Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
open
Total volume
$323
Trades
52
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,755
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-08
last 07-25 14:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $21 | $196 | $175 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $10 | $31 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $8 | $7 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $218 | $217 |
| Below median | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 9 | $13 | $1 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | +167 | $157 | $217 | 2 | 07-25 08:43 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +92 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-25 08:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | Yes | +76 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-03 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | +58 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-25 08:43 |
| Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-25 14:29 |
| Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-02 17:18 |
| Humiliating-Bonding 0xc449…037c | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-08 07:37 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-02 03:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-30 12:25 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 07-03 18:58 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $3 | 11 | 07-03 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-12 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-06 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x18b9…0d26 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 10:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 14:29:54 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1d1dc8… |
| 07-25 14:29:54 | Musty-Bit 0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x1d1dc8… |
| 07-25 08:50:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x93e618… |
| 07-25 08:50:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x93e618… |
| 07-25 08:43:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 135 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x759cbb… |
| 07-25 08:43:33 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x759cbb… |
| 07-25 08:43:33 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x759cbb… |
| 07-25 08:43:33 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x759cbb… |
| 07-25 08:43:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x4000cf… |
| 07-25 08:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 135 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x4000cf… |
| 07-25 08:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4000cf… |
| 07-25 08:43:30 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $187 | 0x4000cf… |
| 07-08 07:37:01 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | SELL | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x02fe4c… |
| 07-08 07:37:01 | Humiliating-Bonding 0xc449…037c | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x02fe4c… |
| 07-06 10:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x27263e… |
| 07-06 10:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x18b9…0d26 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x27263e… |
| 07-03 18:58:56 | (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x876907… |
| 07-03 18:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x876907… |
| 07-03 18:58:56 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x876907… |
| 07-03 18:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x876907… |
| 07-03 18:58:56 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x876907… |
| 07-02 17:18:50 | Milky-Gherkin 0xa773…0aa9 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5a2369… |
| 07-02 17:18:50 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5a2369… |
| 07-02 03:27:49 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d690b… |
| 07-02 03:27:49 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1d690b… |
| 07-02 03:23:55 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x325ef4… |
| 07-02 03:23:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x325ef4… |
| 07-02 03:20:41 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x25787d… |
| 07-02 03:20:41 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x25787d… |
| 07-02 01:15:22 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xbdf842… |
| 07-02 01:15:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbdf842… |
| 07-02 01:15:22 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbdf842… |
| 07-02 01:15:22 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbdf842… |
| 06-30 12:25:46 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2bddb9… |
| 06-30 12:25:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2bddb9… |
| 06-30 08:41:34 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x000b2e… |
| 06-30 08:41:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x000b2e… |
| 06-30 08:02:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x64008b… |
| 06-30 08:02:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x64008b… |
| 06-30 08:02:52 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x64008b… |
| 06-29 10:20:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x236777… |
| 06-29 10:20:31 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x236777… |
| 06-27 09:50:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc2dc9b… |
| 06-27 09:50:19 | (anonymous) 0xe2da…5fe0 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc2dc9b… |
| 06-17 17:45:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xd71ea1… |
| 06-17 17:45:26 | Milky-Gherkin 0xa773…0aa9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd71ea1… |
| 06-12 02:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5891cd… |
| 06-12 02:07:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5891cd… |
| 06-08 02:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x4823f8… |
| 06-08 02:14:12 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4823f8… |
| 06-08 02:12:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7f047c… |
| 06-08 02:12:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7f047c… |