Required-Saffron 0x328bc1…1dfa07
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
51.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
325
lifetime
Volume
$4.48K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$926
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-20 11:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
57% 20% $-31
Politics
33% 100% +$2
Tech
6% — —
Sports
4% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +365 $30 10¢ $38 +$8 07-04 12:55
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +56 $29 62¢ $35 +$5 07-10 13:57
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +36 $30 96¢ $34 +$4 07-03 00:26
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +78 $30 42¢ $33 +$3 07-02 17:07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +44 $30 74¢ $32 +$3 07-06 16:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +55 $30 58¢ $32 +$2 07-05 03:26
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? No +37 $29 87¢ $32 +$2 07-10 11:25
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +36 $30 87¢ $31 +$2 07-04 15:01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 77¢ $30 +$1 07-06 05:11
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$1 07-06 10:35
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 +$1 07-04 10:52
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +33 $30 93¢ $30 +$1 07-05 12:23
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$1 07-08 21:15
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +34 $30 90¢ $30 +$1 07-04 06:43
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +34 $30 88¢ $30 +$1 07-05 01:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-05 13:23
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 07-07 20:19
New pandemic in 2026? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 07-05 00:14
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +32 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-04 15:34
Blue wave in 2026? No +122 $29 24¢ $30 +$1 07-18 03:40
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +33 $29 92¢ $30 +$1 07-15 04:27
Trump out as President before 2027? No +32 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-04 07:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 07-05 04:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 07-05 11:20
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +31 $30 95¢ $30 +$0 07-04 21:21
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +35 $29 86¢ $30 +$1 07-11 16:12
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +49 $30 61¢ $30 +$0 07-04 22:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +31 $30 95¢ $30 +$0 07-05 22:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +31 $29 94¢ $30 +$0 07-11 19:31
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +32 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-05 18:28