Realized P&L
-$952
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
848
Trades
642,082
lifetime
Volume
$2.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$931
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-14 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
51% 46% $-704
Crypto
28% 52% $-249
Politics
12% 70% +$76
Sports
7% 44% $-73
Tech
1% 33% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 2661 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -158 $-119 42¢ $-67 +$52 06-23 20:57
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -172 $-48 35¢ $-60 $-12 07-05 05:36
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -136 $-75 37¢ $-50 +$25 07-07 09:34
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No -148 $-20 31¢ $-46 $-26 06-25 13:55
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes -78 $-11 55¢ $-43 $-32 06-04 08:21
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No -81 $-25 51¢ $-41 $-16 06-04 21:38
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -505 $-35 $-41 $-5 07-10 03:55
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -61 $-21 66¢ $-40 $-19 06-28 02:10
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -279 $-24 12¢ $-33 $-9 05-31 10:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -41 $-18 78¢ $-32 $-15 06-18 19:25
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +120 $27 24¢ $29 +$1 07-10 19:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -88 $-52 32¢ $-28 +$24 07-13 23:11
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -81 $-10 34¢ $-28 $-17 07-10 15:44
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes -81 $-23 32¢ $-26 $-4 07-06 06:38
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +211 $-2 12¢ $26 +$28 07-14 03:21
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +200 $24 12¢ $25 +$1 07-04 07:36
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No -33 $-15 76¢ $-25 $-10 05-28 13:14
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +128 $7 19¢ $24 +$18 06-30 18:00
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? No +241 $24 10¢ $24 +$0 07-05 02:44
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +97 $24 24¢ $23 $-1 07-10 14:13
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? Yes +77 $24 30¢ $23 $-1 06-27 13:59
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +679 $24 $23 $-1 07-06 02:37
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $17 $23 +$6 07-03 01:41
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -61 $-32 38¢ $-23 +$9 06-15 21:22
Obama arrested before 2027? Yes +612 $8 $22 +$14 07-01 00:51
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -240 $-14 $-22 $-8 06-17 06:18
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +334 $12 $22 +$10 07-14 00:50
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +57 $14 38¢ $21 +$7 07-06 07:43
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +25 $11 82¢ $21 +$10 06-27 15:40
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +485 $6 $21 +$14 07-04 06:06