Realized P&L
-$307
Unrealized P&L
+$148
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
139
Trades
493
lifetime
Volume
$7.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-17 09:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 55 days
Categories
Other
61% 60% -$181
Politics
27% 78% +$26
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
4% 33% -$68
Sports
3% 40% -$63
Pop-Culture
1% 25% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +74 $29 85¢ $62 +$33 08-03 12:37
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +56 $29 94¢ $53 +$23 07-10 13:57
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 10-03 17:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +55 $30 80¢ $44 +$14 07-05 03:26
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +40 $30 88¢ $35 +$5 07-04 08:50
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +41 $30 84¢ $34 +$5 07-05 07:48
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +56 $30 60¢ $34 +$4 10-04 20:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +36 $30 92¢ $34 +$4 07-04 16:08
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +36 $29 94¢ $34 +$5 08-08 16:11
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +34 $29 98¢ $34 +$4 10-01 06:07
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +36 $30 92¢ $33 +$4 07-04 15:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +34 $30 96¢ $33 +$3 07-05 12:02
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +34 $30 97¢ $33 +$3 07-04 10:52
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +35 $29 94¢ $33 +$3 07-11 16:12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +33 $29 98¢ $32 +$3 07-13 12:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 98¢ $32 +$3 07-05 13:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +35 $30 92¢ $32 +$3 10-09 19:08
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +35 $29 92¢ $32 +$3 10-08 20:47
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 81¢ $32 +$2 07-06 05:11
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +35 $29 91¢ $32 +$3 07-23 15:23
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +34 $29 93¢ $32 +$2 07-10 15:04
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 10-03 20:17
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +32 $30 97¢ $31 +$2 07-04 07:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +38 $30 84¢ $31 +$2 10-03 19:39
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +33 $30 95¢ $31 +$2 07-06 10:35
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +33 $29 96¢ $31 +$2 07-15 04:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +40 $29 78¢ $31 +$2 07-12 11:34
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No +34 $29 91¢ $31 +$2 08-12 07:53
New pandemic in 2026? No +32 $30 97¢ $31 +$2 07-05 00:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No +32 $30 96¢ $31 +$1 07-04 07:46