Realized P&L
+$2.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$17.9K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
6,195
lifetime
Volume
$1.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$265
Open exposure
$52.8K
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-21 05:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
85% 100% +$2,910
Other
14%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$39
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +202,849 $31,364 26¢ $51.7K +$20,362 07-20 23:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,075 $1,682 24¢ $723 $-959 07-13 19:02
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +1,348 $200 12¢ $162 $-38 06-13 01:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,061 $1,020 11¢ $111 $-909 07-13 19:02
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +667 $100 $37 $-63 06-17 19:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +71 $20 22¢ $15 $-5 06-08 05:32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,554 $502 $2 $-500 06-20 20:32