Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
71
Trades
11,720
lifetime
Volume
$83.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$108
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-17 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
61% 77% +$15
Politics
27% 63% +$11
Sports
4%
Crypto
4% 67% +$3
Tech
2% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -40 $-29 38¢ $-15 +$14 05-31 15:48
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -11 $-10 97¢ $-11 $-1 05-31 16:31
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +8 $5 86¢ $7 +$2 05-29 20:16
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -9 $-5 80¢ $-7 $-1 06-17 07:59
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -17 $-6 40¢ $-7 $-1 06-02 10:48
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -10 $-7 61¢ $-6 +$1 06-14 17:22
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? No -7 $-5 89¢ $-6 $-1 06-16 19:13
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -8 $-7 78¢ $-6 +$0 06-17 07:59
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No -6 $-5 95¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 04:55
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 04:05
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? No -6 $-2 60¢ $-4 $-2 06-17 07:59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No -5 $-3 84¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 10:20
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -4 $-3 84¢ $-3 $-1 06-17 07:59
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? No -4 $-3 79¢ $-3 +$0 06-17 07:59
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No -3 $-3 90¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 10:20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 10:20
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? No -2 $-2 90¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 10:20
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -3 $-1 65¢ $-2 $-1 06-03 10:59
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 14:25
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-1 06-01 10:48
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 10:20
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? Yes -3 $-1 36¢ $-1 $-0 06-17 07:59
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -3 $-0 31¢ $-1 $-1 06-17 07:59
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 20:08
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No -2 $-1 20¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 10:48
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? No -1 $-0 80¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 14:03
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026? No -1 $-1 22¢ $-0 +$0 05-31 10:47
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026? No +0 $-0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-07 22:24
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +0 $-0 22¢ $0 +$0 06-01 10:08