Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$291
Trades
38
Unique wallets
10
Liquidity
$5,828
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-19
last 06-24 00:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $7 | $96 | $89 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $48 | $48 |
| unranked | 6 | $7 | $48 | $41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-23 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-23 21:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35c72c… |
| 06-24 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x1ebb…ac0a | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x35c72c… |
| 06-24 00:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0x35c72c… |
| 06-24 00:26:43 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf87080… |
| 06-24 00:26:43 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf87080… |
| 06-24 00:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x039736… |
| 06-24 00:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x039736… |
| 06-24 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x12fbda… |
| 06-24 00:07:43 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x12fbda… |
| 06-23 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x9029…6110 | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xfd44a7… |
| 06-23 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfd44a7… |
| 06-23 23:39:23 | (anonymous) 0x8685…948b | No | SELL | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xfd44a7… |
| 06-23 23:28:02 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0f5135… |
| 06-23 23:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0f5135… |
| 06-23 22:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x9029…6110 | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x5d96f3… |
| 06-23 22:55:47 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5d96f3… |
| 06-23 22:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x9029…6110 | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x8cdf46… |
| 06-23 22:51:01 | (anonymous) 0xc215…1ac0 | No | SELL | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x8cdf46… |
| 06-23 22:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8cdf46… |
| 06-23 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x89962a… |
| 06-23 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x89962a… |
| 06-23 22:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x89962a… |
| 06-23 22:37:52 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x4751a4… |
| 06-23 22:37:52 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4751a4… |
| 06-23 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0x63cc8f… |
| 06-23 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x63cc8f… |
| 06-23 21:49:20 | (anonymous) 0xc215…1ac0 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x63cc8f… |
| 06-23 21:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x90df95… |
| 06-23 21:10:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf91…c94f | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x90df95… |
| 06-23 21:10:07 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x90df95… |
| 06-23 19:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x113346… |
| 06-23 19:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x113346… |
| 06-23 18:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb1140d… |
| 06-23 18:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xb1140d… |
| 06-19 03:11:55 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x04b130… |
| 06-19 03:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xd633…7a18 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x04b130… |
| 06-19 03:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4e5d4a… |
| 06-19 03:11:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4e5d4a… |