Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-15 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 51% -$130

Other

11% 64% -$2

Politics

7% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	No		-1	-$1	94¢	$-1	$0	08-19 11:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes		-1	$0	6¢	$-0	+$0	08-20 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:20 UTC	3	$109	60	60	+0	Up	+$9	10-04 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	14	$95	59	59	+0	Down	+$21	10-04 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:10 UTC	3	$63	37	37	+0	Down	+$11	10-04 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:50 UTC	8	$54	39	24	+15	Down	-$10	08-19 11:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	6	$36	143	113	+29	Down	+$26	09-28 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:45 UTC	4	$32	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	08-19 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:55 UTC	2	$30	288	0	+288	Up	-$30	08-13 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 03:45 UTC	2	$30	41	0	+41	Down	+$0	08-11 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 03:55 UTC	2	$30	36	0	+36	Up	-$30	08-11 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:00 UTC	11	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	10-04 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:35 UTC	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	-$25	10-05 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	+$8	10-04 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Up	-$25	10-04 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Down	-$25	10-15 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 10:15 UTC	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	+$9	08-11 10:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 03:50 UTC	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	08-11 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	-$25	10-04 09:30
will russia target kyiv on august 15 2026 20260810162903050	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	08-17 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:05 UTC	11	$22	36	0	+36	Down	+$14	08-11 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 11:20 UTC	3	$22	23	12	+11	Up	+$2	08-19 11:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	3	$21	13	15	-2	open	—	08-20 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	4	$20	93	0	+93	Up	-$20	09-28 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 03:50 UTC	4	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	08-12 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 03:35 UTC	4	$20	26	0	+26	Up	+$6	08-11 03:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 04:10 UTC	4	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	08-12 04:14
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	3	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	08-14 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:50 UTC	3	$18	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	08-20 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 04:10 UTC	8	$16	65	0	+65	Down	-$16	08-11 04:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$15	23	23	+0	open	—	10-09 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:45 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Down	-$8	09-28 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 13:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5ec47b…
10-15 13:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8bf26a…
10-15 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe1d1ec…
10-15 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9172c8…
10-15 13:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6666a4…
10-15 13:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1eeb37…
10-15 13:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xda7e9b…
10-15 13:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc09da0…
10-15 13:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8c18b5…
10-15 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xda3fc4…
10-15 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x14cb57…
10-15 13:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x13ffb5…
10-15 13:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x13700c…
10-15 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf483f…
10-15 13:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05da25…
10-15 13:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c6415…
10-15 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdebb71…
10-15 13:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0f3abb…
10-15 13:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x62644e…
10-09 18:07:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb34d4a…
10-09 18:07:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb7c183…
10-09 18:07:23	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xfdcc28…
10-09 18:07:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x9f6c0c…
10-09 12:34:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xddc3d2…
10-09 12:34:07	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe148d7…
10-09 12:33:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x46c61d…
10-09 12:33:40	New pandemic before 2028?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd65940…
10-09 12:33:10	Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x7e1c0e…
10-09 12:32:54	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x702ae1…
10-09 12:32:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x7ea8e9…
10-08 08:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xee6aa3…
10-08 08:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd6a96d…
10-08 08:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd47877…
10-08 08:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb28286…
10-08 08:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbcbb30…
10-08 08:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe1cce5…
10-08 08:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x05ea15…
10-08 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbecf37…
10-08 08:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6cf334…
10-07 04:58:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x16a379…
10-05 14:11:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf1d767…
10-05 14:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xef8d5c…
10-05 14:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf74c4f…
10-05 14:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfb6a7a…
10-05 14:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7655c…
10-05 14:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4f500…
10-05 14:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ca07d…
10-05 14:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdc8ab7…
10-05 14:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x650ea0…
10-05 14:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xce610e…
10-05 14:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0dbe9…
10-05 14:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xced3cb…
10-05 14:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0cdfdd…
10-05 10:25:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa9ac97…
10-05 10:25:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc18b99…
10-05 10:25:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xce2cc9…
10-05 10:25:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbb8873…
10-05 10:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa254b9…
10-05 10:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x20c6de…
10-05 10:25:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x983400…
10-05 01:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc47291…
10-04 21:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x265ff3…
10-04 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x8cff53…
10-04 10:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf1b7a6…
10-04 10:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2af4d…
10-04 10:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf9a0ad…
10-04 10:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x39b759…
10-04 10:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb3b79…
10-04 10:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcd95d7…
10-04 10:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7d6764…
10-04 10:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2e7de4…
10-04 10:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf2d4ef…
10-04 10:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x004ac9…
10-04 09:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x767b86…
10-04 04:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x3987fb…
10-04 04:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x0b1970…
10-04 04:22:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa8cd34…
10-04 04:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xb33003…
10-04 04:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1e4fdb…
10-04 04:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xff13d8…
10-04 04:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x414d4d…
10-04 04:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2444ee…
10-04 04:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8a04aa…
10-04 04:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfb4f37…
10-04 04:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd62f35…
10-04 04:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe1e071…
10-04 04:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9cb04b…
10-04 04:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb9dc84…
10-04 04:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8cc680…
10-04 04:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1f0c7d…
10-04 04:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xcd92f2…
10-04 04:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xb1ff26…
10-04 04:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x9c6241…
10-04 04:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x19b73c…
10-04 04:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa13ad8…
10-04 04:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x12df80…
10-04 04:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0081fc…
10-04 04:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd4e15b…
10-04 04:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfb739c…
10-04 04:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8e14dc…