Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$246
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
52,751
lifetime
Volume
$3.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$21.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
63% 86% $-189
Other
32% 71% +$203
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 865 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -12,791 $-6,268 50¢ $-6331 $-64 06-05 14:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +2,000 $1,958 98¢ $2.0K $-1 06-10 02:59
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +1,672 $1,420 86¢ $1.4K +$9 06-09 17:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,579 $969 68¢ $1.1K +$97 06-09 19:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,016 $-853 84¢ $-848 +$5 06-10 02:52
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -795 $-751 95¢ $-758 $-7 06-08 04:29
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes +1,347 $666 50¢ $680 +$14 06-10 04:48
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -615 $-606 98¢ $-605 +$1 06-05 21:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,595 $584 38¢ $598 +$14 06-09 13:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -583 $-581 99¢ $-576 +$5 06-09 21:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +589 $546 98¢ $574 +$28 06-09 18:38
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +586 $556 95¢ $559 +$3 06-07 11:56
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -540 $-517 97¢ $-526 $-9 06-03 06:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes +625 $523 80¢ $497 $-26 06-08 23:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -495 $-535 99¢ $-492 +$43 06-07 18:34
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -472 $-410 92¢ $-431 $-21 06-04 15:48
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No -375 $-369 99¢ $-371 $-2 06-04 04:04
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No +345 $333 98¢ $339 +$6 06-06 20:36
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +416 $271 66¢ $275 +$4 06-09 21:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +670 $323 38¢ $258 $-65 06-06 16:35
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +255 $245 99¢ $253 +$8 06-08 09:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -245 $-246 99¢ $-243 +$3 06-03 16:08
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +250 $242 97¢ $242 $-0 06-01 16:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +254 $245 95¢ $240 $-4 06-08 08:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -735 $-331 32¢ $-239 +$92 06-09 16:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -250 $-239 94¢ $-235 +$4 06-09 09:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,267 $100 16¢ $209 +$109 06-10 02:52
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +205 $198 99¢ $203 +$5 06-02 23:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +220 $205 91¢ $200 $-5 06-09 11:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes +205 $199 97¢ $199 +$1 06-09 21:36