U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$364
Trades
75
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$9,649
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-24 10:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $8 | $71 | $62 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $8 | $99 | $92 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $24 | $32 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $61 | $54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $5 | $13 | $8 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 9 | $21 | $56 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | $41 | $39 |
| unranked | 10 | $11 | $33 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +82 | $14 | $14 | 8 | 07-11 17:11 |
| Sunny-Mix 0xc6f7…87ae | No | +59 | $44 | $60 | 4 | 06-21 03:55 |
| Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-21 03:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +35 | $19 | $54 | 9 | 07-01 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-06 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +23 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 16:03 |
| Silent-Obsidian 0x57b0…76f4 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 09:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-21 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f86…a769 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 10:09 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-24 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x10ff…de16 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-12 12:08 |
| Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 09:03 |
| Large-Angle 0x239d…daeb | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-11 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-22 06:38 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $10 | 5 | 07-04 17:38 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | +1 | $2 | $6 | 3 | 06-28 14:34 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 12:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 10:09:37 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xabe591… |
| 07-24 10:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xabe591… |
| 07-24 10:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xabe591… |
| 07-12 12:08:11 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8d3f61… |
| 07-12 12:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8d3f61… |
| 07-11 17:11:43 | Large-Angle 0x239d…daeb | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0fb3ce… |
| 07-11 17:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0fb3ce… |
| 07-06 23:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x28c8…a343 | No | BUY | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0xfabf37… |
| 07-06 23:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xfabf37… |
| 07-06 23:27:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xfabf37… |
| 07-04 17:38:28 | (anonymous) 0xf1ca…2a33 | No | SELL | 3 | 80¢ | $3 | 0x948b96… |
| 07-04 17:38:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x948b96… |
| 07-01 18:25:16 | Nice-Crayon 0xd764…0eb9 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1e266b… |
| 07-01 18:25:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x1e266b… |
| 07-01 12:10:14 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x91aeb1… |
| 07-01 12:10:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x91aeb1… |
| 06-29 10:34:55 | Sad-Thorn 0x3822…d7e5 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfecc75… |
| 06-29 10:34:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0xfecc75… |
| 06-28 14:34:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x49c9c8… |
| 06-28 14:34:04 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x49c9c8… |
| 06-27 23:51:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x17aae2… |
| 06-27 23:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x10ff…de16 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x17aae2… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x5acca0… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x5acca0… |
| 06-22 21:27:20 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7468bd… |
| 06-22 21:27:20 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7468bd… |
| 06-22 06:38:02 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x79fd5c… |
| 06-22 06:38:02 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x79fd5c… |
| 06-22 05:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x7411a1… |
| 06-22 05:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x7411a1… |
| 06-22 05:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb181fe… |
| 06-22 05:38:34 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb181fe… |
| 06-22 02:23:19 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x070cd5… |
| 06-22 02:23:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x070cd5… |
| 06-21 23:11:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7b5777… |
| 06-21 23:11:59 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7b5777… |
| 06-21 03:55:23 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x0d1a29… |
| 06-21 03:55:23 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x0d1a29… |
| 06-21 03:55:23 | Defenseless-Placement 0x275c…6090 | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x0d1a29… |
| 06-21 03:55:23 | Sunny-Mix 0xc6f7…87ae | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x0d1a29… |
| 06-18 09:38:52 | Sunny-Mix 0xc6f7…87ae | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x17ce0e… |
| 06-18 09:38:52 | (anonymous) 0x5f86…a769 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x17ce0e… |
| 06-16 16:03:07 | Sunny-Mix 0xc6f7…87ae | No | BUY | 23 | 78¢ | $18 | 0xea91e7… |
| 06-16 16:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 23 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xea91e7… |
| 06-16 16:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 24 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x3567f1… |
| 06-16 16:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x3567f1… |
| 06-16 16:02:01 | Sunny-Mix 0xc6f7…87ae | No | BUY | 36 | 75¢ | $27 | 0x3567f1… |
| 06-16 12:10:12 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x4e713b… |
| 06-16 12:10:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x4e713b… |
| 06-16 02:08:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x1c14bc… |
| 06-16 02:08:52 | (anonymous) 0x22b6…56cb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x1c14bc… |
| 06-14 10:41:57 | (anonymous) 0xc46d…7668 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x760520… |
| 06-14 10:41:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x760520… |
| 06-14 10:41:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc7657f… |
| 06-14 10:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…dd71 | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x8ba5e2… |
| 06-14 10:41:55 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | SELL | 40 | 67¢ | $27 | 0x88a25b… |
| 06-14 10:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x5663…f2e5 | No | SELL | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc7657f… |
| 06-14 10:41:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 67¢ | $27 | 0x88a25b… |
| 06-14 10:41:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x8ba5e2… |
| 06-01 09:58:50 | Silent-Obsidian 0x57b0…76f4 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x110ceb… |
| 06-01 09:58:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x110ceb… |
| 06-01 09:55:53 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x40335b… |
| 06-01 09:55:53 | (anonymous) 0x19e5…dd71 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x40335b… |
| 06-01 09:55:53 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x0f4e91… |
| 06-01 09:55:53 | (anonymous) 0x5663…f2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x0f4e91… |
| 06-01 09:55:51 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0x027c7d… |
| 06-01 09:55:51 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0x027c7d… |
| 06-01 09:03:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x07f7fd… |
| 06-01 09:03:23 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x07f7fd… |
| 06-01 09:02:50 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 11 | 66¢ | $8 | 0x0e65fd… |
| 06-01 09:02:50 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x0e65fd… |
| 06-01 09:02:50 | (anonymous) 0xc46d…7668 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x1abb40… |
| 06-01 09:02:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x1abb40… |
| 05-28 10:20:42 | Clueless-Dugout-Tomtom 0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x55fbf6… |
| 05-28 10:20:42 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x55fbf6… |