Canada's population Up or Down this year?
open
Total volume
$677
Trades
33
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$423
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2027-04-30
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-17 22:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $4 | $287 | $282 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $16 | $1 | +$15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $17 | $22 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Median | 1 | $4 | $287 | $282 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 11 | $24 | $22 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | +330 | $254 | $319 | 6 | 07-16 12:49 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Up | +60 | $17 | $17 | 13 | 07-17 22:36 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Up | +40 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-01 02:07 |
| Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Up | +31 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-31 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Up | +26 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-16 12:49 |
| Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Up | +16 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-18 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x33cb…0ccf | Down | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc81c…2026 | Down | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-18 02:07 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Down | +2 | $1 | $9 | 2 | 07-10 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Down | +2 | $2 | $9 | 2 | 07-10 00:20 |
| Svelte-Prostacyclin 0x35aa…ba97 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xee69…8079 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 04:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 22:36:46 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Up | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x52f381… |
| 07-17 22:36:46 | Some-Precipitation 0x8031…27da | Up | SELL | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x52f381… |
| 07-16 12:49:01 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | BUY | 66 | 71¢ | $47 | 0x100bba… |
| 07-16 12:49:01 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Up | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x100bba… |
| 07-16 12:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Up | BUY | 26 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x100bba… |
| 07-10 00:20:32 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x64f85b… |
| 07-10 00:20:32 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Down | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x64f85b… |
| 07-10 00:20:32 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Down | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x64f85b… |
| 07-09 07:20:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Down | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xd5f928… |
| 07-09 07:20:52 | Jolly-Min 0xbbd2…9b1a | Down | SELL | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xd5f928… |
| 07-09 07:20:52 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xd5f928… |
| 07-01 03:08:14 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | SELL | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x5a8bab… |
| 07-01 03:08:14 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Down | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x5a8bab… |
| 07-01 03:08:14 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Up | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x5a8bab… |
| 07-01 02:40:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Up | SELL | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xb1e7ed… |
| 07-01 02:40:47 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | SELL | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0xb1e7ed… |
| 07-01 02:32:46 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Down | BUY | 291 | 79¢ | $230 | 0x8fcb74… |
| 07-01 02:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x9e9f…1d38 | Down | SELL | 221 | 79¢ | $175 | 0x8fcb74… |
| 07-01 02:32:46 | Gleeful-Lightning 0x6a34…47e9 | Down | SELL | 69 | 80¢ | $55 | 0x8fcb74… |
| 07-01 02:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Up | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x8d78b2… |
| 07-01 02:07:26 | (anonymous) 0x9e9f…1d38 | Down | SELL | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x8d78b2… |
| 07-01 02:07:26 | Forthright-Armpit 0x80c6…e3c1 | Up | SELL | 68 | 23¢ | $15 | 0x8d78b2… |
| 07-01 02:07:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Up | BUY | 40 | 23¢ | $9 | 0x8d78b2… |
| 06-18 04:13:13 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Up | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x0fd500… |
| 06-18 04:13:13 | (anonymous) 0xee69…8079 | Down | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x0fd500… |
| 06-18 02:07:46 | (anonymous) 0xc81c…2026 | Down | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x7b3d3f… |
| 06-18 02:07:46 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Up | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x7b3d3f… |
| 06-17 17:56:47 | Svelte-Prostacyclin 0x35aa…ba97 | Down | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x1a54b4… |
| 06-17 17:56:47 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Up | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x1a54b4… |
| 06-06 14:26:22 | (anonymous) 0x33cb…0ccf | Down | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x4de04d… |
| 06-06 14:26:22 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Up | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x4de04d… |
| 05-31 02:19:56 | Warm-Love 0xf720…4599 | Up | BUY | 31 | 53¢ | $17 | 0xcb6341… |
| 05-31 02:19:56 | Slippery-Doll 0x1d7c…51b6 | Up | SELL | 31 | 53¢ | $17 | 0xcb6341… |