Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35a2…7f1a6c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$603
Hit rate
30.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
7,307
lifetime
Volume
$261.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$5.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
50% 50% $-125
Politics
49% 42% $-2,026
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,160 $579 15¢ $748 +$169 06-08 14:08
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +850 $572 80¢ $676 +$104 06-09 13:51
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026? Yes -655 $-634 97¢ $-633 +$1 06-09 07:15
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -652 $-600 90¢ $-587 +$13 06-05 23:18
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +672 $329 60¢ $400 +$71 06-07 22:51
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -375 $-277 76¢ $-287 $-9 06-08 15:21
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No +317 $107 51¢ $161 +$54 06-05 22:45
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +200 $156 78¢ $155 $-1 06-10 00:34
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No -153 $-139 95¢ $-145 $-6 05-31 23:11
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -145 $-131 91¢ $-132 $-1 06-04 19:31
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +167 $132 78¢ $129 $-2 06-03 22:29
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No -548 $-249 18¢ $-101 +$148 06-04 01:40
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +210 $87 47¢ $99 +$12 06-10 00:08
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -148 $-98 64¢ $-96 +$2 06-06 22:38
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No -100 $-95 95¢ $-95 +$0 06-05 00:22
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No -108 $-89 85¢ $-91 $-2 06-06 07:14
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +218 $80 42¢ $90 +$10 06-06 21:21
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? Yes -100 $-85 88¢ $-88 $-3 06-06 22:18
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +100 $36 82¢ $82 +$46 06-04 01:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $75 82¢ $82 +$6 06-05 14:17
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +187 $91 43¢ $80 $-10 06-07 10:25
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +500 $110 16¢ $78 $-32 06-05 09:52
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -623 $-69 11¢ $-69 $-0 06-05 21:09
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +100 $55 64¢ $64 +$9 06-09 00:01
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +135 $58 43¢ $59 +$0 06-10 00:50
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +50 $36 71¢ $36 +$0 06-04 23:03
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +43 $21 76¢ $33 +$12 06-04 18:23
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -33 $-32 98¢ $-32 +$0 06-07 10:50
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No -175 $-37 18¢ $-31 +$6 06-09 17:11
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +213 $19 12¢ $26 +$7 06-08 14:56