Musty-Bit 0x3a237f…d70f72
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.11K
Hit rate
15.4%
Resolved
48
Trades
11,632
lifetime
Volume
$961.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$458
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-30 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
77% 31% $-752
Other
13% 0% $-245
Crypto
9% 15% $-667
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1032 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +4,414 $316 8¢ $338 +$21 06-29 12:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +11,220 $1,355 0¢ $28 $-1,327 06-26 16:55
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +6,120 $337 0¢ $24 $-312 06-19 20:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +50 $14 26¢ $13 $-1 06-16 11:59
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +100 $15 9¢ $9 $-6 06-04 20:31
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +176 $15 4¢ $7 $-7 06-30 11:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +22 $-444 29¢ $6 +$451 06-21 20:00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 06-19 01:15
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +10 $4 31¢ $3 $-0 06-16 12:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $40 27¢ $3 $-37 06-08 11:31
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$1 06-16 12:10
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +15 $3 15¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:05
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 $-0 06-16 11:58
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +35 $2 5¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $-1 06-16 11:26
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? Yes +10 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $2 $-0 06-16 12:08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:04
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:16
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:14
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:10
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? Yes +13 $1 6¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:07
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? Yes +387 $5 0¢ $1 $-4 06-16 14:28
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? Yes +220 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-16 12:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +300 $3 0¢ $0 $-3 06-16 11:23
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +26 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-16 12:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-122 0¢ $-0 +$122 06-04 20:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +104 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 06-16 12:03
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +20 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-16 11:55