(anonymous) 0x4bacc9…b45e79
whale bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$119
Hit rate
17.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
62,329
lifetime
Volume
$675.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-20 13:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Sports
64% 40% $-7
Other
26% 33% $-32
Politics
9% 50% +$50
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 2504 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -305 $-280 95¢ $-290 $-10 07-14 17:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -197 $-69 62¢ $-122 $-53 07-14 15:36
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +117 $108 86¢ $101 $-7 07-15 18:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -81 $-81 96¢ $-78 +$3 07-14 16:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -175 $-54 38¢ $-66 $-12 07-14 15:36
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -67 $-66 97¢ $-65 +$1 07-14 17:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -74 $-64 84¢ $-63 +$1 07-05 16:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -69 $-65 90¢ $-62 +$3 07-14 17:49
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -60 $-51 94¢ $-57 $-5 06-05 15:02
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +143 $138 40¢ $56 $-82 07-15 02:02
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +104 $53 50¢ $52 $-0 07-05 13:47
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +105 $52 50¢ $52 $-1 07-10 20:11
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -60 $-47 84¢ $-51 $-4 07-20 11:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +66 $48 68¢ $45 $-3 07-17 17:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +49 $42 92¢ $44 +$2 07-17 07:52
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -89 $-42 50¢ $-44 $-2 07-15 04:33
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +44 $40 98¢ $43 +$3 07-15 17:15
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +82 $36 50¢ $41 +$4 07-09 11:08
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -40 $-38 96¢ $-38 $-1 06-17 14:02
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No -43 $-41 88¢ $-38 +$3 07-11 20:21
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +37 $29 92¢ $34 +$5 06-24 02:30
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -119 $-70 28¢ $-33 +$37 07-10 20:21
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No -32 $-28 98¢ $-31 $-3 06-03 04:58
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -130 $-39 23¢ $-30 +$9 07-14 02:31
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -29 $-25 90¢ $-27 $-2 07-19 13:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -79 $-16 32¢ $-25 $-9 07-17 17:15
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes -27 $-20 88¢ $-24 $-4 07-04 21:24
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -24 $-22 96¢ $-23 $-1 06-27 12:59
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -25 $-30 92¢ $-23 +$7 07-08 18:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -506 $-22 4¢ $-22 +$0 07-14 16:56