Candid-Nut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

291

Trades

43,766

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

69% 29% $-9

Politics

13% 70% +$2

Crypto

9% 34% $-8

Sports

8% 36% +$4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benfica qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No		+1	$0	9¢	$0	+$0	06-02 19:57
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	Yes		-0	$-1	10¢	$-0	+$1	07-06 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will karen khachanov advance to the fourth round round of 16 in gentlemens singles at wimbledon 2026 20260629152246324	21	$118	170	117	+53	open	—	07-04 16:17
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 ags hugo ekitike	2	$100	90	100	-10	open	—	03-03 22:14
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 first corner	3	$100	110	110	+0	open	—	06-17 18:59
rus ros spa 2026 04 12 spa	9	$99	117	132	-15	open	—	04-12 15:18
Corentin Tolisso: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$98	98	98	+0	open	—	05-12 16:57
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 5 2026 29c	28	$98	1,800	728	+1,072	open	—	03-06 02:09
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	589	$95	2,394	3,991	-1,598	open	—	02-17 23:21
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	12	$90	171	144	+27	open	—	05-16 14:46
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	245	$87	2,457	4,006	-1,549	open	—	01-23 07:05
wta gormaz lamens 2026 03 24 match total 21pt5	5	$79	103	83	+19	open	—	03-25 12:51
Will Max Homa finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	8	$74	116	100	+16	open	—	05-15 05:14
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	207	$70	733	1,012	-279	open	—	02-15 23:33
Will Sung-Jae Im finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	3	$69	200	100	+100	open	—	05-15 19:10
bra2 juv csc 2026 06 28 total 4pt5	9	$68	90	89	+1	open	—	06-27 18:49
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners first half total 3pt5	28	$67	199	93	+107	open	—	06-17 21:18
Will Tyrrell Hatton finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	5	$66	458	100	+358	open	—	05-15 23:28
bitcoin above 69200 on april 5 2026 6pm et	6	$64	222	62	+159	open	—	04-05 21:26
will henrique gouveia e melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	37	$63	2,142	911	+1,231	open	—	01-19 07:53
atp jover busta 2026 03 16 set totals 2pt5	4	$62	133	93	+40	open	—	03-17 14:13
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	58	$54	193	223	-30	open	—	02-19 06:30
col1 cdt atn 2026 03 01 spread away 1pt5	8	$53	63	63	-1	open	—	03-02 03:18
will cda be part of the next government of the netherlands	961	$51	1,736	1,842	-106	open	—	02-19 00:24
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	271	$51	1,691	2,336	-646	open	—	02-16 16:26
cs2 zerote sta6 2026 03 01 game2	6	$51	131	50	+81	open	—	03-01 17:39
cs2 zerote sta6 2026 03 01	6	$47	172	52	+119	open	—	03-01 18:39
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 68 and 70	167	$47	1,120	1,485	-365	open	—	02-16 12:46
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 corners total 9pt5	3	$46	74	52	+22	open	—	04-04 20:36
will partido popular pp win the 2026 aragon regional election 724	248	$45	1,800	2,040	-240	open	—	02-09 07:24
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	6	$45	290	10	+280	open	—	05-18 00:02
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	171	$45	2,305	3,269	-964	open	—	02-08 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 01:34:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xbe2520…
07-21 00:46:12	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x685a04…
07-20 23:58:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xb3b26e…
07-20 23:54:21	mlb nym mil 2026 07 20 nrfi	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xf20ead…
07-20 23:54:19	mlb nym mil 2026 07 20 nrfi	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9c71c9…
07-20 23:52:52	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x6db31f…
07-20 23:42:12	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0b7e9f…
07-20 23:22:40	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x264d46…
07-20 23:22:34	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xab87dd…
07-20 23:19:57	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2	METANOIA WOLVES	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xda3489…
07-20 23:19:33	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game2	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xce7b9f…
07-20 23:14:37	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20	METANOIA WOLVES	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xcb6bf1…
07-20 23:12:58	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xe13b9d…
07-20 22:35:00	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game1	METANOIA WOLVES	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x9b557c…
07-20 22:33:25	cs2 grmioe mw 2026 07 20 game1	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x6215eb…
07-20 21:37:03	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xfbd4ed…
07-20 21:26:19	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x890a9a…
07-20 20:33:48	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xc80716…
07-20 18:02:54	kor bch any 2026 07 22 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x1652d5…
07-20 16:41:22	e jean carroll federally charged by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x9a3690…
07-20 16:24:07	doge updown 15m 1784564100	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf1da69…
07-20 16:22:30	doge updown 15m 1784564100	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x10aef8…
07-20 13:29:34	e jean carroll federally charged by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x9d79ae…
07-20 10:39:01	kor bch any 2026 07 22 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x19ed7a…
07-20 08:08:04	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcf4ac7…
07-20 08:07:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6a2735…
07-20 08:07:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xdf088b…
07-20 08:06:57	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd56fde…
07-20 07:52:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$1	0xf427bb…
07-20 07:39:15	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc5e415…
07-20 07:06:46	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf70c4f…
07-20 06:54:52	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x90c34e…
07-20 06:54:52	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x400e83…
07-20 06:54:51	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x69e89b…
07-20 05:24:16	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x903da0…
07-20 05:20:45	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xc3ca2b…
07-20 05:20:22	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x8c1b94…
07-20 05:16:52	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xa717ce…
07-20 05:16:37	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xb628c7…
07-20 05:12:01	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdd4ddb…
07-20 05:09:04	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x0a25b7…
07-20 04:19:43	will xrp reach 1pt2 on july 20	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x64ba09…
07-20 04:19:22	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 20	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xf44103…
07-20 04:19:07	will xrp dip to 0pt95 on july 20	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x25baec…
07-20 04:19:03	will xrp dip to 0pt9 on july 20	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x2a1ec8…
07-20 04:13:54	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x599250…
07-20 03:21:46	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xafb5ad…
07-20 03:20:24	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xf2c599…
07-20 03:20:24	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xb795d8…
07-20 03:20:24	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x54bb7f…
07-20 03:20:24	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x4a224f…
07-20 03:20:22	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x4fb5c9…
07-20 03:20:21	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x5e33d1…
07-20 03:20:19	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x6a55c6…
07-20 03:20:18	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x737068…
07-20 03:20:16	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xf06033…
07-20 03:15:15	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xb1c1d2…
07-20 03:14:43	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xd451e7…
07-20 03:07:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x356d12…
07-20 02:54:48	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8db74b…
07-20 02:51:03	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa14548…
07-20 02:51:03	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2c65e6…
07-20 02:50:58	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xda603f…
07-20 02:50:57	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdd424a…
07-20 02:50:57	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x856cd7…
07-20 02:50:57	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7cded6…
07-20 02:50:54	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2e4e46…
07-20 02:50:52	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x84cef6…
07-20 02:50:52	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4cb93e…
07-20 00:32:18	iran successfully targets shipping on july 20	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9eb06e…
07-20 00:09:48	will siir siir be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922793	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe730fe…
07-20 00:09:33	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xfcd9ba…
07-20 00:09:33	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd1baa9…
07-20 00:08:13	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x1906f1…
07-20 00:08:12	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xd5bc86…
07-20 00:08:12	will siir siir be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922793	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3d6672…
07-20 00:07:03	will never say never be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922783	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf952b…
07-20 00:07:03	will never say never be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922783	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6231c9…
07-20 00:07:03	will never say never be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922783	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x53e8c9…
07-20 00:06:04	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x8bb40f…
07-20 00:05:13	will siir siir be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922793	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xae8f51…
07-20 00:05:00	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xcea212…
07-20 00:04:58	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd66fdd…
07-20 00:04:58	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd49758…
07-20 00:04:58	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa187b1…
07-20 00:04:57	will goals be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922792	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0a8fb1…
07-20 00:04:27	will siir siir be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922793	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xddfd4d…
07-20 00:04:27	will siir siir be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922793	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x820bf8…
07-20 00:03:58	will game time be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922790	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5d99b1…
07-20 00:03:57	will game time be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922790	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xe354fa…
07-20 00:03:55	will game time be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922790	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb2cb6d…
07-20 00:03:55	will game time be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922790	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x91cef5…
07-20 00:03:55	will game time be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922790	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b8742…
07-20 00:03:22	will echo be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922795	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7813b3…
07-20 00:03:22	will echo be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922795	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x040a79…
07-19 23:53:37	nwsl bos spi 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0xc9ac5d…
07-19 23:49:33	will vogue be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922775	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9a0672…
07-19 23:49:33	will vogue be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922775	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b44c8…
07-19 23:49:33	will vogue be played during the world cup finals halftime show 20260704165922775	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f787b…
07-19 23:48:07	nwsl bos spi 2026 07 19 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfd3fa0…