Realized P&L
+$29.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.04K
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
1,341
Trades
120,757
lifetime
Volume
$6.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$37.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 14:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Politics
56% 51% +$19,747
Other
37% 50% +$4,306
Crypto
5% 64% +$1,309
Tech
1% 68% +$121
Sports
1% 45% +$3,565
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 924 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +3,636 $3,484 98¢ $3.6K +$92 11-06 06:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,673 $4,359 42¢ $2.8K -$1,556 11-04 17:48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,005 $2,573 88¢ $2.6K +$70 11-04 04:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2,538 $2,452 98¢ $2.5K +$32 10-29 11:39
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +2,234 $1,882 90¢ $2.0K +$139 11-05 17:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,953 $1,268 94¢ $1.8K +$578 11-03 22:05
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No — +1,836 $1,357 99¢ $1.8K +$468 09-07 03:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,500 $1,455 98¢ $1.5K +$20 10-21 00:55
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,868 $1,445 44¢ $1.3K -$169 11-06 13:51
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +1,611 $982 75¢ $1.2K +$226 11-06 13:16
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -1,164 -$1,135 99¢ $-1149 -$14 10-16 03:58
will iran recognize israel by december 31 No +1,058 $963 99¢ $1.0K +$86 06-26 08:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,052 $1,029 98¢ $1.0K +$4 11-06 09:31
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +1,092 $939 88¢ $961 +$22 11-06 10:32
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +978 $929 97¢ $945 +$16 11-04 17:35
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,689 $803 24¢ $885 +$82 11-05 09:22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +9,044 $666 9¢ $837 +$170 11-04 02:43
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +944 $636 88¢ $831 +$195 10-17 16:32
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? Yes +1,039 $787 75¢ $779 -$8 11-06 14:27
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +6,727 $1,386 12¢ $774 -$612 11-06 09:41
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +799 $768 94¢ $755 -$13 11-05 01:43
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +786 $235 92¢ $719 +$485 10-23 14:51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +723 $651 99¢ $718 +$67 10-27 23:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +725 $694 98¢ $712 +$18 11-06 08:36
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +799 $423 88¢ $703 +$280 11-04 05:58
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? No +816 $683 86¢ $698 +$15 11-06 07:05
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +735 $624 94¢ $687 +$64 11-04 00:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +735 $560 88¢ $650 +$91 11-04 18:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +2,975 $470 22¢ $640 +$169 11-06 14:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +755 $583 80¢ $604 +$20 11-06 10:08