Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.84K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.86K
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved (7d)
19
Trades (7d)
2,381
117,674 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$112.1K
$6.48M lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$29.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 00:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Politics
57% 51% +$19,940
Other
36% 50% +$4,897
Crypto
5% 65% +$1,330
Tech
1% 68% +$121
Sports
1% 45% +$3,565
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 924 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +6,609 $4,376 42¢ $2.8K -$1,567 10-30 21:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,538 $2,452 97¢ $2.5K +$0 10-29 11:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +1,938 $947 96¢ $1.9K +$923 10-30 20:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,554 $908 94¢ $1.5K +$560 10-19 19:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,500 $1,455 98¢ $1.5K +$8 10-21 00:55
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,505 $1,311 88¢ $1.3K +$9 10-30 07:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,703 $1,468 18¢ $1.2K -$295 10-30 08:12
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,164 -$1,135 99¢ $-1148 -$13 10-16 03:58
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,234 $977 91¢ $1.1K +$145 10-25 02:16
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +1,354 $792 77¢ $1.0K +$251 10-29 17:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,197 $844 84¢ $1.0K +$168 10-30 09:12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +1,015 $965 96¢ $975 +$10 10-31 00:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,550 $684 18¢ $839 +$155 10-30 20:35
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +944 $636 80¢ $755 +$119 10-17 16:32
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 No +1,027 $709 70¢ $714 +$4 10-28 18:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +723 $651 99¢ $713 +$63 10-27 23:52
EU dissolves before 2027? No -719 -$714 98¢ $-706 +$7 10-28 11:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +710 $680 98¢ $697 +$17 10-09 21:33
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +786 $235 88¢ $692 +$457 10-23 14:51
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 Yes +2,266 $425 30¢ $691 +$267 10-28 20:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,794 $486 10¢ $656 +$169 10-26 19:24
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +699 $594 92¢ $647 +$53 10-30 07:10
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +720 $552 82¢ $594 +$42 10-06 21:17
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -615 -$581 96¢ $-588 -$7 09-01 03:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +648 $553 90¢ $583 +$30 10-31 01:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +1,010 $441 57¢ $581 +$140 10-30 14:21
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +607 $480 95¢ $579 +$99 10-30 07:47
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +637 $545 90¢ $576 +$32 10-28 18:07
Human moon landing in 2026? No -580 -$568 99¢ $-574 -$6 07-24 22:26
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +2,700 $519 20¢ $540 +$21 10-27 03:20