Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$380
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
17
lifetime
Volume
$836
lifetime
Avg / trade
$49
Open exposure
$600
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
46%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $280 32¢ $325 +$45 05-05 17:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +2,000 $88 $134 +$46 05-04 22:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes +500 $70 18¢ $92 +$22 05-05 17:34
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Yes -4,990 $-300 $-27 +$272 05-05 19:11
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Small Business Summit? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$1 05-05 18:47
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +110 $5 $2 $-4 05-05 18:58
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes +84 $3 $0 $-3 05-05 22:05