Realized P&L
-$1.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$336
Hit rate
15.4%
Resolved
48
Trades
12,432
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$335
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 07-20 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
74% 31% $-752
Other
15% 0% $-245
Crypto
9% 15% $-667
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1032 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -4,191 $-191 $-233 $-41 07-15 19:02
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +900 $63 $50 $-13 07-04 15:00
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +323 $24 $15 $-9 07-04 15:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +50 $14 20¢ $10 $-5 06-16 11:59
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 06-19 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +22 $-444 18¢ $4 +$448 06-21 20:00
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +10 $4 20¢ $2 $-2 06-16 12:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +10 $40 18¢ $2 $-38 06-08 11:31
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +15 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-16 12:05
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-1 06-16 11:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-1 06-16 11:26
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:10
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes +35 $2 $1 $-1 06-16 12:09
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:08
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-16 12:14
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? Yes +10 $2 10¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:09
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 12:16
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-16 12:15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 06-16 12:10
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? Yes +13 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 12:07