Realized P&L
-$597
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
1,015
Trades
1,277
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$46
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-03
last 09-19 23:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Sports
79% 56% -$432
Other
19% 23% -$236
Crypto
1% 60% -$19
Politics
1% 22% +$90
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +13 $1 97¢ $13 +$12 06-23 15:58
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +350 $35 3¢ $10 -$25 05-07 20:00
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +234 $29 3¢ $6 -$23 05-31 17:22
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +351 $12 1¢ $4 -$8 06-24 22:42
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +15 $5 22¢ $3 -$2 05-31 17:28
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +17 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 04-28 21:11
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +33 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-23 15:59
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +11 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 04-28 21:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $10 8¢ $1 -$9 06-25 19:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $1 10¢ $1 $0 05-20 18:11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +9 $1 8¢ $1 $0 04-28 21:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 06-06 18:06
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 04-28 21:10
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 04-28 21:10
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +37 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 06-06 18:06
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +67 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-12 20:22
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +28 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-20 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 06-25 19:57
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +121 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 06-23 15:59
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 05-31 17:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-25 19:57
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-21 21:14
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +4 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 05-20 00:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-25 19:57
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +26 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 04-28 21:10