Realized P&L
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
72.1%
Resolved
71
Trades
11,577
lifetime
Volume
$82.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$228
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 06-09 20:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
61% 77% +$15
Politics
27% 63% +$11
Sports
4%
Crypto
4% 67% +$3
Tech
2% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +37 $28 76¢ $28 $-0 05-27 23:15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -40 $-29 66¢ $-26 +$2 05-31 15:48
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -26 $-18 88¢ $-23 $-4 06-08 21:49
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No -16 $-15 98¢ $-16 $-1 06-02 23:14
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +14 $13 92¢ $13 $-0 06-09 18:49
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +16 $15 84¢ $13 $-1 06-03 00:51
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +12 $12 91¢ $11 $-0 06-06 00:39
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +11 $11 95¢ $11 $-0 06-09 09:38
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +11 $11 92¢ $10 $-0 06-09 20:10
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No -11 $-10 89¢ $-10 +$0 05-31 16:31
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 $-0 06-03 02:37
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +8 $5 90¢ $8 +$2 05-29 20:16
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -17 $-6 36¢ $-6 $-0 06-02 10:48
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? Yes -8 $-6 78¢ $-6 +$0 06-04 01:09
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? No -5 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 04:05
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$0 06-01 02:16
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No -6 $-5 67¢ $-4 +$1 06-02 04:55
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 09:33
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-3 $-1 05-28 10:20
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-3 79¢ $-3 +$0 05-28 20:37
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$1 05-31 20:42
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No -3 $-3 70¢ $-2 +$0 05-28 10:20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 10:20
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 10:20
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No -2 $-1 71¢ $-2 $-0 06-02 10:48
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -3 $-1 58¢ $-2 $-0 06-03 10:59
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-1 64¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 10:48
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 14:25
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026? No -1 $-1 63¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 10:20
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 +$0 05-29 20:08