Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$734
Trades
76
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$5,828
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-19
last 08-05 08:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $1 | $6 | $4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $11 | $314 | $303 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $53 | $52 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 16 | $10 | $261 | $250 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 02:09 |
| Miserly-Innovation 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-20 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-23 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x664b…773a | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-08 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d41…8c3d | No | +23 | $23 | $91 | 4 | 08-05 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d52…8467 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-30 11:57 |
| Cumbersome-Contrast 0xef0b…10f5 | Yes | +13 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 07-10 20:51 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-20 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +5 | $-0 | $0 | 3 | 07-20 06:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x680f0f… |
| 08-05 08:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x2d41…8c3d | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x680f0f… |
| 07-23 08:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x5bf4…0ca2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x96f7cf… |
| 07-23 08:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x2d41…8c3d | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x96f7cf… |
| 07-20 06:14:55 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xedce0a… |
| 07-20 06:14:55 | Miserly-Innovation 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f7d36… |
| 07-20 06:14:55 | Miserly-Innovation 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xedce0a… |
| 07-20 06:14:55 | Miserly-Innovation 0xac8f…3bc4 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1e68f1… |
| 07-20 06:14:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6f7d36… |
| 07-20 06:14:55 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1e68f1… |
| 07-20 05:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x0125…c066 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5fbe1e… |
| 07-20 05:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5fbe1e… |
| 07-18 00:29:22 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3740a5… |
| 07-18 00:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3740a5… |
| 07-10 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xda0f…2c70 | No | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x1cd5c9… |
| 07-10 20:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1cd5c9… |
| 07-10 20:51:46 | Cumbersome-Contrast 0xef0b…10f5 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1cd5c9… |
| 07-08 12:11:08 | (anonymous) 0x664b…773a | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x8d23ba… |
| 07-08 12:11:08 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0x8d23ba… |
| 07-06 02:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xda0f…2c70 | No | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x7c073c… |
| 07-06 02:09:32 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7c073c… |
| 07-06 02:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x2d41…8c3d | No | BUY | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x9d3d35… |
| 07-06 02:07:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9d3d35… |
| 07-06 02:07:40 | Cumbersome-Contrast 0xef0b…10f5 | Yes | BUY | 92 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9d3d35… |
| 07-05 22:33:47 | (anonymous) 0x5749…c029 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3be90f… |
| 07-05 22:33:47 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3be90f… |
| 07-05 22:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x5749…c029 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x92137b… |
| 07-05 22:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x2d41…8c3d | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x92137b… |
| 07-05 22:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x92137b… |
| 06-30 13:09:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x352799… |
| 06-30 13:09:01 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x352799… |
| 06-30 13:09:01 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x352799… |
| 06-30 11:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x1d52…8467 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x000a67… |
| 06-30 11:57:08 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x000a67… |
| 06-30 11:57:08 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x000a67… |
| 06-30 10:38:53 | (anonymous) 0xbdb6…79ee | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x9db740… |
| 06-30 10:38:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x9db740… |
| 06-30 10:38:53 | (anonymous) 0x1ebb…ac0a | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x9db740… |
| 06-24 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35c72c… |
| 06-24 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x1ebb…ac0a | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x35c72c… |
| 06-24 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x35c72c… |
| 06-24 00:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf87080… |
| 06-24 00:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf87080… |
| 06-24 00:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x039736… |
| 06-24 00:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x039736… |
| 06-24 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x12fbda… |
| 06-24 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x12fbda… |
| 06-23 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfd44a7… |
| 06-23 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xfd44a7… |
| 06-23 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x9029…6110 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xfd44a7… |
| 06-23 23:28:02 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0f5135… |
| 06-23 23:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0f5135… |
| 06-23 22:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5d96f3… |
| 06-23 22:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x9029…6110 | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x5d96f3… |
| 06-23 22:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8cdf46… |
| 06-23 22:51:01 | (anonymous) 0xc215…1ac0 | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x8cdf46… |
| 06-23 22:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x9029…6110 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8cdf46… |
| 06-23 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x89962a… |
| 06-23 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x89962a… |
| 06-23 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x89962a… |
| 06-23 22:37:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x4751a4… |
| 06-23 22:37:52 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4751a4… |
| 06-23 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x63cc8f… |
| 06-23 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0xc215…1ac0 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x63cc8f… |
| 06-23 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x63cc8f… |
| 06-23 21:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x90df95… |
| 06-23 21:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x90df95… |
| 06-23 21:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x90df95… |
| 06-23 19:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x113346… |
| 06-23 19:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x113346… |
| 06-23 18:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb1140d… |
| 06-23 18:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xb1140d… |
| 06-19 03:11:55 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x04b130… |
| 06-19 03:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x04b130… |
| 06-19 03:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4e5d4a… |
| 06-19 03:11:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4e5d4a… |