Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$1,790
Trades
95
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$2,176
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-25 06:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.5¢ (top1%: 26% YES on $15 vs crowd: 30% YES on $431)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 7 $23 $52 $29
🐬 Dolphin 6 $18 $34 $16
🐟 Fish 6 $12 $104 $92
🦐 Shrimp 15 $79 $111 $32
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 2 $4 $11 $7
🏆 Top 5% 2 $12 $52 $40
✅ Top 10% 4 $19 $10 +$9
Median 2 $2 $52 $50
Below median 5 $1 — +$1
⚠️ Bottom 10% 2 $14 — +$14
🔻 Bottom 5% 1 — — +—
💀 Bottom 1% 1 — — +—
unranked 15 $79 $176 $97
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
(anonymous) 0x82b8…1b3b Yes +98 $35 $35 1 06-22 11:07
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 No +81 $52 $52 3 06-28 23:27
Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd Yes +80 $11 $12 4 07-25 06:55
Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d No +60 $49 $49 1 07-21 14:35
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a Yes +27 $4 $4 1 07-13 09:59
(anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e Yes +23 $3 $19 8 07-23 13:24
Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 No +19 $11 $11 1 06-11 10:54
United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 Yes +17 $1 $1 1 07-25 06:55
(anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 Yes +5 $0 $0 1 07-25 06:55
(anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 No +5 $4 $23 2 07-08 16:35
(anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 Yes +5 $2 $2 1 07-08 16:35