Milky-Gherkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$67

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-02 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

46% 75% +$2

Politics

24% 17% -$11

Crypto

15% 67% +$2

Tech

10% 100% +$1

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	+11	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	06-17 17:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-16	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	06-17 16:58
OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	-6	$0	5¢	$-0	+$0	07-02 17:57
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	05-06 05:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+6	$3	3¢	$0	-$3	06-20 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:57:13	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xbef666…
07-02 17:53:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x67f169…
07-02 17:18:50	Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x5a2369…
07-02 04:36:40	will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3948b5…
07-01 20:17:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x059993…
07-01 20:07:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3078df…
06-24 17:20:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xab7a35…
06-21 17:26:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa340c9…
06-20 02:57:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x171eda…
06-18 04:01:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xee213f…
06-18 03:39:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xa45387…
06-17 19:41:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x04d145…
06-17 19:40:04	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x236a78…
06-17 17:45:26	Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd71ea1…
06-17 17:16:11	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x56a400…
06-17 16:58:50	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666 589 294	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x818543…
06-17 16:58:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0x88c202…
06-16 22:28:07	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xd8e273…
06-16 11:25:19	will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xab5bad…
06-16 11:17:57	will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1f6737…
06-14 18:54:40	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5ca7e3…
06-13 16:32:30	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xf59dd5…
06-13 16:31:57	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x3c0804…
06-13 16:30:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x8e0fe6…
06-12 17:14:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x1c43d9…
06-05 23:29:12	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x492a52…
06-05 15:30:07	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0fd9ac…
06-05 15:08:04	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf4a7ae…
06-05 15:06:57	ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf20135…
06-05 04:06:34	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xee7032…
06-05 01:09:57	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xb74c3a…
06-04 20:11:09	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x50a35c…
06-04 14:30:28	ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x13ceeb…
06-03 23:53:21	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9f9195…
06-03 23:50:55	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xca694e…
06-03 18:12:55	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6a200c…
06-03 17:58:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8126f…
06-03 16:18:31	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9cc2d8…
05-22 04:55:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4287a9…
05-06 05:53:32	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb00c9c…
05-06 05:23:34	Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x810828…
05-06 05:22:14	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6976b2…
05-06 05:21:04	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x370bd4…
04-17 17:20:06	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x97eca1…
03-28 00:17:21	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9e4de1…
03-27 03:30:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0ce1bf…
03-06 05:08:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa9d913…
03-05 04:33:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc1b0a1…
03-03 18:37:25	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x76e376…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	06-12 17:14
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$7	42	59	-16	open	—	06-17 16:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-01 20:17
ethereum above 1700 on june 5 2026	4	$6	9	9	+0	No	+$2	06-05 15:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	03-27 03:30
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$5	61	0	+61	No	-$5	06-16 22:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-20 02:57
ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	3	$3	4	1	+3	No	+$2	06-03 23:53
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 01:09
will warsh say artificial intelligence or ai during june press conference 20260608181156657 625 674	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 19:40
will warsh say stable or stability during june press conference 20260608181156666 589 294	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	06-17 16:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 17:53
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	06-18 03:39
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 16:31
ethereum above 1500 on june 6 2026	2	$1	15	0	+15	Yes	-$1	06-05 23:29
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?	2	$1	9	9	+0	open	—	07-02 17:18
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	04-17 17:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$2	03-05 04:33
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-06 05:22
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	03-03 18:37
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	06-17 17:16
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	05-06 05:23
will tesla launch robotaxis in california by december 31 20260630142749586	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	07-02 04:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	03-06 05:08
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	03-28 00:17
OKX IPO in 2026?	1	$0	0	6	-6	open	—	07-02 17:57
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$0	0	29	-29	No	+$0	06-13 16:32