Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,690
lifetime
Volume
$61.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$909
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 13:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
64% 60% +$41
Politics
23% 25% $-32
Tech
5%
Crypto
5% 67% +$43
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +315 $221 90¢ $285 +$64 06-11 07:11
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +173 $151 89¢ $154 +$3 06-02 15:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +149 $140 95¢ $142 +$2 06-20 13:19
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +170 $100 70¢ $119 +$19 05-31 10:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +91 $85 96¢ $87 +$2 05-29 21:34
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 +$0 06-20 13:20
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +42 $40 93¢ $39 $-1 06-27 19:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +55 $20 30¢ $16 $-4 06-25 06:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +24 $11 58¢ $14 +$3 06-16 08:11
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No +37 $11 $2 $-9 06-07 08:02
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +4 $2 $0 $-2 06-20 13:18