Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe49…609f71
whale bot hot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$245
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
59,376
Trades
858,348
lifetime
Volume
$3.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
53% 44% -$6,919
Crypto
24% 43% +$2,060
Politics
13% 60% +$21,790
Sports
7% 47% +$6,342
Tech
2% 52% +$1,354
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$623
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1955 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -177 -$43 72¢ $-129 -$86 07-10 05:25
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +591 -$13 19¢ $112 +$125 10-18 09:38
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +277 $22 36¢ $98 +$76 09-24 01:57
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -120 -$33 57¢ $-68 -$35 07-21 19:37
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -68 -$31 99¢ $-67 -$36 07-16 21:24
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No -67 -$39 98¢ $-66 -$27 05-08 14:06
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -291 -$42 21¢ $-62 -$20 08-29 17:56
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -171 -$22 35¢ $-61 -$39 08-02 15:26
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -55 -$25 94¢ $-51 -$27 05-06 16:14
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -64 -$26 66¢ $-43 -$16 05-07 07:51
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -64 -$35 66¢ $-42 -$7 07-31 19:27
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -53 -$21 77¢ $-41 -$20 07-23 06:50
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +663 -$18 6¢ $36 +$55 10-27 06:59
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +2,012 $21 2¢ $35 +$14 09-26 04:56
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -53 -$26 64¢ $-34 -$8 08-21 08:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +453 -$84 6¢ $29 +$114 10-27 22:04
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -436 -$80 7¢ $-29 +$51 09-15 19:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 -$24 5¢ $28 +$51 09-27 12:44
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +532 $1 5¢ $27 +$27 10-16 07:06
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +8,800 $26 0¢ $26 +$0 10-22 23:53
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +443 $6 6¢ $25 +$19 10-23 02:20
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +636 $5 4¢ $25 +$20 10-27 13:48
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +179 $24 14¢ $25 +$1 10-22 16:27
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -563 -$18 4¢ $-24 -$6 09-28 10:47
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -499 -$37 5¢ $-24 +$13 10-22 21:59
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +2,815 $22 1¢ $24 +$2 09-29 13:59
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +765 $10 3¢ $23 +$13 10-23 11:04
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes +843 $18 3¢ $23 +$5 10-27 16:52
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes -59 -$12 38¢ $-23 -$11 06-05 01:35
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -39 -$19 56¢ $-22 -$3 07-19 22:15