Realized P&L
+$103
Unrealized P&L
-$2.37K
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
6,453
lifetime
Volume
$309.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$16.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
47% 50% $-105
Other
46% 44% +$209
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -4,006 $-1,659 76¢ $-3065 $-1,406 05-28 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,500 $-915 94¢ $-1402 $-487 05-29 15:01
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,998 $-1,082 56¢ $-1119 $-37 06-03 03:04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,588 $-738 58¢ $-921 $-183 06-10 16:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,000 $780 15¢ $870 +$90 06-03 20:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,000 $-570 26¢ $-795 $-225 05-30 08:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,108 $378 24¢ $730 +$353 06-11 09:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,000 $1,110 24¢ $705 $-405 06-08 11:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,454 $-639 45¢ $-662 $-23 06-07 17:02
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +1,467 $824 42¢ $609 $-215 06-10 12:38
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -1,431 $-657 41¢ $-587 +$70 06-08 11:17
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +981 $350 55¢ $535 +$185 06-11 12:29
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -598 $-316 82¢ $-493 $-177 05-31 16:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,688 $358 12¢ $424 +$66 06-09 23:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +2,186 $266 18¢ $393 +$127 06-08 21:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +630 $269 58¢ $369 +$100 06-01 14:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -700 $-250 42¢ $-290 $-40 05-28 11:48
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +2,632 $236 11¢ $276 +$41 06-09 12:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -400 $-208 62¢ $-250 $-42 05-27 20:48
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -570 $-114 40¢ $-225 $-111 05-29 15:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $161 44¢ $222 +$61 06-01 14:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -250 $-100 76¢ $-189 $-89 05-28 10:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -300 $-129 62¢ $-186 $-57 05-29 18:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +538 $132 34¢ $186 +$54 06-05 14:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,000 $379 18¢ $185 $-194 06-03 11:08
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +432 $225 38¢ $164 $-61 05-29 08:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +500 $37 32¢ $162 +$126 06-10 19:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $184 16¢ $155 $-29 06-08 11:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -773 $-311 19¢ $-147 +$164 06-08 11:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-110 68¢ $-136 $-26 06-01 21:36