Unfit-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.2%

Resolved

Trades

8,319

lifetime

Volume

$348.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

53% 50% $-125

Politics

43% 42% $-2,026

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	93	$13.9K	8,000	12,980	-4,980	open	—	06-22 10:27
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	77	$9.8K	16,211	836	+15,375	open	—	08-01 11:26
starmer out by july 31 2026	134	$6.5K	5,898	5,956	-58	open	—	06-20 20:40
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	46	$6.4K	4,753	4,198	+555	open	—	07-02 13:05
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	97	$4.5K	3,343	3,243	+100	open	—	02-21 22:32
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	52	$4.5K	3,540	3,466	+74	open	—	05-14 23:36
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	62	$3.8K	3,326	4,324	-998	open	—	01-08 17:01
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	23	$3.7K	2,785	1,519	+1,266	open	—	07-01 23:13
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	69	$3.4K	6,113	6,000	+113	open	—	05-19 00:26
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	78	$3.1K	2,928	2,728	+200	open	—	04-05 03:42
starmer out by june 22 2026	21	$3.0K	2,716	2,716	+0	open	—	06-21 12:27
will trump talk to friedrich merz in january	71	$2.9K	6,664	6,787	-123	open	—	01-28 14:59
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	59	$2.7K	1,298	2,753	-1,455	open	—	02-03 23:20
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	18	$2.7K	2,498	2,044	+454	open	—	04-16 15:27
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	16	$2.6K	1,781	1,737	+44	open	—	02-08 23:01
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	42	$2.5K	2,953	3,402	-449	open	—	03-11 10:23
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$2.5K	4,911	0	+4,911	Yes	$-2,511	04-27 10:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	10	$2.4K	1,704	1,804	-100	open	—	04-12 17:03
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	19	$2.4K	2,547	2,047	+500	open	—	04-15 16:53
italy nordio reform referendum passes	72	$2.2K	2,434	2,450	-16	open	—	03-23 16:32
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	75	$2.0K	1,679	1,701	-22	open	—	02-16 15:26
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	18	$2.0K	1,749	1,722	+27	open	—	07-29 22:23
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	22	$2.0K	2,794	2,794	+0	open	—	01-30 01:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$2.0K	1,122	1,122	+0	open	—	04-14 05:46
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	20	$2.0K	2,188	2,188	+0	open	—	03-11 00:28
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$1.9K	1,306	1,306	+0	open	—	03-11 20:23
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	10	$1.9K	683	1,778	-1,095	open	—	03-10 22:40
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	25	$1.9K	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	02-09 22:58
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	21	$1.9K	1,969	1,969	+0	open	—	03-22 18:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	17	$1.9K	1,694	1,694	+0	open	—	02-28 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 17:51:54	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	46	73¢	$34	0xec9fdb…
08-10 15:06:43	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x64e901…
08-10 09:07:36	dua lipa pregnant in 2026 20260623142042483	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x8772f6…
08-10 01:10:22	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	1,269	10¢	$127	0x2a6ace…
08-09 23:27:24	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6785b9…
08-09 23:12:39	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf373e9…
08-09 21:33:27	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0x63321c…
08-09 19:33:28	X banned in any European country by December 31?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x138e4e…
08-09 04:17:03	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x4e9c09…
08-09 03:45:24	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xed149c…
08-08 23:44:52	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	639	59¢	$380	0x52ba92…
08-08 00:28:27	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0x8d60a0…
08-08 00:02:28	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0xa50454…
08-07 18:36:15	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xeff897…
08-07 16:31:19	X banned in any European country by December 31?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0d6f95…
08-07 08:47:49	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	29	40¢	$12	0x846279…
08-07 04:55:33	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xfd0026…
08-07 01:46:43	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf8e263…
08-06 22:02:53	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0xfd5e33…
08-06 18:46:03	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	83	51¢	$43	0x3d3d88…
08-06 18:05:45	idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion 20260729165257291	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x4934b5…
08-06 17:59:18	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4082aa…
08-05 23:13:57	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x0ed0a4…
08-05 19:42:14	Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$8	0x7952c3…
08-05 14:12:09	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xa52697…
08-04 14:57:53	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xb069da…
08-04 09:03:26	X banned in any European country by December 31?	No	SELL	185	87¢	$161	0xa0aa7f…
08-04 05:12:50	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0xd2075d…
08-04 03:13:15	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x63734b…
08-03 23:46:02	will the odyssey be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0x606fb6…
08-03 04:51:59	will fjord be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5bc3ac…
08-02 23:53:50	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0x37fe9e…
08-02 23:53:11	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	Yes	BUY	66	43¢	$28	0xb910b1…
08-02 18:51:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	643	3¢	$17	0xe0aa83…
08-02 16:08:30	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219 193	Yes	SELL	204	1¢	$2	0x217307…
08-02 16:07:51	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220 567	Yes	SELL	255	1¢	$3	0xdbea63…
08-02 08:46:39	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x304061…
08-02 05:36:51	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220 567	Yes	SELL	190	2¢	$3	0x360e2b…
08-01 23:45:42	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219 193	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x13916d…
08-01 20:11:53	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x15ec96…
08-01 11:26:14	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xfa4957…
08-01 11:21:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	79	62¢	$49	0x175dc7…
08-01 10:23:23	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	84	57¢	$48	0xb72704…
08-01 10:23:23	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x9246da…
08-01 10:16:48	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4b6c7a…
08-01 08:10:23	will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the us in 2026 20260721164140039	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xbfe5ac…
08-01 06:50:53	will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	No	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xf4fc16…
08-01 06:32:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xc3a66a…
08-01 04:22:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	213	61¢	$130	0x7e7d4c…
08-01 04:21:41	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb59a37…
08-01 04:20:26	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	82	60¢	$49	0x12e987…
08-01 04:16:26	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	700	61¢	$427	0x4850d2…
08-01 04:15:11	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	500	79¢	$395	0x9d68ba…
08-01 04:00:06	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x00637d…
08-01 03:32:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0xf803d4…
08-01 02:45:03	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0xe94f8b…
08-01 01:18:50	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x269bfa…
08-01 00:26:20	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	16	77¢	$13	0x1d168d…
07-31 19:58:41	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdb577d…
07-31 19:18:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145718 274 457	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x7d6766…
07-31 18:43:38	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdd6a2c…
07-31 10:34:53	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x60d419…
07-31 07:01:35	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x0bda55…
07-31 02:02:29	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x7ed8c5…
07-31 01:42:02	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0x7c679a…
07-31 01:28:30	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0xd773f2…
07-30 21:32:27	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 160m by august 31 20260710220109221 521	Yes	SELL	293	1¢	$2	0x727046…
07-30 20:08:47	will project hail mary be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xdab9fe…
07-30 19:57:12	will russia capture kindrativka by september 30	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xd65557…
07-30 19:07:36	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfb0f80…
07-30 17:01:42	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	No	SELL	74	85¢	$63	0xedf1f6…
07-30 14:53:05	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219 193	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xbaedda…
07-30 14:52:41	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220 567	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x046acd…
07-30 10:44:24	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x017cdc…
07-29 22:23:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	73	74¢	$54	0xa62cb1…
07-29 22:09:18	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc903b6…
07-29 21:03:47	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0x480b4f…
07-29 18:30:56	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	SELL	488	100¢	$486	0x392dbb…
07-29 17:57:09	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xd44cb2…
07-29 14:25:50	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x35d201…
07-29 12:34:06	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	25¢	$23	0xaa6d8c…
07-29 11:55:14	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	142	81¢	$115	0xe0f932…
07-28 19:29:08	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x2f68da…
07-28 19:28:47	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x06874e…
07-28 17:38:05	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x944ae6…
07-28 17:32:56	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xf31706…
07-28 16:53:44	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xbc29c2…
07-28 13:25:04	Will France pass a national budget by December 31?	No	BUY	322	66¢	$212	0x9cb7e4…
07-28 12:27:02	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x259e90…
07-28 11:01:13	will all of a sudden be nominated for best picture at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xde9dc9…
07-28 10:19:07	will rachel reeves be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533202	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$1	0xccb29f…
07-28 07:29:57	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x744227…
07-27 22:39:55	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219 193	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x0c7d18…
07-27 21:38:45	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0x4e39e7…
07-27 18:42:24	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 130m by august 31 20260710220109218 712	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x5506c0…
07-27 16:21:24	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0x9713e3…
07-27 15:40:55	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x474725…
07-27 15:36:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	836	75¢	$627	0x007cc0…
07-27 14:40:55	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	SELL	278	91¢	$253	0x47add4…
07-27 14:05:33	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x565969…