Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
71
Trades
11,720
lifetime
Volume
$83.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$220
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-17 07:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
61% 77% +$15
Politics
27% 63% +$11
Sports
4%
Crypto
4% 67% +$3
Tech
2% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +37 $28 100¢ $37 +$8 05-27 23:15
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -26 $-18 99¢ $-25 $-7 06-08 21:49
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -40 $-29 59¢ $-24 +$5 05-31 15:48
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No -16 $-15 100¢ $-16 $-1 06-02 23:14
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 06-14 21:02
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30? No -11 $-10 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-15 07:56
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -11 $-10 91¢ $-10 +$0 05-31 16:31
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -17 $-6 44¢ $-7 $-1 06-02 10:48
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +8 $5 84¢ $7 +$2 05-29 20:16
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -9 $-5 75¢ $-6 $-1 06-17 07:59
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No -8 $-7 78¢ $-6 +$0 06-17 07:59
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -10 $-7 59¢ $-6 +$1 06-14 17:22
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No -6 $-5 93¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 04:55
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? No -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 $-0 06-16 19:13
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -5 $-5 87¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 04:05
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No -5 $-3 84¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 10:20
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? No -6 $-2 58¢ $-4 $-2 06-17 07:59
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-3 100¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 20:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 09:33
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? No -4 $-3 77¢ $-3 +$0 06-17 07:59
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$1 05-31 20:42
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -4 $-3 68¢ $-3 +$0 06-17 07:59
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No -3 $-3 76¢ $-3 $-0 05-28 10:20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? No -3 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 10:20
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 10:20
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -3 $-1 75¢ $-2 $-1 06-03 10:59
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-1 99¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 10:48
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B? Yes -3 $-1 51¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 07:59
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 14:25
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -3 $-0 40¢ $-1 $-1 06-17 07:59