Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe49…609f71
whale bot hot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$25.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$320
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
59,445
Trades
859,703
lifetime
Volume
$3.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
53% 44% -$6,966
Crypto
24% 43% +$2,035
Politics
13% 60% +$21,805
Sports
7% 47% +$6,350
Tech
2% 52% +$1,354
Pop-Culture
0% 46% +$623
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1955 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -177 -$43 73¢ $-129 -$87 07-10 05:25
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +591 -$13 18¢ $103 +$116 10-18 09:38
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -217 -$87 41¢ $-88 -$1 05-19 14:21
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +379 -$32 21¢ $78 +$110 10-29 17:50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,555 -$18 1¢ $75 +$93 10-29 17:47
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -68 -$31 99¢ $-67 -$36 07-16 21:24
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No -67 -$39 99¢ $-66 -$27 05-08 14:06
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -120 -$33 51¢ $-61 -$28 07-21 19:37
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -291 -$42 20¢ $-58 -$16 08-29 17:56
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -55 -$25 94¢ $-51 -$27 05-06 16:14
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? Yes +843 $18 6¢ $49 +$31 10-27 16:52
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes -53 -$21 91¢ $-48 -$28 07-23 06:50
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? No -53 -$26 88¢ $-47 -$21 08-21 08:04
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -64 -$35 70¢ $-45 -$10 07-31 19:27
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +636 $5 7¢ $45 +$40 10-27 13:48
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -91 -$36 48¢ $-43 -$7 08-29 19:22
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -436 -$80 10¢ $-43 +$38 09-15 19:58
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -563 -$18 7¢ $-40 -$22 09-28 10:47
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -64 -$26 60¢ $-38 -$12 05-07 07:51
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +201 $10 19¢ $38 +$28 08-04 15:53
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? No -40 -$18 84¢ $-33 -$15 10-29 12:05
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +277 $22 12¢ $32 +$10 09-24 01:57
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -86 -$36 36¢ $-31 +$5 10-29 17:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +90 -$24 34¢ $31 +$55 09-17 11:49
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes -59 -$12 48¢ $-28 -$16 06-05 01:35
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +532 $1 5¢ $28 +$27 10-16 07:06
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +571 -$24 5¢ $27 +$51 09-27 12:44
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +158 $19 17¢ $27 +$7 10-29 17:42
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +414 -$35 6¢ $24 +$60 10-29 07:43
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +2,815 $22 1¢ $24 +$2 09-29 13:59