Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35a2…7f1a6c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.13K
Hit rate
30.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
8,133
lifetime
Volume
$331.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$12.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
54% 50% $-125
Politics
43% 42% $-2,026
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6,129 $3,364 65¢ $4.0K +$620 07-18 17:29
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +2,771 $1,158 47¢ $1.3K +$145 07-01 23:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,649 $778 70¢ $1.1K +$368 06-24 15:45
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +1,592 $944 60¢ $948 +$4 07-12 21:22
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +5,040 $1,024 14¢ $680 $-344 07-20 21:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -716 $-696 94¢ $-672 +$24 07-17 13:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +672 $329 70¢ $467 +$138 06-07 22:51
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +821 $268 51¢ $417 +$149 07-17 22:13
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -375 $-277 74¢ $-277 +$0 06-08 15:21
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No -640 $-295 40¢ $-253 +$42 07-06 01:17
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -408 $-216 52¢ $-214 +$2 06-19 11:34
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -215 $-170 88¢ $-188 $-18 06-11 22:39
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -251 $-171 70¢ $-175 $-3 07-08 03:34
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No +372 $128 45¢ $169 +$42 06-14 08:01
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No -153 $-139 96¢ $-148 $-8 05-31 23:11
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +197 $141 74¢ $146 +$5 07-05 10:38
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +210 $87 68¢ $144 +$57 06-10 00:08
X banned in any European country by December 31? No -152 $-129 86¢ $-130 $-1 07-17 13:53
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No -133 $-145 80¢ $-107 +$38 07-16 03:46
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No -108 $-89 88¢ $-94 $-5 06-06 07:14
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $65 82¢ $82 +$18 06-14 01:03
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +100 $32 80¢ $80 +$48 06-10 17:34
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +120 $72 64¢ $76 +$4 06-29 14:22
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -623 $-69 11¢ $-69 $-0 06-05 21:09
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +109 $61 62¢ $67 +$6 07-10 17:33
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? No +84 $60 74¢ $62 +$2 06-18 21:12
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +74 $51 77¢ $57 +$6 07-03 12:50
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +450 $215 8¢ $38 $-177 06-30 19:58
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes -100 $-31 34¢ $-34 $-2 06-14 07:04
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +63 $51 38¢ $24 $-27 06-23 18:51