Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$281
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
69,255
lifetime
Volume
$4.45M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$21.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
66% 86% $-189
Other
29% 71% +$203
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1370 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -12,791 $-6,268 50¢ $-6331 $-64 06-05 14:34
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1,984 $1,938 98¢ $1.9K +$7 07-21 02:40
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -1,405 $-1,375 98¢ $-1381 $-6 07-09 04:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,654 $1,399 74¢ $1.2K $-183 07-08 21:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,158 $-1,117 97¢ $-1127 $-9 07-17 02:15
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,095 $-1,094 94¢ $-1035 +$59 07-20 08:23
EU dissolves before 2027? No -896 $-873 98¢ $-878 $-5 07-18 03:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +911 $719 86¢ $788 +$69 07-20 08:47
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +1,517 $723 50¢ $766 +$43 06-23 02:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +7,956 $661 $557 $-104 07-21 03:03
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -1,023 $-573 50¢ $-516 +$56 07-20 17:55
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +725 $499 70¢ $511 +$13 07-21 00:01
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +499 $445 96¢ $480 +$35 07-20 05:04
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -481 $-475 98¢ $-471 +$5 06-25 11:56
Human moon landing in 2026? No -412 $-400 98¢ $-401 $-1 07-19 21:26
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? No -315 $-300 94¢ $-297 +$3 07-20 17:46
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No -292 $-275 96¢ $-281 $-7 07-14 20:52
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -292 $-243 94¢ $-276 $-33 07-20 22:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +810 $336 33¢ $267 $-68 07-19 23:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -332 $-283 76¢ $-254 +$29 07-06 07:12
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? No +250 $246 98¢ $246 $-0 07-19 22:20
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,230 $210 11¢ $234 +$24 07-20 16:00
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No +268 $213 85¢ $228 +$15 07-13 16:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -240 $-213 94¢ $-227 $-14 07-15 22:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,679 $365 14¢ $227 $-138 07-10 05:08
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -247 $-183 86¢ $-211 $-29 07-20 15:08
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +205 $189 99¢ $202 +$13 06-22 14:35
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -210 $-194 95¢ $-199 $-6 06-26 05:37
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +205 $184 96¢ $196 +$11 06-10 10:39
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +205 $191 96¢ $196 +$5 05-31 19:36