Realized P&L
+$2.95K
Unrealized P&L
-$29.1K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,508
lifetime
Volume
$1.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$294
Open exposure
$35.1K
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-30 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
85% 100% +$2,910
Other
14%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$39
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 364 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +199,737 $26,442 15¢ $29.0K +$2,520 07-01 01:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,921 $1,600 70¢ $2.0K +$430 06-27 21:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +20,000 $2,300 10¢ $1.9K $-400 06-30 18:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7,028 $2,067 16¢ $1.2K $-907 06-08 02:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +261,789 $17,020 $262 $-16,758 06-28 16:48
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +1,348 $200 18¢ $249 +$49 06-13 01:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +91,345 $9,188 $183 $-9,005 06-29 16:59
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +25,286 $374 $126 $-247 06-29 11:17
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +667 $100 12¢ $80 $-20 06-17 19:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +29,575 $680 $30 $-650 06-08 05:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +24,817 $725 $25 $-700 06-10 23:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +22,069 $700 $22 $-678 06-07 19:40
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,378 $19 $17 $-2 06-17 19:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +4,926 $764 $12 $-752 06-08 05:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -10,714 $129 $-11 $-140 06-19 13:02
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +9,229 $763 $9 $-754 06-08 08:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +8,451 $566 $8 $-558 06-09 19:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,911 $295 $7 $-287 06-12 19:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +71 $20 10¢ $7 $-13 06-08 05:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +4,167 $500 $4 $-496 06-09 19:19
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +634 $21 $3 $-18 06-30 01:15
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? Yes +258 $6 $2 $-4 06-17 19:22
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,554 $502 $2 $-500 06-20 20:32
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Yes +1,250 $10 $1 $-9 06-09 19:17
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +733 $16 $1 $-15 05-28 19:51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +344 $17 $1 $-16 06-10 21:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -151 $-846 $-0 +$846 06-19 18:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +161 $48 $0 $-48 06-09 19:19