Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe49…609f71
whale bot hot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
59,353
Trades
858,019
lifetime
Volume
$3.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 08:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
53% 44% -$6,950
Crypto
24% 43% +$2,063
Politics
13% 60% +$21,791
Sports
7% 47% +$6,342
Tech
2% 52% +$1,354
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$623
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1955 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -177 -$43 72¢ $-127 -$84 07-10 05:25
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -68 -$31 99¢ $-67 -$36 07-16 21:24
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -120 -$33 56¢ $-67 -$34 07-21 19:37
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No -67 -$39 98¢ $-66 -$27 05-08 14:06
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -171 -$22 37¢ $-63 -$41 08-02 15:26
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +2,012 $21 3¢ $57 +$36 09-26 04:56
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -291 -$42 19¢ $-56 -$14 08-29 17:56
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -55 -$25 94¢ $-51 -$27 05-06 16:14
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -53 -$26 90¢ $-48 -$22 08-21 08:04
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -64 -$35 67¢ $-43 -$8 07-31 19:27
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -53 -$21 77¢ $-41 -$20 07-23 06:50
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -64 -$26 64¢ $-41 -$14 05-07 07:51
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 -$24 7¢ $41 +$64 09-27 12:44
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,080 $16 4¢ $40 +$24 09-19 09:04
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,123 $19 3¢ $34 +$16 10-06 12:17
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +765 $10 4¢ $30 +$20 10-23 11:04
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes -436 -$80 7¢ $-29 +$51 09-15 19:58
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +663 -$18 4¢ $29 +$48 10-27 06:59
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +179 $24 16¢ $28 +$4 10-22 16:27
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +277 $22 10¢ $28 +$6 09-24 01:57
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +532 $1 5¢ $27 +$27 10-16 07:06
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +8,800 $26 0¢ $26 +$0 10-22 23:53
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -499 -$37 5¢ $-26 +$12 10-22 21:59
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes +74 $24 34¢ $25 +$1 05-26 17:22
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -563 -$18 4¢ $-24 -$6 09-28 10:47
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +2,815 $22 1¢ $24 +$2 09-29 13:59
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +740 -$5 3¢ $24 +$29 10-26 18:42
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes -59 -$12 38¢ $-23 -$11 06-05 01:35
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -39 -$19 56¢ $-22 -$3 07-19 22:15
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +1,034 $20 2¢ $21 +$1 10-23 03:49