Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$1.06K
Hit rate
59.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
61,587
lifetime
Volume
$4.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$23.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
67% 86% $-189
Other
29% 71% +$203
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1191 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -12,791 $-6,268 50¢ $-6331 $-64 06-05 14:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +3,157 $3,020 100¢ $3.2K +$132 06-27 18:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -2,037 $-2,022 100¢ $-2035 $-13 06-17 17:02
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -1,821 $-960 50¢ $-920 +$40 06-29 11:39
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +914 $847 93¢ $849 +$2 06-29 03:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -790 $-748 100¢ $-789 $-41 06-14 21:18
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +1,517 $723 50¢ $751 +$27 06-23 02:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +735 $616 86¢ $636 +$20 06-25 16:25
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -615 $-606 100¢ $-614 $-7 06-05 21:10
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No +500 $498 100¢ $499 +$1 06-10 15:22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -495 $-535 100¢ $-495 +$40 06-07 18:34
Epstein client list released by June 30? No -489 $-469 99¢ $-486 $-17 06-19 15:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -495 $-469 96¢ $-475 $-6 06-11 13:06
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -481 $-475 97¢ $-465 +$10 06-25 11:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -440 $-512 100¢ $-439 +$72 06-28 16:48
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -433 $-375 97¢ $-422 $-47 06-25 10:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +422 $-325 100¢ $421 +$747 06-28 15:25
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +378 $363 100¢ $377 +$15 06-18 22:55
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No -375 $-369 100¢ $-374 $-6 06-04 04:04
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -386 $-376 91¢ $-351 +$24 06-28 05:38
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +464 $301 72¢ $336 +$35 06-30 01:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +337 $245 100¢ $336 +$90 06-16 23:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +760 $332 41¢ $312 $-20 06-27 13:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -337 $-287 84¢ $-281 +$6 06-30 00:37
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -278 $-270 97¢ $-271 $-0 06-16 23:28
Human moon landing in 2026? No -259 $-251 97¢ $-252 $-1 06-12 16:34
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +250 $242 100¢ $249 +$6 06-01 16:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +255 $238 96¢ $245 +$8 06-27 15:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -245 $-246 100¢ $-245 +$1 06-03 16:08
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? No +237 $229 100¢ $237 +$7 06-17 04:06