Candid-Nut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

11,266

Trades

59,322

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 275 days

Categories

Other

70% 27% +$3,433

Politics

12% 60% +$758

Sports

9% 25% +$361

Crypto

8% 28% +$56

Pop-Culture

1% 37% +$86

Tech

0% 83% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will karen khachanov advance to the fourth round round of 16 in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629152246324	21	$118	170	117	+53	No	+$112	07-04 16:17
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 ags hugo ekitike	2	$100	90	100	-10	No	+$88	03-03 22:14
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first corner	3	$100	110	110	+0	DR Congo	+$98	06-17 18:59
rus ros spa 2026 04 12 spa	9	$99	117	132	-15	No	+$82	04-12 15:18
Corentin Tolisso: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$98	98	98	+0	Yes	+$96	05-12 16:57
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 5 2026 29c	28	$98	1,800	728	+1,072	Yes	+$86	03-06 02:09
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	589	$95	2,394	3,991	-1,598	Yes	+$35	02-17 23:21
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	12	$90	171	144	+27	No	+$85	05-16 14:46
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	245	$87	2,457	4,006	-1,549	Yes	+$44	01-23 07:05
wta gormaz lamens 2026 03 24 match total 21pt5	5	$79	103	83	+19	Under	+$79	03-25 12:51
Will Max Homa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	8	$74	116	100	+16	No	+$71	05-15 05:14
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	207	$70	733	1,012	-279	Yes	+$28	02-15 23:33
Will Sung-Jae Im finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	3	$69	200	100	+100	No	+$65	05-15 19:10
bra2 juv csc 2026 06 28 total 4pt5	9	$68	90	89	+1	Under	+$77	06-27 18:49
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners first half total 3pt5	28	$67	199	93	+107	Over	+$58	06-17 21:18
Will Tyrrell Hatton finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	5	$66	458	100	+358	No	+$64	05-15 23:28
bitcoin above 69200 on april 5 2026 6pm et	6	$64	222	62	+159	No	+$81	04-05 21:26
will henrique gouveia e melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	37	$63	2,142	911	+1,231	Yes	+$45	01-19 07:53
atp jover busta 2026 03 16 set totals 2pt5	4	$62	133	93	+40	Under 2.5	+$48	03-17 14:13
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	33	$59	254	254	+0	Yes	+$45	06-24 05:47
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	58	$54	193	223	-30	Yes	+$15	02-19 06:30
col1 cdt atn 2026 03 01 spread away 1pt5	8	$53	63	63	-1	CD Tolima	+$50	03-02 03:18
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 1?	16	$51	124	124	+0	No	+$48	07-01 20:45
will cda be part of the next government of the netherlands	961	$51	1,736	1,842	-106	Yes	+$23	02-19 00:24
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	271	$51	1,691	2,336	-646	Yes	+$11	02-16 16:26
cs2 zerote sta6 2026 03 01 game2	6	$51	131	50	+81	STATE	+$63	03-01 17:39
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	34	$49	354	158	+197	Yes	+$38	08-05 03:27
cs2 zerote sta6 2026 03 01	6	$47	172	52	+119	ex-Zero Tenacity	+$43	03-01 18:39
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 68 and 70	167	$47	1,120	1,485	-365	Yes	+$19	02-16 12:46
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 corners total 9pt5	3	$46	74	52	+22	Over	+$66	04-04 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:40:02	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4ae76c…
10-28 11:01:56	Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x70109a…
10-28 11:01:10	Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x9b3991…
10-28 11:00:28	Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0d4707…
10-28 08:42:19	Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x8a0b9f…
10-28 08:41:59	Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x87f502…
10-28 08:41:59	Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x69bc1d…
10-28 08:41:53	Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xc5f9c9…
10-28 08:41:53	Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x57d12f…
10-28 07:17:26	Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x1154fa…
10-28 07:07:13	Will Micron (MU) close above $1,020 end of October?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xed553d…
10-28 04:06:50	Will George Kittle have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x30b5db…
10-28 04:02:55	Will George Kittle have 324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x048ce4…
10-28 03:32:45	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xc4b52b…
10-28 03:32:45	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x048a5c…
10-28 03:31:01	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xc071ba…
10-28 03:12:00	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x968a66…
10-28 03:11:50	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x2f18eb…
10-28 03:08:06	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x954a76…
10-28 03:02:12	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xee5671…
10-28 01:45:57	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xdfae5f…
10-28 01:41:45	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	33	80¢	$27	0x0f1aa5…
10-28 00:41:42	Will CDP Junior FC vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x717c30…
10-27 23:33:42	Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	Morehead State Eagles	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xd25be0…
10-27 23:32:06	Morehead State Eagles vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	Morehead State Eagles	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x50291f…
10-27 23:02:21	Will XRP reach $1.35 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xef2069…
10-27 21:57:26	Will Broad Front (FA) win 15-17 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0xd73994…
10-27 21:27:02	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xf7b9ff…
10-27 21:19:23	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x160e9a…
10-27 21:03:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xeb3220…
10-27 20:44:26	Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xd41b89…
10-27 20:33:29	Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x558f1e…
10-27 20:28:32	Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7bcbc1…
10-27 20:21:20	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	Inner Circle Academy	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xc48326…
10-27 20:20:54	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xb7c281…
10-27 18:32:03	Will Anyone's Legend make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x6eda9f…
10-27 17:32:41	itf usmonj1 muelle1 2026 10 28	Abdulaziz Usmonjonov	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xdf9376…
10-27 17:31:47	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x59824e…
10-27 13:23:51	Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4aca2e…
10-27 13:23:39	Will Podemos win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc28c5d…
10-27 13:08:42	Will Anyone's Legend make a roster change by December?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x57c145…
10-27 12:20:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9db196…
10-27 12:06:29	Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2b3b47…
10-27 09:28:21	Will Podemos win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x1c60e0…
10-27 08:44:36	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xe5def7…
10-27 08:41:42	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xa34426…
10-27 08:41:15	Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x23d74c…
10-27 08:41:03	Will Broad Front (FA) win 15-17 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc5db81…
10-27 08:22:56	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xd647fb…
10-27 05:44:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf82ed1…
10-27 05:44:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 50% or more?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x644dab…
10-27 03:52:06	ethereum above 2310 on october 27 2026 12am et	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe4e847…
10-27 03:27:03	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x220f7b…
10-27 03:12:29	Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, Republicans win Kansas, and an independent win Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb1801f…
10-27 02:55:59	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xc64a74…
10-27 01:59:02	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5	Over	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x3b1013…
10-27 01:58:56	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x4aea69…
10-27 01:58:30	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xa0e76c…
10-27 01:55:26	Spread: Celtics (-25.5)	Bulls	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc3e701…
10-27 01:55:26	Spread: Celtics (-25.5)	Bulls	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7e563c…
10-27 01:55:24	Spread: Celtics (-27.5)	Bulls	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe91f05…
10-27 01:54:56	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xa7fda5…
10-27 01:54:56	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6ec7b2…
10-27 01:54:56	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5	Under	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x1e7c54…
10-27 01:54:41	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5	Under	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x492605…
10-27 01:50:59	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x69559d…
10-27 01:46:54	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0xbd8c5d…
10-27 01:17:12	Spread: Bulls (-6.5)	Bulls	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xd5b815…
10-27 01:15:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x125d0e…
10-27 01:14:02	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5	Under	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x8f956c…
10-27 00:49:09	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5	Under	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x64fbfa…
10-27 00:04:20	Will Coquimbo be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x0821f7…
10-27 00:03:21	Will Deportes Concepción be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xf1c24a…
10-27 00:02:42	Will Audax Italiano be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x61b0ef…
10-27 00:02:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x920ca5…
10-27 00:02:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x55288e…
10-26 23:43:42	Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x0b93f5…
10-26 23:43:41	Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd1109f…
10-26 23:42:15	Bulls vs. Celtics: Team to Score First	Bulls	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x709f67…
10-26 23:39:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x320862…
10-26 23:39:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0b103c…
10-26 21:48:18	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xf155bf…
10-26 21:48:18	Spread: Bulls (-10.5)	Bulls	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x63c56e…
10-26 21:40:00	Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x1fae63…
10-26 21:20:44	Paul George: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x67d65a…
10-26 21:02:03	Will Broad Front (FA) win 15-17 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x2d5bed…
10-26 21:00:50	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x6b2686…
10-26 21:00:08	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x33190c…
10-26 20:59:48	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8e0b28…
10-26 20:19:38	Will Yan Diomande win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xf48c9d…
10-26 20:19:36	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0xdaf4b1…
10-26 20:05:42	Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x9341a1…
10-26 20:02:39	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xd4f893…
10-26 19:24:42	Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xf84d4b…
10-26 18:51:33	Will Broad Front (FA) win 15-17 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x7be389…
10-26 18:30:12	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x78f526…
10-26 17:53:48	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x5024dc…
10-26 17:46:23	Will Arda Guler win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x8f8724…
10-26 16:30:11	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x104cea…
10-26 16:18:09	Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6d9e55…