Realized P&L
+$29.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$874
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
1,342
Trades
121,060
lifetime
Volume
$6.64M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$36.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 251 days
Categories
Politics
56% 51% +$19,747
Other
37% 50% +$4,306
Crypto
5% 64% +$1,309
Tech
1% 68% +$121
Sports
1% 45% +$3,565
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 924 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +3,636 $3,484 98¢ $3.6K +$92 11-06 06:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,005 $2,573 88¢ $2.6K +$70 11-04 04:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,538 $2,452 98¢ $2.5K +$32 10-29 11:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,673 $4,359 37¢ $2.5K -$1,886 11-04 17:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,953 $1,268 96¢ $1.9K +$614 11-03 22:05
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No — +1,836 $1,357 99¢ $1.8K +$468 09-07 03:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,500 $1,455 98¢ $1.5K +$20 10-21 00:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,249 $1,554 45¢ $1.5K -$92 11-07 22:35
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,367 $1,090 92¢ $1.3K +$161 11-08 00:07
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,164 -$1,135 98¢ $-1146 -$12 10-16 03:58
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +1,625 $992 70¢ $1.1K +$154 11-08 00:38
will iran recognize israel by december 31 No +1,058 $963 99¢ $1.0K +$86 06-26 08:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,052 $1,029 98¢ $1.0K +$6 11-06 09:31
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,201 $1,302 16¢ $961 -$341 11-08 00:46
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,947 $860 23¢ $908 +$48 11-08 01:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,044 $666 10¢ $864 +$197 11-04 02:43
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +944 $636 88¢ $831 +$195 10-17 16:32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,005 $786 82¢ $820 +$34 11-07 08:44
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? Yes +1,039 $787 75¢ $779 -$8 11-06 14:27
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +799 $768 94¢ $755 -$13 11-05 01:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +3,924 $642 18¢ $726 +$84 11-07 19:17
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +786 $235 92¢ $719 +$485 10-23 14:51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +723 $651 99¢ $718 +$67 10-27 23:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +725 $694 98¢ $712 +$19 11-06 08:36
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +799 $423 88¢ $699 +$276 11-04 05:58
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? No +816 $683 86¢ $698 +$15 11-06 07:05
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +735 $624 94¢ $687 +$64 11-04 00:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +735 $560 84¢ $621 +$61 11-04 18:40
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -615 -$581 97¢ $-594 -$13 09-01 03:48
Human moon landing in 2026? No -580 -$568 99¢ $-576 -$8 07-24 22:26