Realized P&L
-$3.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
40.2%
Resolved
405
Trades
138,519
lifetime
Volume
$2.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-29 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Sports
66% 31% -$1,488
Other
19% 37% -$1,336
Politics
15% 26% -$519
Crypto
1% 45% -$20
Tech
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +124 $112 98¢ $121 +$10 10-09 02:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +128 $116 94¢ $120 +$4 09-25 14:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -110 -$107 98¢ $-108 -$1 09-24 00:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +126 $104 84¢ $106 +$2 07-15 01:41
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$5 08-20 10:59
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +100 $89 97¢ $97 +$8 08-19 12:09
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$5 08-18 22:21
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $85 94¢ $94 +$8 08-18 13:44
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +99 $88 94¢ $93 +$5 10-05 17:43
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? No +93 $90 97¢ $90 +$0 08-24 22:41
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $71 86¢ $86 +$14 08-21 12:36
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +100 $51 82¢ $82 +$30 08-17 18:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +87 $78 79¢ $69 -$9 07-15 08:42
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +93 $67 70¢ $65 -$2 09-24 10:01
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +61 $50 98¢ $59 +$9 08-25 12:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +80 $43 70¢ $57 +$14 10-09 18:48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +58 $75 82¢ $48 -$27 09-30 10:16
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +50 $25 78¢ $39 +$14 09-28 22:27
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +33 $32 99¢ $33 +$1 08-24 17:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +34 $30 94¢ $32 +$3 09-21 12:34
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -34 -$30 95¢ $-32 -$2 08-17 11:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +32 $23 96¢ $31 +$8 09-24 11:47
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +33 $27 92¢ $31 +$4 07-20 11:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +100 $32 30¢ $31 -$1 09-23 23:17
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +33 $33 90¢ $30 -$3 07-14 17:04
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 07-15 17:15
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +30 $24 96¢ $29 +$5 10-08 15:25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -30 -$26 94¢ $-28 -$2 10-14 18:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +32 $32 87¢ $28 -$4 07-16 09:09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +32 $24 89¢ $28 +$4 08-22 16:10