Realized P&L
+$162
Unrealized P&L
+$39
Hit rate
71.9%
Resolved
866
Trades
1,428
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$650
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 10-29 06:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
65% 88% -$26
Politics
27% 83% +$228
Sports
6% 81% -$27
Crypto
1% 94% -$1
Tech
1% 82% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +108 $95 94¢ $102 +$7 07-29 00:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +96 $89 98¢ $94 +$5 08-14 05:29
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +101 $82 86¢ $88 +$6 08-02 07:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +89 $69 97¢ $86 +$18 08-20 14:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +80 $71 92¢ $74 +$4 08-14 23:12
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +85 $47 72¢ $61 +$14 08-14 22:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +79 $65 40¢ $32 -$33 08-14 06:56
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +26 $23 99¢ $26 +$3 10-05 08:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +78 $6 30¢ $23 +$17 08-23 18:23
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $0 10-06 16:12
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +16 $8 36¢ $6 -$3 08-29 23:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$2 08-29 23:33
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 09-01 02:09
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 09-01 02:09
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 09-01 05:15
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 10-27 03:55
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-27 03:55
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 10-27 03:55
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 08-31 16:55
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-28 20:50
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6 $5 48¢ $3 -$2 08-29 23:33
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +6 $1 48¢ $3 +$2 08-29 23:33
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $0 10-07 04:07
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +3 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 09-24 01:25
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 10-05 11:45
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$1 10-06 23:02
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $0 10-28 20:16
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 10-27 03:55
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $0 10-27 03:55
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$1 10-07 04:07