | $6 | $134 | 6 | 06-15 08:07 |
| Steep-Neighbour 0xad00…83ba | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 21:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 19:28:16 | (anonymous) 0xa965…d89d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf26398… |
| 06-16 19:28:16 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf26398… |
| 06-16 17:36:25 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd8321f… |
| 06-16 17:36:25 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd8321f… |
| 06-16 12:17:55 | (anonymous) 0x62a1…6c30 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xf5048f… |
| 06-16 12:17:55 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xf5048f… |
| 06-16 11:44:12 | Tidy-Set 0xbd0f…48fd | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x2cd088… |
| 06-16 11:44:12 | (anonymous) 0x4ae5…e480 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x2cd088… |
| 06-15 16:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xafc602… |
| 06-15 16:05:16 | Questionable-Veal 0x34f3…2364 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xafc602… |
| 06-15 09:00:25 | Apt-Urgency 0x061e…8f24 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9708e1… |
| 06-15 09:00:25 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x9708e1… |
| 06-15 08:07:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x882495… |
| 06-15 08:07:24 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 32 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x882495… |
| 06-15 08:07:24 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x882495… |
| 06-15 08:07:24 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x882495… |
| 06-15 08:07:24 | Mean-Treasure-Kingdom 0x36f7…5f09 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x882495… |
| 06-15 08:07:24 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x882495… |
| 06-15 08:01:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 19¢ | $17 | 0x0fa866… |
| 06-15 08:01:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 54 | 20¢ | $11 | 0x0fa866… |
| 06-15 08:01:19 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | BUY | 145 | 19¢ | $28 | 0x0fa866… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 98 | 21¢ | $21 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | BUY | 266 | 19¢ | $50 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xa3f5…e175 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:57:34 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 56 | 80¢ | $45 | 0x47dfcf… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 27 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 185 | 13¢ | $24 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | Apt-Morphology 0x5ace…9850 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x18e7…bea1 | Yes | BUY | 1,186 | 13¢ | $153 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 07:09:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 28 | 87¢ | $24 | 0x43fec0… |
| 06-15 06:45:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 205 | 12¢ | $25 | 0xfcf661… |
| 06-15 06:45:28 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 37 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xfcf661… |
| 06-15 06:45:28 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | SELL | 325 | 12¢ | $39 | 0xfcf661… |
| 06-15 06:45:28 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfcf661… |
| 06-15 06:45:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xfcf661… |
| 06-15 04:47:48 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb18bdc… |
| 06-15 04:47:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xb18bdc… |
| 06-15 04:47:48 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | BUY | 159 | 13¢ | $20 | 0xb18bdc… |
| 06-15 04:47:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xb18bdc… |
| 06-15 04:47:48 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 34 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xb18bdc… |
| 06-15 04:47:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb18bdc… |
| 06-15 04:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x09adb0… |
| 06-15 04:47:06 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | BUY | 167 | 12¢ | $20 | 0x09adb0… |
| 06-14 23:26:48 | (anonymous) 0x1cb4…0a1b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x216972… |
| 06-14 23:26:48 | (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x216972… |
| 06-14 23:24:07 | Scornful-Formula-Buyer 0x9fe6…b2d4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9f5e82… |
| 06-14 23:24:07 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9f5e82… |
| 06-14 18:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x2895…7104 | No | SELL | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x24fd92… |
| 06-14 18:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x24fd92… |
| 06-14 18:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 52 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xbf8f1e… |
| 06-14 18:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xa906…897b | No | SELL | 54 | 88¢ | $47 | 0xbf8f1e… |
| 06-14 18:01:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xbf8f1e… |
| 06-14 17:48:27 | Questionable-Veal 0x34f3…2364 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x644d99… |
| 06-14 17:48:27 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x644d99… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 48 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 159 | 12¢ | $19 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 12¢ | $13 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 10:44:40 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | SELL | 469 | 12¢ | $56 | 0x6dc023… |
| 06-14 09:38:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4a7cf9… |
| 06-14 09:38:58 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x4a7cf9… |
| 06-14 00:18:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x461434… |
| 06-14 00:18:06 | Scornful-Formula-Buyer 0x9fe6…b2d4 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 12¢ | $11 | 0x461434… |
| 06-14 00:18:06 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x461434… |
| 06-14 00:18:06 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 44 | 88¢ | $39 | 0x461434… |
| 06-13 17:53:43 | Questionable-Veal 0x34f3…2364 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xacf5a3… |
| 06-13 17:53:43 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xacf5a3… |
| 06-13 12:02:18 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x55b374… |
| 06-13 12:02:18 | Apt-Morphology 0x5ace…9850 | Yes | SELL | 314 | 15¢ | $47 | 0x55b374… |
| 06-13 12:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 167 | 15¢ | $25 | 0x55b374… |
| 06-13 12:02:18 | Milky-Hubcap 0x8a9d…69fb | Yes | BUY | 680 | 15¢ | $100 | 0x55b374… |
| 06-13 10:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x259a79… |
| 06-13 10:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x7876…a801 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x259a79… |
| 06-13 03:03:40 | (anonymous) 0xa982…bc8d | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x411887… |
| 06-13 03:03:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x411887… |
| 06-13 02:16:15 | Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x67301d… |
| 06-13 02:16:15 | Apt-Morphology 0x5ace…9850 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x67301d… |
| 06-13 01:37:06 | (anonymous) 0x6884…417c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xa2146a… |
| 06-13 01:37:06 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0xa2146a… |
| 06-13 01:04:58 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 1,111 | 15¢ | $167 | 0xf86601… |
| 06-13 01:04:58 | Immense-Patriot 0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | BUY | 1,348 | 15¢ | $200 | 0xf86601… |
| 06-13 01:04:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf86601… |
| 06-13 01:04:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xf86601… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 200 | 13¢ | $26 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Usable-Porcelain 0xc984…37ca | No | SELL | 1,214 | 87¢ | $1,054 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 257 | 14¢ | $36 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:48:31 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x972d6c… |
| 06-12 17:18:27 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x297d60… |