Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,129
$36 in 24h
Trades
91
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$4,333
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-24 16:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $201
vs crowd: 24% YES on $707)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $51 | $27 | +$24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $22 | $197 | $175 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $92 | $234 | $142 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $6 | $79 | $72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $201 | $201 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $47 | $1 | +$46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| Median | 3 | $6 | $70 | $64 |
| Below median | 5 | $90 | $69 | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $5 | $136 | $131 |
| unranked | 7 | $7 | $19 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | +294 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 06-03 05:02 |
| Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | No | +279 | $201 | $201 | 2 | 06-03 05:02 |
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +165 | $132 | $132 | 3 | 06-22 15:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +140 | $46 | $46 | 3 | 06-19 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +17 | $14 | $97 | 9 | 07-07 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-07 14:56 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-24 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-19 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-20 18:53 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-19 00:22 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-22 04:53 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 05:00 |
| Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | +2 | $4 | $10 | 3 | 06-16 04:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 16:47:28 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x359121… |
| 07-24 16:47:28 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x359121… |
| 07-19 11:24:04 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x401fe9… |
| 07-19 11:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x401fe9… |
| 07-19 11:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x401fe9… |
| 07-19 11:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | No | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0x401fe9… |
| 07-19 00:22:54 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xe187cf… |
| 07-19 00:22:54 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe187cf… |
| 07-07 14:56:25 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x140392… |
| 07-07 14:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x140392… |
| 07-07 14:56:17 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $11 | 0xb5e924… |
| 07-07 14:56:17 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xb5e924… |
| 07-07 14:56:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xf04a57… |
| 07-07 14:56:14 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xf04a57… |
| 07-07 14:56:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 24 | 74¢ | $18 | 0xf04a57… |
| 07-07 14:56:14 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0xf04a57… |
| 07-07 14:50:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x1cd090… |
| 07-07 14:50:44 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x1cd090… |
| 07-07 14:37:41 | Rural-Twist 0x2654…b45f | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x2d0541… |
| 07-07 14:37:41 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x2d0541… |
| 07-07 14:08:59 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x9fd136… |
| 07-07 14:08:59 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x9fd136… |
| 07-07 14:08:01 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x51bf94… |
| 07-07 14:08:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x51bf94… |
| 07-07 13:19:20 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x59bd5d… |
| 07-07 13:19:20 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x59bd5d… |
| 07-07 13:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x59bd5d… |
| 07-07 13:17:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 70¢ | $17 | 0xf5cb57… |
| 07-07 13:17:25 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 24 | 70¢ | $17 | 0xf5cb57… |
| 07-07 13:16:53 | Rural-Twist 0x2654…b45f | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x62c4a3… |
| 07-07 13:16:53 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x62c4a3… |
| 07-07 13:10:35 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 41 | 77¢ | $32 | 0x2316f2… |
| 07-07 13:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x2316f2… |
| 07-07 13:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2316f2… |
| 07-07 13:10:35 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x2316f2… |
| 06-22 15:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbc2961… |
| 06-22 15:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xbc2961… |
| 06-22 15:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | SELL | 53 | 78¢ | $42 | 0xbc2961… |
| 06-22 15:17:14 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 76 | 78¢ | $59 | 0xbc2961… |
| 06-22 07:24:40 | (anonymous) 0x03a6…2a5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7dd468… |
| 06-22 07:24:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7dd468… |
| 06-22 06:14:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x90ad5d… |
| 06-22 06:14:07 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x90ad5d… |
| 06-22 04:53:02 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x984007… |
| 06-22 04:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x03a6…2a5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x984007… |
| 06-22 04:53:02 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x984007… |
| 06-22 04:38:26 | Speedy-Knifeedge 0x6954…9729 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6f2242… |
| 06-22 04:38:26 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6f2242… |
| 06-22 03:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | SELL | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x8ae0a5… |
| 06-22 03:45:10 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x8ae0a5… |
| 06-22 03:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 26 | 79¢ | $21 | 0x106807… |
| 06-22 03:13:38 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 28 | 79¢ | $22 | 0x106807… |
| 06-22 03:12:46 | Ready-Jungle 0xdac4…a8c9 | No | SELL | 160 | 79¢ | $126 | 0xbfc9c9… |
| 06-22 03:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 21¢ | $20 | 0xbfc9c9… |
| 06-22 03:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 21¢ | $6 | 0xbfc9c9… |
| 06-22 03:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x783e…5a19 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xbfc9c9… |
| 06-22 03:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $9 | 0xbfc9c9… |
| 06-20 18:53:25 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x5fe9ae… |
| 06-20 18:53:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x5fe9ae… |
| 06-20 16:57:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x8fdc70… |
| 06-20 16:57:25 | Bewitched-Supplement-Collard 0x2287…f167 | No | SELL | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x8fdc70… |
| 06-20 16:33:35 | Bewitched-Supplement-Collard 0x2287…f167 | No | SELL | 9 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xd7b53a… |
| 06-20 16:33:35 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xd7b53a… |
| 06-19 16:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9d61e2… |
| 06-19 16:27:31 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x9d61e2… |
| 06-19 16:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x9d8e78… |
| 06-19 16:27:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 18¢ | $8 | 0x9d8e78… |
| 06-19 16:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9d8e78… |
| 06-19 16:27:02 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 79 | 82¢ | $65 | 0x9d8e78… |
| 06-16 15:43:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0b1305… |
| 06-16 15:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x4127…1eac | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0b1305… |
| 06-16 04:12:07 | Golden-Antechamber 0xbae5…45e3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xbeb97c… |
| 06-16 04:12:07 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xbeb97c… |
| 06-15 05:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x4127…1eac | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xe25d12… |
| 06-15 05:00:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xe25d12… |
| 06-08 06:56:58 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x5edbf3… |
| 06-08 06:56:58 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x5edbf3… |
| 06-08 00:47:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 39¢ | $7 | 0x422591… |
| 06-08 00:47:07 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 18 | 39¢ | $7 | 0x422591… |
| 06-08 00:46:54 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 17 | 39¢ | $7 | 0xd45951… |
| 06-08 00:46:54 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 39¢ | $7 | 0xd45951… |
| 06-08 00:34:03 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x868ee8… |
| 06-08 00:34:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x868ee8… |
| 06-08 00:16:00 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 80 | 39¢ | $31 | 0x41ace9… |
| 06-08 00:16:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 39¢ | $31 | 0x41ace9… |
| 06-03 05:02:44 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | No | BUY | 100 | 72¢ | $72 | 0x186173… |
| 06-03 05:02:44 | Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0x186173… |
| 06-02 21:46:54 | Bewitched-Supplement-Collard 0x2287…f167 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xf7b1d2… |
| 06-02 21:46:54 | Glued 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xf7b1d2… |
| 06-02 21:46:54 | Wrong-Apprehension 0xdf81…697d | Yes | BUY | 194 | 28¢ | $54 | 0xf7b1d2… |
| 06-02 21:46:54 | Daring-Whirlwind 0x4732…2f88 | No | BUY | 179 | 72¢ | $129 | 0xf7b1d2… |