Realized P&L
-$952
Unrealized P&L
+$291
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
848
Trades
614,633
lifetime
Volume
$2.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$984
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 06:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
51% 46% $-704
Crypto
29% 52% $-249
Politics
12% 70% +$76
Sports
6% 44% $-73
Tech
1% 33% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 3375 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes +1,161 $9 $78 +$70 06-12 17:51
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -1,427 $-70 $-78 $-7 06-11 20:46
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No -81 $-25 74¢ $-59 $-34 06-04 21:38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No +56 $2 97¢ $54 +$52 05-31 15:52
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? Yes +263 $13 15¢ $38 +$25 06-05 11:02
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? No -84 $-35 40¢ $-34 +$1 05-29 18:33
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -129 $-34 26¢ $-34 +$0 06-02 12:21
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +290 $11 12¢ $33 +$23 06-09 20:17
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -303 $-59 11¢ $-33 +$26 06-09 03:22
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +192 $24 17¢ $33 +$9 06-09 14:41
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -88 $-41 36¢ $-31 +$10 06-12 06:48
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +902 $9 $29 +$20 06-03 09:34
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-13 95¢ $-29 $-16 05-28 16:22
Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +76 $24 38¢ $28 +$5 06-05 11:37
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -242 $-54 11¢ $-27 +$27 06-12 14:48
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes -399 $-22 $-27 $-5 06-11 17:43
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +554 $0 $26 +$26 06-13 10:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +160 $-6 16¢ $26 +$33 06-12 21:00
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -85 $-26 30¢ $-25 +$1 06-03 16:48
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +324 $15 $25 +$10 06-08 05:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes -70 $-27 36¢ $-25 +$2 06-05 05:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +74 $21 33¢ $24 +$3 06-10 14:24
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -41 $-15 58¢ $-24 $-9 06-02 13:57
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -954 $-26 $-24 +$2 06-07 02:49
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes +498 $23 $24 +$1 06-08 07:27
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes -46 $-20 52¢ $-24 $-4 06-06 04:27
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +127 $24 18¢ $23 $-0 06-04 07:59
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +967 $22 $23 +$1 06-12 13:03
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? Yes +1,075 $12 $23 +$11 06-02 07:40
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +171 $12 14¢ $23 +$11 05-29 01:31