Realized P&L
+$48.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.7K
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
1,188
Trades
19,359
lifetime
Volume
$888.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$69.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
55% 44% +$28,799
Politics
41% 47% +$19,456
Pop-Culture
3% 43% -$835
Sports
1% 25% +$547
Tech
0% 50% +$297
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18,746 $9,368 59¢ $11.0K +$1,673 10-26 21:55
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +17,592 $6,235 44¢ $7.8K +$1,594 10-26 14:03
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +8,332 $3,534 86¢ $7.2K +$3,632 10-22 17:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +16,438 $4,839 38¢ $6.3K +$1,489 10-17 12:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,711 $3,821 44¢ $4.7K +$924 10-23 12:03
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +4,034 $1,789 67¢ $2.7K +$928 10-15 22:06
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +16,201 $2,273 15¢ $2.4K +$100 10-21 17:39
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +2,730 $1,586 86¢ $2.3K +$748 10-22 10:12
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +3,307 $1,119 60¢ $2.0K +$874 10-14 20:02
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +3,146 $1,329 55¢ $1.7K +$386 10-21 22:43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,565 $1,104 66¢ $1.7K +$602 10-08 03:45
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +5,255 $2,433 31¢ $1.6K -$817 10-27 04:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2,569 $1,090 60¢ $1.5K +$438 10-26 23:53
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,159 $1,582 18¢ $1.5K -$73 10-23 13:50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,542 -$1,350 97¢ $-1495 -$145 06-09 10:07
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +1,810 $1,267 80¢ $1.4K +$171 10-05 09:29
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,500 -$1,046 86¢ $-1290 -$244 06-05 06:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,613 $374 72¢ $1.2K +$779 09-14 14:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,304 -$1,113 81¢ $-1060 +$53 09-24 00:23
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -1,244 -$1,414 84¢ $-1051 +$363 10-01 15:38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,106 $730 74¢ $824 +$94 08-21 07:20
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +1,260 $1,053 65¢ $821 -$231 10-22 00:38
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -788 -$582 93¢ $-732 -$151 05-17 23:25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,071 $644 66¢ $712 +$69 10-08 01:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +946 $608 74¢ $695 +$87 08-22 07:42
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $700 68¢ $685 -$15 10-21 00:39
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +778 $560 86¢ $665 +$105 08-14 20:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,800 $633 36¢ $639 +$6 10-26 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +1,600 $477 38¢ $608 +$131 09-28 17:10
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -1,312 -$748 46¢ $-597 +$151 06-09 23:54