(anonymous) 0x22b6e6…6056cb
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$171
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
1,594
Trades
6,901
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$45
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-21 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 53% -$129
Other
14% 68% -$26
Politics
2% 64% -$16
Sports
1% 79% -$2
Tech
1% 94% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $3 88¢ $6 +$3 07-22 18:41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 07-03 05:51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 07-25 15:29
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $4 77¢ $3 -$1 08-05 21:51
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -3 $0 98¢ $-3 -$3 05-03 07:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +4 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 07-07 03:32
US recession by end of 2026? No -3 -$2 93¢ $-3 $0 07-04 17:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-21 23:09
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 09-25 07:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4 $2 56¢ $2 +$0 10-11 21:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-10 01:56
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 07-31 02:10
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 88¢ $-1 $0 08-26 12:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-11 21:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 10-18 15:39
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-24 17:42
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026 Yes +1 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 10-16 22:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-10 01:50
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +2 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 08-26 12:17