Flowery-Ounce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

397

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-08 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

84% 60% +$8

Politics

14% 100% +$19

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
blk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 15 2026 12pt64	2	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-15 11:01
jef quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 07 2026 0pt96	5	$1.2K	1,404	6	+1,397	open	—	01-07 21:15
wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 08 2026 1pt45	4	$890	937	0	+937	open	—	01-08 21:14
c quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt69	1	$496	577	0	+577	open	—	01-14 13:00
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt19	1	$402	730	0	+730	open	—	02-25 21:15
tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt07	1	$402	730	0	+730	open	—	02-11 12:46
wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	1	$402	730	0	+730	open	—	04-09 20:05
gety quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 16 2026 0pt03	6	$382	730	0	+730	open	—	03-16 20:07
mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt81	1	$380	400	0	+400	open	—	01-20 11:30
tfc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 1pt1	1	$380	400	0	+400	open	—	01-21 11:33
tpg quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 09 2026 0pt68	6	$350	7,835	0	+7,835	open	—	02-05 14:34
aeo quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt72	2	$270	491	0	+491	open	—	03-04 23:29
gap quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 0pt45	1	$245	446	0	+446	open	—	03-05 21:15
uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 0pt79	1	$242	656	0	+656	open	—	02-04 11:55
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	4	$235	264	264	+0	open	—	02-06 09:20
ibkr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt56	1	$203	248	0	+248	open	—	01-20 21:02
dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt57	4	$163	84	84	+0	open	—	01-13 15:21
virt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	1	$163	727	0	+727	open	—	07-30 10:00
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	3	$162	95	95	+0	open	—	01-13 15:20
csgp quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt06	1	$153	285	0	+285	open	—	02-24 21:02
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	2	$150	754	0	+754	open	—	01-28 18:46
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$137	168	168	+0	open	—	04-08 13:27
rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt78	1	$128	233	0	+233	open	—	07-30 20:01
spgi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 4pt95	2	$124	498	0	+498	open	—	07-28 11:15
Will the US strike Syria next?	5	$113	985	0	+985	open	—	02-04 17:14
grab quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt01	1	$108	196	0	+196	open	—	02-11 22:26
h quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt39	1	$106	216	0	+216	open	—	02-12 11:55
will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	2	$100	91	91	+0	open	—	04-02 14:52
Will the US strike Syria next?	3	$80	415	0	+415	open	—	02-04 17:26
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 2pt51	1	$78	92	0	+92	open	—	01-21 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 08:18:58	will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	Yes	BUY	1,183	4¢	$50	0x609b77…
08-06 20:05:29	sg quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 neg0pt15	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x59420b…
08-06 09:01:15	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	491	10¢	$50	0x497e2e…
08-05 20:06:03	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt72	No	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xd82a96…
08-05 10:00:38	situational awareness anthropic sale confirmed by august 31 20260730182057663	Yes	BUY	837	6¢	$50	0xec7631…
08-05 01:19:50	Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	25¢	$37	0xb7510a…
08-04 09:26:18	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 300b hkd 20260727205430942	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xe84be1…
08-03 15:27:12	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xdb3709…
07-31 10:30:03	xom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 31 2026 3pt66	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x2e02cc…
07-30 20:01:05	rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt78	Yes	BUY	233	55¢	$128	0xb5ad1d…
07-30 10:00:03	virt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	No	BUY	727	22¢	$163	0x84f140…
07-29 20:00:03	wwd quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 27 2026 2pt42	No	BUY	284	23¢	$65	0xc51e49…
07-28 11:15:53	spgi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 4pt95	No	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x9d90a6…
07-28 11:10:43	spgi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 4pt95	No	BUY	454	22¢	$99	0xca77b2…
07-22 00:37:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x729eb1…
07-21 19:43:18	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xdb6eb1…
07-21 15:09:40	Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	6¢	$30	0x3187bb…
07-20 13:02:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x6c8372…
07-20 12:02:33	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x290b80…
07-15 19:16:37	will donald trump publicly insult kevin warsh by july 31 2026 20260626210612736	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x151312…
07-15 03:23:34	Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xb58d78…
07-15 03:23:34	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x70c525…
07-15 03:23:32	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0xf562d0…
07-14 22:16:20	will donald trump attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044254	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x7ff21c…
07-14 17:59:44	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0xb35852…
07-14 14:33:31	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xef460c…
07-11 09:21:52	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb415c8…
07-11 03:19:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0b1580…
07-10 18:59:52	will trump fly in original air force 1 again this month 20260710003923849	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x318da5…
07-10 01:14:32	Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa5ddc7…
07-10 00:00:08	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xd7511c…
07-08 08:30:56	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x1d2344…
06-07 07:40:45	Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?	Yes	SELL	884	0¢	$4	0x166580…
06-07 07:39:12	ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x28bf4c…
05-07 08:50:01	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	29	97¢	$29	0x52e48c…
04-23 07:40:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3993e7…
04-23 07:39:54	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x42e656…
04-22 10:58:18	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	83¢	$60	0x248cd2…
04-13 20:31:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8a7c62…
04-13 16:46:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	178	6¢	$10	0x0d9940…
04-12 21:53:07	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x266927…
04-12 19:45:55	Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7872cd…
04-12 14:32:59	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe7022c…
04-10 20:28:49	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	3¢	$10	0x3e9c38…
04-10 06:33:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$10	0x26d22a…
04-09 21:11:11	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe04cba…
04-09 20:05:05	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	Yes	BUY	730	55¢	$402	0xba6a1f…
04-09 12:31:09	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xbdb70e…
04-09 12:31:09	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa93828…
04-09 12:16:51	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,711	1¢	$10	0xe76c45…
04-09 12:16:51	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3,650	0¢	$10	0xc1a88a…
04-09 10:02:45	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 10 578	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xcf2088…
04-09 02:53:49	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4ad328…
04-08 19:34:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf98f16…
04-08 17:38:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x34a4b3…
04-08 17:34:03	Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2594d5…
04-08 17:26:19	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x231f8d…
04-08 14:44:01	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	804	1¢	$10	0xa79489…
04-08 13:38:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x891b17…
04-08 13:28:01	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	79	78¢	$62	0xd9c507…
04-08 13:27:51	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	168	76¢	$127	0xb952f0…
04-08 12:47:57	Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xfc2818…
04-08 12:31:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0b9731…
04-08 12:19:17	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x205a5c…
04-08 12:11:11	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xe2ddda…
04-08 11:58:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2cff8d…
04-08 06:55:19	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd4815a…
04-08 06:52:59	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbe83a8…
04-08 03:14:37	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x469c06…
04-07 23:53:55	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.25% (LOW) in April?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x22f181…
04-07 23:20:31	Military action against Iran ends by April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xa9202e…
04-07 23:20:31	Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8a048e…
04-07 22:49:25	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x67f469…
04-07 18:27:41	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x682a97…
04-07 16:29:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x702612…
04-07 14:57:47	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1df156…
04-07 11:24:17	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc4e78c…
04-06 15:10:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	386	3¢	$10	0x8b20b2…
04-04 14:39:55	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$10	0x09bded…
04-04 14:38:59	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xabf9c8…
04-04 10:45:01	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x74f331…
04-03 07:14:13	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xc41c53…
04-02 15:05:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xabdf63…
04-02 14:52:59	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x263fdc…
04-02 14:52:49	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x196120…
04-02 14:52:37	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x6d7008…
04-02 14:27:29	Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9e60f5…
04-02 14:27:29	Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9cdf7b…
04-02 06:32:13	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xba4d34…
04-02 02:00:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x249819…
04-01 15:16:57	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4eb196…
04-01 14:40:17	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x27051b…
04-01 10:30:37	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x172505…
04-01 10:30:31	msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x813994…
04-01 07:00:11	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2035ad…
04-01 06:32:37	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe1747b…
03-31 20:20:43	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4ae452…
03-31 11:12:55	Military action against Iran ends on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	3¢	$10	0x354d78…
03-31 10:30:35	mkc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt61	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xceaad5…
03-31 08:54:23	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x32677e…