Realized P&L
+$52
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
88.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,570
lifetime
Volume
$54.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$568
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
71% 60% +$41
Politics
20% 25% $-32
Tech
4%
Crypto
4% 67% +$43
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +173 $151 85¢ $147 $-4 06-02 15:30
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +170 $100 62¢ $105 +$5 05-31 10:15
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +137 $99 64¢ $88 $-11 06-09 17:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +91 $85 94¢ $86 +$1 05-29 21:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +101 $76 74¢ $74 $-2 06-09 07:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -45 $-44 96¢ $-43 +$0 06-09 19:12
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No +37 $11 26¢ $10 $-1 06-07 08:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $5 60¢ $5 $-0 06-09 12:11
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +4 $3 81¢ $3 +$0 06-06 07:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No +112 $3 $3 +$0 06-09 19:25
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +5 $3 52¢ $3 +$0 06-04 16:11