Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,815
lifetime
Volume
$69.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$972
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
60% 60% +$41
Politics
26% 25% $-32
Tech
6%
Crypto
5% 67% +$43
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +209 $201 97¢ $202 +$1 07-17 17:39
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +173 $151 88¢ $153 +$1 06-02 15:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +149 $140 96¢ $144 +$4 06-20 13:19
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +170 $100 68¢ $116 +$16 05-31 10:15
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +119 $115 97¢ $116 +$1 07-08 07:48
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +91 $85 96¢ $87 +$2 05-29 21:34
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +51 $50 99¢ $50 +$0 06-20 13:20
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -69 $-54 68¢ $-46 +$8 07-08 07:53
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +42 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 06-27 19:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +24 $11 66¢ $16 +$5 06-16 08:11
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +6 $2 22¢ $1 $-1 07-03 07:41
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +4 $2 $0 $-2 06-20 13:18