U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
open
Total volume
$100
Trades
32
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$11,541
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-19 02:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $11 | $10 | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $5 | $2 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $17 | $10 | +$6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +125 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | +96 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 06-11 23:19 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +90 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 23:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +71 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-11 23:19 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 23:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 19:48 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +16 | $-2 | $8 | 5 | 06-19 02:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-11 22:14 |
| Well-Informed-Channel 0xb7e6…d9e3 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 22:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb124…b2d6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 13:54 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 14:41 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 02:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 02:42:14 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x286f7a… |
| 06-19 02:42:14 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x286f7a… |
| 06-19 02:41:56 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x008d4c… |
| 06-19 02:41:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x008d4c… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 90 | 5¢ | $4 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 125 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | (anonymous) 0x6741…9f3f | Yes | SELL | 462 | 5¢ | $23 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 23:19:49 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8dd423… |
| 06-11 22:14:28 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x52e2c4… |
| 06-11 22:14:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x52e2c4… |
| 06-10 13:54:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x7614fe… |
| 06-10 13:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xb124…b2d6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7614fe… |
| 06-02 22:47:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8451bb… |
| 06-02 22:47:32 | Well-Informed-Channel 0xb7e6…d9e3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8451bb… |
| 06-01 19:49:06 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa7116d… |
| 06-01 19:49:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa7116d… |
| 06-01 19:48:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x2f912b… |
| 06-01 19:48:52 | Vast-Flipflops 0xf5dc…0f05 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2f912b… |
| 06-01 19:48:52 | Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x2f912b… |
| 06-01 19:48:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x2f912b… |
| 06-01 19:48:42 | Vast-Flipflops 0xf5dc…0f05 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 19¢ | $9 | 0xd09889… |
| 06-01 19:48:42 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd09889… |
| 06-01 19:48:42 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xd09889… |
| 06-01 19:48:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd09889… |
| 05-28 14:41:32 | Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8df018… |
| 05-28 14:41:32 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8df018… |
| 05-28 10:20:38 | (anonymous) 0x4c9e…190b | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb97659… |
| 05-28 10:20:38 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xb97659… |