Realized P&L
-$249
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
318
Trades
480
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$90
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-03 07:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
79% 51% +$147
Politics
19% 36% -$271
Tech
3% 9% -$125
Crypto
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -40 -$33 86¢ $-34 -$1 06-24 18:14
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -22 -$8 98¢ $-22 -$14 10-03 07:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -15 -$12 95¢ $-14 -$2 10-03 07:39
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -18 -$3 29¢ $-5 -$2 10-03 07:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -16 -$6 30¢ $-5 +$1 10-03 07:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -17 -$3 18¢ $-3 $0 10-03 07:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -27 -$4 7¢ $-2 +$2 10-03 07:41
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes -55 -$1 3¢ $-2 $0 10-03 07:42
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -289 -$1 0¢ $-1 -$1 10-03 07:42
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes -42 -$1 3¢ $-1 $0 10-03 07:42
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes -22 $0 2¢ $-1 $0 10-03 07:42