Realized P&L (7d)
+$898
Unrealized P&L
+$246
Hit rate
84.1%
Resolved (7d)
424
Trades (7d)
5,311
860,719 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$27.3K
$3.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 13:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 304 days
Categories
Other
53% 44% -$6,946
Crypto
24% 43% +$2,030
Politics
13% 60% +$21,788
Sports
7% 47% +$6,349
Tech
2% 52% +$1,354
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$623
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1955 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +7,942 $76 2¢ $163 +$87 10-29 22:26
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -177 -$43 74¢ $-130 -$88 07-10 05:25
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +277 $22 33¢ $91 +$69 09-24 01:57
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -68 -$31 99¢ $-67 -$36 07-16 21:24
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No -67 -$39 98¢ $-66 -$27 05-08 14:06
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,555 -$18 1¢ $64 +$82 10-29 17:47
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -120 -$33 53¢ $-63 -$30 07-21 19:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -291 -$42 22¢ $-63 -$21 08-29 17:56
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -55 -$25 94¢ $-51 -$26 05-06 16:14
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -53 -$21 95¢ $-50 -$30 07-23 06:50
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -64 -$35 70¢ $-45 -$9 07-31 19:27
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No +385 $35 11¢ $40 +$6 10-30 08:18
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +3,840 -$24 1¢ $38 +$62 10-30 10:22
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -171 -$29 22¢ $-38 -$10 10-29 21:00
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -40 -$18 94¢ $-38 -$20 10-29 12:05
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -64 -$26 58¢ $-37 -$11 05-07 07:51
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -53 -$26 67¢ $-36 -$10 08-21 08:04
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +532 $1 7¢ $35 +$35 10-16 07:06
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -436 -$80 7¢ $-32 +$48 09-15 19:58
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes -59 -$12 55¢ $-32 -$20 06-05 01:35
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 -$24 5¢ $28 +$52 09-27 12:44
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +1,556 $4 2¢ $28 +$24 10-29 21:51
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -563 -$18 5¢ $-28 -$10 09-28 10:47
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -91 -$36 30¢ $-28 +$8 08-29 19:22
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +636 $5 4¢ $27 +$22 10-27 13:48
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes +843 $18 3¢ $26 +$8 10-27 16:52
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +544 $5 5¢ $25 +$20 10-30 14:02
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +158 $19 16¢ $25 +$6 10-29 17:42
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +2,815 $22 1¢ $24 +$2 09-29 13:59
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +377 -$38 6¢ $24 +$62 10-30 10:25