Realized P&L
-$952
Unrealized P&L
+$316
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
848
Trades
610,438
lifetime
Volume
$1.99M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
51% 46% $-704
Crypto
29% 52% $-249
Politics
11% 70% +$76
Sports
6% 44% $-73
Tech
1% 33% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 3375 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Yes +161 $-17 100¢ $160 +$177 06-05 14:44
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No -81 $-25 71¢ $-57 $-32 06-04 21:38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June? No +56 $2 94¢ $52 +$50 05-31 15:52
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes -487 $-29 $-44 $-15 05-30 13:04
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes +1,376 $24 $44 +$21 06-07 04:16
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? No -84 $-35 49¢ $-41 $-6 05-29 18:33
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +324 $15 12¢ $38 +$22 06-08 05:44
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Yes -47 $-17 80¢ $-37 $-21 06-09 08:50
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027? Yes +263 $13 14¢ $35 +$22 06-05 11:02
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? Yes +367 $20 10¢ $35 +$15 06-09 12:07
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +192 $24 18¢ $34 +$10 06-09 14:41
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +290 $11 11¢ $32 +$21 06-09 20:17
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -303 $-59 10¢ $-32 +$28 06-09 03:22
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? No -88 $-39 36¢ $-31 +$8 06-09 16:58
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -129 $-34 24¢ $-30 +$3 06-02 12:21
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +496 $24 $30 +$6 06-04 13:38
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -30 $-13 98¢ $-29 $-16 05-28 16:22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes -79 $-19 36¢ $-28 $-9 05-28 11:04
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +114 $35 25¢ $28 $-7 05-28 12:02
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30? Yes +1,075 $12 $28 +$16 06-02 07:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +473 $10 $26 +$16 06-09 21:04
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +902 $9 $26 +$17 06-03 09:34
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -85 $-26 30¢ $-26 $-0 06-03 16:48
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes -70 $-27 37¢ $-26 +$1 06-05 05:01
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -120 $-26 22¢ $-26 $-0 06-01 17:40
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No -38 $-15 65¢ $-25 $-10 06-08 15:11
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +377 $21 $24 +$3 06-08 01:41
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -61 $-33 40¢ $-24 +$9 06-07 03:29
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -41 $-15 59¢ $-24 $-10 06-02 13:57
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? Yes +1,341 $24 $24 $-0 06-09 15:37