Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved (30d)
2,512
Trades (30d)
20,301
858,918 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$79.3K
$3.01M lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
53% 44% -$6,963
Crypto
24% 43% +$2,053
Politics
13% 60% +$21,813
Sports
7% 47% +$6,342
Tech
2% 52% +$1,354
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$623
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1955 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -177 -$43 72¢ $-129 -$86 07-10 05:25
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -120 -$33 73¢ $-87 -$54 07-21 19:37
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +591 -$13 14¢ $80 +$93 10-18 09:38
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -68 -$31 99¢ $-67 -$36 07-16 21:24
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No -67 -$39 99¢ $-66 -$28 05-08 14:06
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes -171 -$22 39¢ $-66 -$44 08-02 15:26
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -55 -$25 94¢ $-52 -$27 05-06 16:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -291 -$42 17¢ $-50 -$8 08-29 17:56
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -53 -$26 88¢ $-47 -$21 08-21 08:04
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -64 -$35 67¢ $-43 -$7 07-31 19:27
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -53 -$21 77¢ $-41 -$20 07-23 06:50
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -64 -$26 56¢ $-36 -$9 05-07 07:51
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +611 -$22 6¢ $35 +$57 10-28 17:21
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +277 $22 12¢ $33 +$11 09-24 01:57
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -436 -$80 7¢ $-30 +$51 09-15 19:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 -$24 5¢ $28 +$52 09-27 12:44
Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +2,012 $21 1¢ $27 +$6 09-26 04:56
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +532 $1 5¢ $27 +$26 10-16 07:06
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +8,800 $26 0¢ $26 +$0 10-22 23:53
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -91 -$36 28¢ $-25 +$10 08-29 19:22
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +636 $5 4¢ $25 +$20 10-27 13:48
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -563 -$18 4¢ $-24 -$6 09-28 10:47
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -499 -$37 5¢ $-24 +$13 10-22 21:59
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +2,815 $22 1¢ $24 +$2 09-29 13:59
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes -59 -$12 40¢ $-23 -$11 06-05 01:35
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +56 $24 41¢ $23 -$1 06-25 09:05
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes +843 $18 3¢ $23 +$5 10-27 16:52
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +179 $24 12¢ $22 -$2 10-22 16:27
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +691 -$63 3¢ $21 +$85 10-27 21:38
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -39 -$19 55¢ $-21 -$2 07-19 22:15