UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
open
Total volume
$5,880
Trades
233
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$15,595
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 03:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $305
vs crowd: 6% YES on $4.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $12 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $11 | $321 | $310 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $27 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $239 | $805 | $566 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $305 | $305 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $2 | $986 | $984 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $8 | $632 | $624 |
| Median | 6 | $8 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 6 | $25 | $142 | $117 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $7 | $1 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $230 | $229 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $130 | $130 |
| unranked | 23 | $237 | $649 | $411 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | +2,690 | $209 | $209 | 20 | 06-30 02:50 |
| Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | +938 | $870 | $936 | 21 | 07-17 03:30 |
| Tattered-Strait 0x6326…01d6 | Yes | +475 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-17 03:30 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +354 | $304 | $2,079 | 25 | 07-24 03:43 |
| Worthwhile-Shearling 0x2518…31ad | No | +313 | $300 | $300 | 3 | 07-02 04:59 |
| Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | +312 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-07 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | No | +247 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-16 00:44 |
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +230 | $221 | $221 | 1 | 07-07 07:18 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +222 | $5 | $8 | 3 | 07-23 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +188 | $166 | $166 | 4 | 06-18 01:43 |
| Tedious-Cord 0x8100…5408 | No | +150 | $142 | $142 | 3 | 06-17 14:02 |
| Inferior-Snap-Grade 0xc848…57ce | No | +143 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 07-01 15:22 |
| Amused-Appreciation 0x6f46…2cd1 | No | +80 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 07-23 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c33…6ec5 | Yes | +58 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-16 08:01 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +56 | $2 | $9 | 9 | 07-24 03:43 |
| Imaginary-Closet 0x2bcd…cbfb | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-27 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x71cb…2266 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-27 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xea36…2e4a | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-22 19:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +26 | $24 | $128 | 5 | 07-24 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x702d…9cb7 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-30 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x37fe…db5a | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 06:40 |
| Tedious-Crewman 0x4283…169e | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-28 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a9f…52dd | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xea2e…1e57 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 00:47 |
| Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-16 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-16 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $26 | 36 | 07-07 18:18 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +3 | $-0 | $2 | 3 | 06-22 15:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9cc…82e7 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-20 13:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 03:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x2ff3…8a76 | Yes | SELL | 198 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x2c13f1… |
| 07-24 03:43:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2c13f1… |
| 07-24 03:43:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x2c13f1… |
| 07-24 03:43:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 114 | 97¢ | $111 | 0x2c13f1… |
| 07-23 20:14:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7f843d… |
| 07-23 20:14:24 | Amused-Appreciation 0x6f46…2cd1 | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0x7f843d… |
| 07-23 20:14:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x7f843d… |
| 07-23 20:14:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x7f843d… |
| 07-23 20:14:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 28 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7f843d… |
| 07-23 20:14:24 | (anonymous) 0x2ff3…8a76 | Yes | BUY | 198 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x7f843d… |
| 07-22 19:59:28 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7de6be… |
| 07-22 19:59:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7de6be… |
| 07-22 19:59:28 | (anonymous) 0xea36…2e4a | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x7de6be… |
| 07-20 05:04:09 | (anonymous) 0x37fe…db5a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2b793b… |
| 07-20 05:04:09 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x2b793b… |
| 07-17 03:30:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x1592d4… |
| 07-17 03:30:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 148 | 95¢ | $141 | 0x1592d4… |
| 07-17 03:30:10 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1592d4… |
| 07-17 03:30:10 | Tattered-Strait 0x6326…01d6 | Yes | BUY | 294 | 5¢ | $15 | 0x1592d4… |
| 07-17 03:30:10 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x1592d4… |
| 07-16 08:01:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 48 | 95¢ | $45 | 0xd33427… |
| 07-16 08:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x3c33…6ec5 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xd33427… |
| 07-16 08:01:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd33427… |
| 07-16 08:01:01 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd33427… |
| 07-16 00:44:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 247 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x45d025… |
| 07-16 00:44:59 | (anonymous) 0xe234…304a | No | BUY | 247 | 97¢ | $240 | 0x45d025… |
| 07-15 23:45:38 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6d86ee… |
| 07-15 23:45:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6d86ee… |
| 07-15 23:45:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6d86ee… |
| 07-15 23:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6d86ee… |
| 07-15 23:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xea36…2e4a | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x6d86ee… |
| 07-15 23:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x6d86ee… |
| 07-15 01:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1646a6… |
| 07-15 01:03:46 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1646a6… |
| 07-12 17:57:22 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf8d6d0… |
| 07-12 17:57:22 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf8d6d0… |
| 07-12 08:32:50 | (anonymous) 0xf6aa…178e | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xfdaeae… |
| 07-12 08:32:50 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfdaeae… |
| 07-12 08:32:50 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfdaeae… |
| 07-12 08:32:50 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xfdaeae… |
| 07-12 08:32:50 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfdaeae… |
| 07-12 08:32:50 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xfdaeae… |
| 07-11 02:33:34 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x54e3cd… |
| 07-11 02:33:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x54e3cd… |
| 07-11 01:03:10 | (anonymous) 0xa843…e983 | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x0105c8… |
| 07-11 01:03:10 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0105c8… |
| 07-11 01:03:10 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x0105c8… |
| 07-11 01:03:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x0105c8… |
| 07-07 18:18:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 98 | 94¢ | $92 | 0xcd8c4d… |
| 07-07 18:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xcd8c4d… |
| 07-07 18:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xcd8c4d… |
| 07-07 18:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xcd8c4d… |
| 07-07 18:18:17 | Tattered-Strait 0x6326…01d6 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xcd8c4d… |
| 07-07 07:18:47 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 198 | 96¢ | $190 | 0xec9dc0… |
| 07-07 07:18:47 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 230 | 96¢ | $221 | 0xec9dc0… |
| 07-07 01:36:14 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 272 | 96¢ | $261 | 0x09c80b… |
| 07-07 01:36:14 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 312 | 96¢ | $300 | 0x09c80b… |
| 07-02 04:59:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xd0cc94… |
| 07-02 04:59:31 | Worthwhile-Shearling 0x2518…31ad | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xd0cc94… |
| 07-01 23:44:50 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $95 | 0xe60ff3… |
| 07-01 23:44:50 | (anonymous) 0xf6aa…178e | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $96 | 0xe60ff3… |
| 07-01 23:44:50 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0xe60ff3… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 61 | 94¢ | $58 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8efb12… |
| 07-01 15:22:49 | Inferior-Snap-Grade 0xc848…57ce | No | BUY | 143 | 94¢ | $135 | 0x8efb12… |
| 06-30 16:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x702d…9cb7 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x4b0fae… |
| 06-30 16:34:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4b0fae… |
| 06-30 09:16:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe3fa26… |
| 06-30 09:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe3fa26… |
| 06-30 08:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb26a05… |
| 06-30 08:39:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb26a05… |
| 06-30 02:50:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0x8ef974… |
| 06-30 02:50:37 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x8ef974… |
| 06-30 02:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 128 | 7¢ | $9 | 0x8ef974… |
| 06-30 02:12:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0xf0d1f9… |
| 06-30 02:12:20 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 58 | 93¢ | $54 | 0xf0d1f9… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 84 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 19:30:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xc26611… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 62 | 92¢ | $57 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-29 03:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0e2ba6… |
| 06-28 21:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe80cd9… |
| 06-28 21:29:58 | Tedious-Crewman 0x4283…169e | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xe80cd9… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | Alienated-Horst 0xf887…6b54 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x0eab…821b | Yes | BUY | 393 | 8¢ | $31 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 14:59:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 98 | 90¢ | $89 | 0x400cf5… |
| 06-28 11:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xb5a6d2… |
| 06-28 11:09:46 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb5a6d2… |