Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-21 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

54% 90% -$9

Politics

23% 100% +$1

Sports

13% 100% +$0

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	07-02 10:42
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-31 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	4	$130	67	67	+0	open	—	10-21 17:44
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	4	$115	61	61	+0	open	—	08-30 13:38
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	3	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	09-11 20:43
SBF released from custody in 2026?	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	07-31 01:06
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	3	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	09-09 16:30
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	2	$114	58	58	+0	No	+$0	08-18 15:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	5	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	09-17 04:43
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	10-05 17:37
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	3	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	10-19 12:47
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$113	58	58	+0	open	—	10-06 18:17
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	6	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	07-26 04:49
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$110	56	56	+0	No	+$0	05-30 00:38
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	3	$101	51	51	+0	Yes	+$0	05-15 23:55
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	4	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-11 11:26
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	06-13 18:53
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-15 07:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	06-06 11:36
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	11	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-21 03:55
will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	6	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	06-18 20:30
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	16	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	07-02 10:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-18 02:09
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	3	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$0	06-20 18:42
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	7	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	07-29 11:41
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$90	48	48	+0	No	+$0	05-27 13:48
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	2	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$0	06-10 16:31
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	3	$87	45	45	+0	No	+$0	06-24 10:21
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$85	45	45	+0	No	+$0	05-22 22:56
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	2	$76	39	39	+0	open	—	08-25 12:28
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$56	58	0	+58	No	+$2	06-19 08:52
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	2	$51	52	0	+52	No	+$1	04-30 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 17:44:39	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	96¢	$65	0x976c93…
10-19 12:47:24	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xc60568…
10-15 08:25:04	Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x497cab…
10-06 18:17:32	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xb96b1d…
10-05 17:37:07	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xb9392c…
09-18 04:37:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xb48515…
09-18 02:09:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x3d5d88…
09-17 16:32:52	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x50f9b5…
09-17 16:32:52	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0f928c…
09-17 04:43:09	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x56858b…
09-11 20:43:00	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0xff02fd…
09-11 14:41:15	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x8b7780…
09-11 14:02:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x596475…
09-09 16:30:21	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0x0b9cb0…
09-04 16:10:30	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x92bdf3…
08-30 13:38:40	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x2a4103…
08-28 10:10:27	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1dc351…
08-25 12:28:49	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x34da24…
08-24 15:33:57	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4fd419…
08-21 12:19:28	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x1fe660…
08-21 11:57:25	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x8b2376…
08-18 15:25:21	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xcf3214…
08-14 13:05:54	ebola pandemic in 2026	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0xd6da63…
08-06 19:33:57	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x53447d…
08-05 08:51:57	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x680f0f…
08-01 13:42:20	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x81cd4d…
08-01 12:57:51	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x13836d…
07-31 01:06:24	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0xdb40b7…
07-30 16:11:48	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x461c9c…
07-30 15:50:48	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x07f238…
07-30 11:30:03	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x96b0fd…
07-30 09:05:48	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xcefe73…
07-29 11:41:08	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x02bf49…
07-28 19:25:49	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4bbad8…
07-28 18:13:58	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x613b0d…
07-28 18:13:58	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x22450a…
07-28 17:05:50	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x920833…
07-28 17:05:44	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x1808eb…
07-26 04:49:24	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x102157…
07-26 03:24:22	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x9f7d47…
07-26 03:24:22	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0cbf57…
07-26 03:24:21	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xc30d2a…
07-26 03:08:21	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8ea4c1…
07-23 08:43:04	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x96f7cf…
07-23 03:11:13	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xa6f1ae…
07-10 11:42:53	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x7c5a44…
07-07 21:00:58	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x4e5739…
07-06 02:07:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x9d3d35…
07-05 22:22:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x92137b…
07-04 19:45:20	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xdfd4cb…
07-02 10:42:41	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xad6c52…
07-02 10:36:44	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xddf534…
07-02 09:40:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x8720b7…
07-01 13:50:10	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x6641ac…
06-24 10:21:07	Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x169ab2…
06-22 05:45:55	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaae616…
06-22 05:45:01	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x250544…
06-21 15:56:26	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d7dfd…
06-20 18:42:16	Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x7741e0…
06-19 23:08:29	Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x76deea…
06-19 08:52:08	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x1fdb0f…
06-18 22:26:26	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2e6aba…
06-18 22:03:49	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5f384b…
06-18 21:32:22	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb463ef…
06-18 20:37:49	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3d9da5…
06-18 20:31:59	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6793f1…
06-18 20:30:13	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x81b260…
06-18 20:30:01	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x48f3f3…
06-18 20:24:47	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0e0240…
06-18 20:18:31	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7fbaee…
06-18 19:42:47	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1c1872…
06-18 18:26:40	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc5a017…
06-18 18:22:55	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd75eaf…
06-18 17:55:14	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x73d50a…
06-15 14:23:25	Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7a9059…
06-13 18:53:51	Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x2c67a9…
06-12 11:48:43	will solana dip to 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xfc808d…
06-12 11:22:16	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf36a10…
06-11 17:27:34	Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1bd0ea…
06-11 12:58:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x82d809…
06-11 12:45:33	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xda038c…
06-11 11:16:31	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc505b9…
06-11 10:42:28	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xefe0aa…
06-11 10:28:58	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4c0376…
06-10 16:31:04	OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xe444fc…
06-06 11:36:19	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x23332f…
05-30 20:34:57	Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xc61a9d…
05-30 00:38:22	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x209c52…
05-29 06:02:00	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1a6f7c…
05-27 13:48:40	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0xe669de…
05-26 07:15:39	Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x4e3ba7…
05-23 22:04:03	Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x7e3c4d…
05-23 13:27:21	Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xd1fdf8…
05-22 22:56:05	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x025fa5…
05-22 19:50:49	OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x53001c…
05-21 03:55:04	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf07ab6…
05-20 13:41:22	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x4ea102…
05-17 09:39:12	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x74a39f…
05-17 09:38:35	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9e692c…
05-17 09:38:16	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe4b37b…