Realized P&L
+$23.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.77K
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved
1,047
Trades
15,998
lifetime
Volume
$1.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$7.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 10-28 10:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Politics
69% 45% +$22,192
Other
21% 39% -$1,165
Crypto
7% 29% +$4,334
Sports
2% 8% -$2,204
Tech
0% 0% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,026 $1,681 40¢ $2.0K +$325 10-28 10:14
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +6,000 $1,838 28¢ $1.6K -$188 10-21 17:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +5,005 $1,131 29¢ $1.4K +$295 10-24 20:27
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +5,007 $1,268 20¢ $976 -$292 10-20 11:21
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,000 $846 12¢ $720 -$126 10-22 15:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +17,493 $587 3¢ $569 -$18 10-10 00:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +2,500 $331 6¢ $162 -$168 09-28 17:01
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +3,468 $54 3¢ $120 +$65 09-25 21:22
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +5,432 $1,278 2¢ $109 -$1,169 10-13 18:19
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669 Yes +2,116 $291 3¢ $57 -$234 10-17 13:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $80 6¢ $55 -$25 10-20 02:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +10,690 $1,520 0¢ $37 -$1,483 09-15 19:53
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $78 4¢ $36 -$42 07-04 15:00
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +386 $29 4¢ $16 -$14 07-04 15:02
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +1,000 $60 1¢ $14 -$46 10-05 19:39
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +361 $8 2¢ $8 +$1 10-17 11:47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,418 $51 1¢ $8 -$43 09-28 03:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes +532 $9 1¢ $4 -$5 06-16 12:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +50 $14 8¢ $4 -$10 06-16 11:59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +528 $8 1¢ $3 -$5 06-16 22:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +22 -$444 13¢ $3 +$447 06-21 20:00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +2,634 $13 0¢ $3 -$11 06-16 12:25
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +20 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 06-16 12:07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +981 $8 0¢ $1 -$6 06-16 12:25
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +10 $4 13¢ $1 -$2 06-16 12:35
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +40 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 07-23 19:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +296 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 06-16 12:26
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 06-16 12:16
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 -$2 06-16 11:58
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 06-16 12:04