Capital-Endoderm 0xf27de6…86e6d3
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$103
Unrealized P&L
-$5.23K
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
7,542
lifetime
Volume
$376.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$18.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 22:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
48% 50% $-105
Other
45% 44% +$209
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -4,506 $-2,327 99¢ $-4459 $-2,131 06-19 12:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -2,754 $-1,507 80¢ $-2217 $-710 06-16 16:08
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,998 $-1,082 74¢ $-1489 $-406 06-03 03:04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,518 $-1,105 82¢ $-1237 $-132 06-16 21:39
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1,454 $-639 67¢ $-974 $-335 06-07 17:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,400 $-784 68¢ $-945 $-161 06-22 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3,000 $-570 28¢ $-825 $-255 05-30 08:03
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +2,956 $1,183 24¢ $709 $-474 07-14 12:51
Discord IPO before 2027? No -942 $-556 68¢ $-641 $-85 07-10 10:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,000 $880 8¢ $595 $-285 06-30 03:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -700 $-250 70¢ $-486 $-236 05-28 11:48
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -628 $-772 65¢ $-406 +$366 06-30 09:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,500 $399 10¢ $332 $-67 07-06 12:03
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1,222 $377 25¢ $305 $-71 07-21 20:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +830 $335 32¢ $261 $-73 07-20 17:17
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -258 $-117 100¢ $-258 $-141 06-11 22:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -300 $-129 78¢ $-235 $-106 05-29 18:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,000 $16 22¢ $225 +$209 07-21 11:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,756 $455 4¢ $214 $-241 06-13 13:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +525 $-240 35¢ $184 +$424 07-21 11:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-110 86¢ $-173 $-63 06-01 21:36
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +309 $140 48¢ $147 +$7 07-20 17:21
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +215 $99 63¢ $135 +$36 07-21 00:04
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +1,205 $138 11¢ $133 $-5 07-20 17:54
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +1,120 $211 11¢ $123 $-87 07-20 17:48
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +369 $167 30¢ $113 $-54 06-16 08:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $161 20¢ $102 $-58 06-01 14:20
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +604 $170 14¢ $85 $-85 07-14 12:51
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +1,314 $145 6¢ $81 $-64 07-15 14:32
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +667 $22 12¢ $80 +$58 06-26 17:10