Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
17.5%
Resolved
18
Trades
52,746
lifetime
Volume
$504.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$605
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-09 19:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Sports
81% 40% $-7
Other
11% 33% $-32
Politics
7% 50% +$50
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 2056 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -119 $-110 92¢ $-110 $-0 06-10 01:20
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +60 $55 92¢ $55 +$0 06-03 05:38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -60 $-51 86¢ $-52 $-1 06-05 15:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -51 $-48 93¢ $-48 +$0 06-04 02:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -84 $-30 50¢ $-42 $-12 06-03 19:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -45 $-41 92¢ $-42 $-0 06-04 02:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -74 $-33 50¢ $-37 $-4 06-03 19:00
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +71 $30 50¢ $35 +$5 06-07 20:02
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No -32 $-28 93¢ $-30 $-1 06-03 04:58
Trump out as President before GTA VI? Yes +50 $25 50¢ $25 +$0 06-02 04:55
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -34 $-17 49¢ $-17 +$0 06-04 18:35
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 94¢ $16 +$1 06-07 11:31
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +28 $15 54¢ $15 +$0 06-04 06:57
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +29 $14 48¢ $14 +$1 06-06 20:12
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +24 $7 50¢ $12 +$5 06-09 16:35
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? Yes -18 $-9 50¢ $-9 +$0 06-03 05:26
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -15 $-8 50¢ $-8 +$0 06-05 14:34
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +10 $5 50¢ $5 +$0 06-06 12:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -66 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-04 03:57
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-06 08:32
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -64 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-07 11:31
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No -7 $-2 46¢ $-3 $-1 06-04 06:57
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes -40 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-03 05:37
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +6 $3 52¢ $3 +$0 06-06 12:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +37 $2 $3 +$1 06-10 03:27
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-04 07:32
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes +5 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 06-05 14:34
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-04 20:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +7 $0 11¢ $1 +$1 06-05 20:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 08:32