Realized P&L
+$26
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
6
Trades
381
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$211
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-21 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
84% 60% +$8
Politics
14% 100% +$19
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +62 $10 52¢ $33 +$23 07-15 03:23
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +150 $30 20¢ $29 $-1 07-21 19:43
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes +543 $30 $28 $-2 07-21 15:09
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $10 22¢ $24 +$14 07-10 01:14
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +36 $7 55¢ $20 +$12 07-15 03:23
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +60 $10 30¢ $18 +$8 07-15 03:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +62 $10 29¢ $18 +$8 07-11 03:19
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +114 $10 10¢ $11 +$1 07-10 00:00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-1 07-20 13:02
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? Yes +94 $10 10¢ $9 $-1 07-14 14:33
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $10 $8 $-2 07-11 09:21
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +7 $1 28¢ $2 +$1 07-08 08:30