Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$382
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$381
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
47%
Other
31%
Tech
22%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes -1,084 $-98 $-98 +$0 05-05 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +173 $86 55¢ $95 +$9 05-05 23:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +220 $84 36¢ $78 $-5 05-05 15:34
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes +250 $45 18¢ $44 $-1 05-05 21:29
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +13,854 $28 $21 $-7 05-05 20:34
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +55 $16 36¢ $20 +$4 05-04 21:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +43 $15 34¢ $15 $-0 05-05 22:20
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +398 $8 $9 +$1 05-05 13:26
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 05-05 15:44
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes -25 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-05 14:00