UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,659
Trades
176
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$15,595
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-02 04:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $300
vs crowd: 8% YES on $3.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $5 | $985 | $981 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $11 | $90 | $79 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | $843 | $841 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $225 | $941 | $716 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $300 | $300 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2 | $810 | $808 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $7 | $255 | $249 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $847 | $846 |
| Below median | 5 | $0 | $142 | $142 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $7 | $1 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $130 | $130 |
| unranked | 16 | $223 | $364 | $141 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | +2,690 | $209 | $209 | 20 | 06-30 02:50 |
| Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | +833 | $771 | $836 | 19 | 06-30 02:50 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +648 | $594 | $1,100 | 11 | 07-02 04:59 |
| Worthwhile-Shearling 0x2518…31ad | No | +313 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 07-02 04:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +188 | $166 | $166 | 4 | 06-18 01:43 |
| Tedious-Cord 0x8100…5408 | No | +150 | $142 | $142 | 3 | 06-17 14:02 |
| Inferior-Snap-Grade 0xc848…57ce | No | +143 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 07-01 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6aa…178e | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-01 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +57 | $3 | $23 | 33 | 07-01 15:22 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 16:39 |
| Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-27 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x71cb…2266 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-27 12:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +26 | $2 | $8 | 5 | 06-30 09:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa843…e983 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-26 22:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x702d…9cb7 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-30 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 06:40 |
| Tedious-Crewman 0x4283…169e | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-28 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a9f…52dd | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 00:47 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-24 05:48 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +3 | $-0 | $2 | 3 | 06-22 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9cc…82e7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-20 13:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 04:59:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xd0cc94… |
| 07-02 04:59:31 | Worthwhile-Shearling 0x2518…31ad | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xd0cc94… |
| 07-01 23:44:50 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xe60ff3… |
| 07-01 23:44:50 | (anonymous) 0xf6aa…178e | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $96 | 0xe60ff3… |
| 07-01 23:44:50 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $95 | 0xe60ff3… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 61 | 94¢ | $58 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | Inferior-Snap-Grade 0xc848…57ce | No | BUY | 143 | 94¢ | $135 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8efb12… |
| 06-30 16:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x702d…9cb7 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x4b0fae… |
| 06-30 16:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4b0fae… |
| 06-30 09:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe3fa26… |
| 06-30 09:16:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe3fa26… |
| 06-30 08:39:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb26a05… |
| 06-30 08:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb26a05… |
| 06-30 02:50:37 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x8ef974… |
| 06-30 02:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 128 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x8ef974… |
| 06-30 02:50:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x8ef974… |
| 06-30 02:12:20 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0xf0d1f9… |
| 06-30 02:12:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0xf0d1f9… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 62 | 92¢ | $57 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-28 21:29:58 | Tedious-Crewman 0x4283…169e | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xe80cd9… |
| 06-28 21:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe80cd9… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 393 | 8¢ | $31 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 98 | 90¢ | $89 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 11:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb5a6d2… |
| 06-28 11:09:46 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 37 | 93¢ | $35 | 0xb5a6d2… |
| 06-28 11:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb5a6d2… |
| 06-28 11:09:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x34f7c6… |
| 06-28 11:09:19 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x34f7c6… |
| 06-28 11:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8d36df… |
| 06-28 11:05:22 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x8d36df… |
| 06-28 00:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x2d5f51… |
| 06-28 00:16:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 250 | 93¢ | $232 | 0x2d5f51… |
| 06-28 00:16:49 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x2d5f51… |
| 06-28 00:16:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 22 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x2d5f51… |
| 06-28 00:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2d5f51… |
| 06-28 00:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 352 | 8¢ | $26 | 0x2d5f51… |
| 06-27 19:18:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd120cd… |
| 06-27 19:18:52 | Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $40 | 0xd120cd… |
| 06-27 19:18:52 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd120cd… |
| 06-27 19:18:52 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xd120cd… |
| 06-27 12:12:22 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x29b4f2… |
| 06-27 12:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x71cb…2266 | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x29b4f2… |
| 06-27 12:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 27 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x29b4f2… |
| 06-27 06:01:49 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x5d4439… |
| 06-27 06:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x5d4439… |
| 06-27 05:41:31 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4b17e8… |
| 06-27 05:41:31 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x4b17e8… |
| 06-27 03:41:26 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 77 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x9c3acd… |
| 06-27 03:41:26 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 77 | 94¢ | $72 | 0x9c3acd… |
| 06-27 03:40:35 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x90032b… |
| 06-27 03:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x90032b… |
| 06-27 03:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x90032b… |
| 06-27 03:38:44 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4a7add… |
| 06-27 03:38:44 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4a7add… |
| 06-26 22:34:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xb012d5… |
| 06-26 22:34:55 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | SELL | 13 | 95¢ | $13 | 0xb012d5… |
| 06-26 22:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xa843…e983 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xb012d5… |
| 06-24 05:48:50 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa3c91d… |
| 06-24 05:48:50 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa3c91d… |
| 06-24 00:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0b8ba4… |
| 06-24 00:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0b8ba4… |
| 06-24 00:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x407bea… |
| 06-24 00:47:14 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x0b8ba4… |
| 06-24 00:47:14 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x407bea… |
| 06-24 00:47:14 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 74 | 92¢ | $69 | 0x0b8ba4… |
| 06-23 14:07:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8459fb… |
| 06-23 14:07:59 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x8459fb… |
| 06-23 14:07:59 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8459fb… |
| 06-23 10:33:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x508deb… |
| 06-23 10:33:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x508deb… |
| 06-23 10:07:25 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 89 | 91¢ | $81 | 0x84d8d6… |
| 06-23 10:07:25 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 105 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x84d8d6… |
| 06-23 10:07:25 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 16 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x84d8d6… |
| 06-23 06:40:17 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x1b745a… |
| 06-23 06:40:17 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x1b745a… |
| 06-23 05:05:58 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 127 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xbc2676… |
| 06-23 05:05:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xbc2676… |
| 06-23 05:05:58 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xbc2676… |
| 06-23 05:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 190 | 8¢ | $15 | 0x6d045f… |
| 06-23 05:05:07 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6d045f… |
| 06-23 04:44:25 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8779a6… |
| 06-23 04:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 85 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x8779a6… |