Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$228
Hit rate
85.3%
Resolved (7d)
379
Trades (7d)
4,531
859,487 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$17.8K
$3.01M lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
53% 44% -$6,982
Crypto
24% 43% +$2,053
Politics
13% 60% +$21,815
Sports
7% 47% +$6,350
Tech
2% 52% +$1,354
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$623
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1955 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -177 -$43 72¢ $-129 -$86 07-10 05:25
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +591 -$13 17¢ $101 +$114 10-18 09:38
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -120 -$33 59¢ $-71 -$38 07-21 19:37
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -68 -$31 99¢ $-67 -$36 07-16 21:24
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No -67 -$39 98¢ $-66 -$27 05-08 14:06
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +6,000 $8 1¢ $60 +$52 10-29 12:47
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -55 -$25 94¢ $-51 -$27 05-06 16:14
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -53 -$21 91¢ $-48 -$27 07-23 06:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -291 -$42 16¢ $-48 -$6 08-29 17:56
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -53 -$26 88¢ $-47 -$21 08-21 08:04
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -64 -$35 70¢ $-45 -$9 07-31 19:27
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -171 -$26 25¢ $-43 -$17 10-29 13:40
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -64 -$26 58¢ $-37 -$11 05-07 07:51
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +277 $22 12¢ $33 +$11 09-24 01:57
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -436 -$80 7¢ $-30 +$51 09-15 19:58
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +532 $1 6¢ $29 +$29 10-16 07:06
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +179 $24 16¢ $28 +$4 10-22 16:27
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes -59 -$12 47¢ $-28 -$16 06-05 01:35
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 -$24 5¢ $27 +$51 09-27 12:44
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +636 $5 4¢ $25 +$20 10-27 13:48
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -563 -$18 4¢ $-25 -$7 09-28 10:47
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -499 -$37 5¢ $-24 +$13 10-22 21:59
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +65 $24 37¢ $24 +$0 10-02 20:54
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +253 -$97 9¢ $24 +$121 10-29 13:52
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +2,815 $22 1¢ $24 +$2 09-29 13:59
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes +843 $18 3¢ $23 +$5 10-27 16:52
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -91 -$36 24¢ $-22 +$14 08-29 19:22
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +414 -$35 5¢ $22 +$57 10-29 07:43
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -39 -$19 54¢ $-21 -$2 07-19 22:15
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +509 $7 4¢ $20 +$13 10-29 13:05