Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35a2…7f1a6c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$712
Hit rate
30.2%
Resolved
16
Trades
7,788
lifetime
Volume
$304.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$9.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
53% 50% $-125
Politics
44% 42% $-2,026
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 390 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No +2,571 $1,088 43¢ $1.1K +$18 06-29 01:08
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No -1,090 $-1,072 99¢ $-1076 $-4 06-15 19:51
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +3,641 $778 26¢ $965 +$187 06-27 22:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,649 $778 56¢ $932 +$154 06-24 15:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -688 $-663 100¢ $-686 $-23 06-20 09:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -652 $-600 99¢ $-649 $-48 06-05 23:18
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +519 $395 84¢ $439 +$44 06-12 17:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +672 $329 58¢ $393 +$64 06-07 22:51
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +334 $161 98¢ $328 +$167 06-21 14:58
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No -375 $-277 72¢ $-268 +$9 06-08 15:21
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -408 $-216 50¢ $-202 +$14 06-19 11:34
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +203 $190 99¢ $202 +$12 06-23 17:57
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -248 $-169 74¢ $-183 $-14 06-19 21:27
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -215 $-170 82¢ $-177 $-8 06-11 22:39
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? No +372 $128 43¢ $161 +$33 06-14 08:01
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? No -153 $-139 95¢ $-145 $-6 05-31 23:11
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -145 $-131 99¢ $-144 $-13 06-04 19:31
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +160 $109 85¢ $136 +$27 06-17 14:46
Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +210 $87 56¢ $119 +$32 06-10 00:08
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? No -100 $-100 99¢ $-99 +$1 06-10 19:13
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +300 $113 33¢ $98 $-15 06-12 20:14
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No -108 $-89 87¢ $-94 $-4 06-06 07:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $75 90¢ $90 +$16 06-05 14:17
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +97 $70 84¢ $81 +$11 06-19 14:18
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +150 $84 52¢ $78 $-6 06-25 08:29
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +120 $72 60¢ $72 $-0 06-29 14:22
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +100 $32 70¢ $70 +$38 06-10 17:34
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +100 $65 67¢ $67 +$2 06-14 01:03
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? No +84 $60 78¢ $65 +$5 06-18 21:12
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -623 $-69 8¢ $-50 +$19 06-05 21:09