Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,768
Trades
196
Unique wallets
64
Liquidity
$1,387
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-16 10:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $11 | $918 | $907 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $25 | $6 | +$19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 47 | $5 | $600 | $595 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $877 | $877 |
| Median | 3 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $158 | $157 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $11 | $41 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 47 | $7 | $444 | $437 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | +652 | $585 | $1,130 | 48 | 08-02 07:17 |
| Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | +211 | $158 | $158 | 18 | 07-16 19:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x539b…c64f | No | +159 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 07-17 12:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +158 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 07-17 12:03 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +120 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 08-02 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +45 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-17 12:00 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +44 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 08-01 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | +41 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-27 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-17 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe750…4850 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-10 04:17 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +18 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-05 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 08-16 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a3e…3f8c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-17 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a56…dac2 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-17 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dcd…5f43 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 03:44 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-29 17:57 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-02 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xa08e…379b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-02 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8312…d15b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4be…9e96 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 04:17 |
| Bronze-Jumbo-Tenor 0xf509…2e82 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x13af…a807 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xac74…2d47 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a4a…4f37 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 04:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 10:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xbbbf…5ff3 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xf257eb… |
| 08-16 10:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf257eb… |
| 08-02 07:17:11 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x76ecee… |
| 08-02 07:17:11 | (anonymous) 0xa08e…379b | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x76ecee… |
| 08-02 07:17:08 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 60 | 91¢ | $55 | 0x864ef7… |
| 08-02 07:17:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x864ef7… |
| 08-02 07:17:08 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x864ef7… |
| 08-01 17:25:57 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xe2bb18… |
| 08-01 17:25:57 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 44 | 93¢ | $41 | 0xe2bb18… |
| 08-01 17:25:57 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 144 | 93¢ | $134 | 0xe2bb18… |
| 07-29 17:57:38 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xa603fd… |
| 07-29 17:57:38 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa603fd… |
| 07-29 17:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa603fd… |
| 07-27 15:11:48 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7f4e9c… |
| 07-27 15:11:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 394 | 91¢ | $359 | 0x7f4e9c… |
| 07-27 15:11:48 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 379 | 91¢ | $345 | 0x7f4e9c… |
| 07-27 10:03:27 | Bronze-Jumbo-Tenor 0xf509…2e82 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbb8c81… |
| 07-27 10:03:27 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xbb8c81… |
| 07-27 02:53:49 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1797f7… |
| 07-27 02:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x8312…d15b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x1797f7… |
| 07-27 02:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x39738a… |
| 07-27 02:53:48 | (anonymous) 0xbbbf…5ff3 | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x39738a… |
| 07-27 02:53:33 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x4e301d… |
| 07-27 02:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4e301d… |
| 07-27 02:53:30 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x50fc07… |
| 07-27 02:53:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x50fc07… |
| 07-27 02:53:28 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x934e68… |
| 07-27 02:53:28 | (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x934e68… |
| 07-27 02:53:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd53e3f… |
| 07-27 02:53:25 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xd53e3f… |
| 07-22 03:44:04 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x944653… |
| 07-22 03:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x2dcd…5f43 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x944653… |
| 07-22 03:42:33 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd93d13… |
| 07-22 03:42:33 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xd93d13… |
| 07-17 12:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x9a3e…3f8c | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xe839ff… |
| 07-17 12:03:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xe839ff… |
| 07-17 12:03:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa0f9e0… |
| 07-17 12:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x539b…c64f | No | BUY | 159 | 93¢ | $148 | 0x39c284… |
| 07-17 12:03:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 149 | 7¢ | $10 | 0x39c284… |
| 07-17 12:03:18 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x39c284… |
| 07-17 12:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x5a56…dac2 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xa0f9e0… |
| 07-17 12:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x03712b… |
| 07-17 12:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x03712b… |
| 07-17 12:00:45 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 75 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x03712b… |
| 07-16 19:20:13 | Authentic-Inspector 0xb003…482d | No | SELL | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x7a6339… |
| 07-16 19:20:13 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x7a6339… |
| 07-16 19:19:43 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 75 | 92¢ | $69 | 0xcf1a09… |
| 07-16 19:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xcf1a09… |
| 07-16 19:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcf1a09… |
| 07-16 19:19:43 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 112 | 92¢ | $103 | 0xcf1a09… |
| 07-10 15:20:53 | Authentic-Inspector 0xb003…482d | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x0b785d… |
| 07-10 15:20:53 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x0b785d… |
| 07-10 04:17:31 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x265f52… |
| 07-10 04:17:31 | (anonymous) 0xac74…2d47 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf81ced… |
| 07-10 04:17:31 | (anonymous) 0xf4be…9e96 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6652f7… |
| 07-10 04:17:31 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x6652f7… |
| 07-10 04:17:31 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf81ced… |
| 07-10 04:17:31 | (anonymous) 0xe750…4850 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x265f52… |
| 07-10 04:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x4a4a…4f37 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xad6cd1… |
| 07-10 04:17:29 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xad6cd1… |
| 07-06 09:07:58 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x364c38… |
| 07-06 09:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x364c38… |
| 07-06 08:11:32 | Noted-Shop 0x0260…0d88 | No | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x5af99f… |
| 07-06 08:11:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5af99f… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x872e…b585 | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x89599a… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x3aee…a04a | No | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x9bdddf… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0xfd9a…184f | No | SELL | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xf04f48… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x398fbb… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x2f86…93d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x6bcee9… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x9bdddf… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x3c3e0d… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x3ff0…4a80 | No | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x9f23b4… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 4 | 65¢ | $2 | 0x398fbb… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0xbc2f…8d3e | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xb7bc1a… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x9f23b4… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x6bcee9… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0xee6a…b75c | No | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x3c3e0d… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xb7bc1a… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x3c3e0d… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x7b21…12cb | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x83b622… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 72 | 64¢ | $46 | 0xc2e41f… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x7e64…b99b | No | SELL | 12 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x398fbb… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x83b622… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Tricky-Family 0x2203…e5a1 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xf04f48… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x89599a… |
| 07-06 08:11:26 | (anonymous) 0x7618…e714 | No | SELL | 72 | 64¢ | $46 | 0xc2e41f… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x7618…e714 | No | SELL | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x605919… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x0ab4…7d63 | No | SELL | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xcb3ab4… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x4fa6…d6ff | No | SELL | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x7e63ac… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0xcc1a…7044 | No | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x61ae12… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x7e63ac… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x605919… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xcb3ab4… |
| 07-06 08:11:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x61ae12… |
| 07-06 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xa77041… |
| 07-06 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x57b9…0464 | No | SELL | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xf8fc83… |
| 07-06 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xa7ce48… |
| 07-06 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0xf2b6…7576 | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x9ddb8d… |
| 07-06 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xf8fc83… |
| 07-06 08:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x9ddb8d… |